Monceau
@mnceth
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web3 researcher and builder, turning uncertainty into opportunity / @polymarket beliver ✦ ceo at @munar_ai ✦ product lead at @katchbrand
Blockchain
Joined January 2025
I think holding the Polymarket token in case of a retrodrop and even buying more from the market is the smartest financial move. Even better if there is a chance to stake it. I believe in prediction markets and I believe in @Polymarket LFG!
My very long take on a potential Polymarket token, and the alleged $9b valuation. (Kalshi also has a nosebleed valuation, but I'm going to focus on Polymarket specifically here because of the rumored airdrop for users) I've been trading on Polymarket since January 2021,
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Backpack FDV on Polymarket: $500M feels cheap… or not? Backpack is a Solana wallet plus exchange/perps platform built around xNFTs and the Mad Lads ecosystem, founded by Armani Ferrante. The TGE is expected in late February or early March 2026, with the Epilogue points phase
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Spurs vs Warriors on Polymarket: which of these 3 scripts shows up tonight? The Spurs come into San Francisco at 37-16 on a five game win streak, while the Warriors are 29-25 and limping into the break with key injuries. On Polymarket, San Antonio is favored (SAS 67¢, GSW 34¢),
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Jazz vs Magic on Polymarket: pace vs defense in Orlando The Jazz head into Orlando at 16-36, while the Magic sit at 26-24 and have been much better at home (15-8). On Polymarket, Orlando is priced as a strong favorite, and the main spread is sitting at 8.5. Munar AI leans
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Nuggets vs Pistons on Polymarket: can Denver hang in Detroit? The Nuggets head into Detroit at 33-17 on a six game road win streak, while the Pistons sit at 36-12 and have been playing elite basketball in the East. On Polymarket, Detroit is priced as a clear favorite, and the
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Hawks vs Celtics on Polymarket: can Atlanta hang in Boston without Tatum? The Hawks head into Boston at 23-25 on a three game win streak, while the Celtics sit at 29-17 at home but are missing Jayson Tatum. On Polymarket, Boston is priced as a clear favorite, with the spread at
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Warriors vs Timberwolves on Polymarket: can Golden State hang in Minnesota? The Warriors head into Minneapolis at 26-21, while the Timberwolves sit at 27-19 and try to snap a five game skid at home in the Target Center. On Polymarket, Minnesota is priced as a strong favorite,
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Gaethje vs Pimblett on Polymarket: who should really be favored? Gaethje comes into UFC 324 at 26-5-0 on a two fight skid but with elite top level experience and real KO upside, while Pimblett sits at 23-3-0 riding a nine fight win streak and stepping into his biggest test yet.
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Cavaliers vs Magic on Polymarket: is Orlando mispriced tonight? The Cavaliers head into Orlando at 26-20 on a strong stretch, winning 4 of their last 5, while the Magic sit at 23-20 and return home to the Kia Center. On Polymarket, this one is priced basically as a coinflip, and
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Hornets vs Magic on Polymarket: is Orlando mispriced tonight? The Hornets head into Orlando at 16-28 on a road back to back, while the Magic sit at 23-19 and return home to the Kia Center at 13-6. On Polymarket, Orlando is priced as a moderate favorite (low 60s), and the total
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Today we wrapped the second Mobile Community Testing session✨ Amazing participation and really helpful input today! Testing highlights: ✦ New Genesis Plaza ✦ New Scene Load System ✦ Emotes ✦ Social Panel ✦ Notifications Huge thanks to our Mobile Tester crew! 🖤 If you
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Why I’m bullish on crypto until mid-Feb (02.16.26) 1. No sellers. The market has been sideways for a long time, volatility was at zero. It’s now clear that sellers are likely exhausted - price has stopped reacting to minor negative news. Risk-reward for buying here is excellent:
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We’re doing infrastructure upgrades right now. The site will be offline for a bit, but we’ll be back soon and better than ever. Thanks for your patience!
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Oilers vs Flames on Polymarket: who should really be favored? The second Battle of Alberta this week comes with Edmonton at 19–13 and Calgary at 15–18, fresh off a 5–1 Oilers win on December 24. On Polymarket the moneyline leans to Edmonton and the total sits at 6.5 goals.
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Heat vs Hawks on Polymarket: who should really be favored? The Miami Heat come into Atlanta at 15–15 off a Christmas loss to Philly and on the second night of a back-to-back, while the Hawks sit at 15–16 with a strong 10–5 home record but a three-game skid. On Polymarket the
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The BETA testing form is available! Get early access to advanced features (on-chain metrics, insider wallets, deeper research, whale and smart wallets, and much more). Apply now -> https://t.co/dc8WHOoZTY Discover the most comprehensive and multifaceted analysis of Polymarket
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Chargers vs Cowboys on Polymarket: who should really be favored? The Chargers come into this one at 11–4, while the Cowboys are 6–8 and already out of the playoff race, as the teams meet at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. On Polymarket and at sportsbooks this is priced as a near
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