Michael Terpin
@michaelterpin
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CNBC called me Crypto Godfather; 1st crypto investor in Puerto Rico. BAYC 1384. Bitcoin preferentialist. Started BitAngels, Tokenize. Author, Bitcoin Supercycle
San Juan, PR (and airplanes)
Joined April 2008
1-1-25 Happy new year to all of my friends and to all #Bitcoin holders and believers: this is your year! To hard-working investors and entrepreneurs who have not yet discovered the hardest form of money, I invite you to read my book, Bitcoin Supercycle (Skyhorse, 2024), which
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81% December cut probability while Bitcoin sits in Fall distribution. The Fed is about to ease into a market that's already corrected 30%. Macro tailwinds + depressed sentiment + whale accumulation. The setup is forming.
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A Dogecoin ETF just launched on the NYSE. What started as an internet joke is now available in your retirement account. Love it or hate it, this is what mainstream crypto adoption looks like. The door is now wide open. #DOGE
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First state Bitcoin reserve purchase hits during 30% drawdown from $126K ATH. Texas entry: ~$87,000 October peak: $126,080 Current RSI: 32.43 (oversold) Smart money accumulating while retail exits. Classic Fall season behavior.
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Hayes' $200K by year-end requires supercycle dynamics overriding Fall distribution. Institutional adoption accelerating despite correction. Bold call but his 2021 $100K was early, not wrong. Position accordingly. #BitcoinStrategy
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India regulatory overhaul = Fall season accumulation catalyst π G20 alignment opens $5T economy to legitimate crypto flows. Historical pattern: regulation in Fall β institutional entry in Winter β Spring explosion. #BitcoinTA
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Institutional MSTR unwind accelerating: proxy premium dead, direct exposure wins. Fall distribution via rotation not liquidation. $30.94B remaining = further downside. Accumulate spot below $80K, not leveraged vehicles. #Bitcoin
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This week on @BitAngels Space we will be talking about the market. $BTC and the future of cryptocurrencies. "Bitcoin's turkey cooked?" Host @WarrenWhitlock and @MichaelTerpin Click on the purple box to "Set Reminder" and help us grow the community. https://t.co/4TY3BqwjMJ
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Bitcoin Fall textbook move: Crash from $126K β bounce to $87.8K β likely retest of lows ahead π 85% Fed cut probability providing temporary support. Watch for "lower highs" pattern continuation typical of distribution phase. #BTC
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$80K held as expected - previous ATH acting as support π RSI oversold bounce from 28 to 35. Classic Fall correction: -25% from local top. Next resistance: $92K (0.382 Fib). Winter accumulation zone: $65-75K
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Record redemptions + record volume = wealth transfer in progress π The same pattern since 2013: institutions sell the fear, accumulate the bottom. This Fall phase sets up the next leg to $200K+
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MicroStrategy cost basis: $74,433 avg with 73% unrealized gains π 8,178 $BTC weekly accumulation rate accelerating into correction. Classic Summer pattern: corporate treasuries absorb retail capitulation
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This shows both how bubbly the stock market and MAG Seven are today - and how undervalued bitcoin truly is during this pullback.
Bitcoinβs returns against other major assets since the 2021 cycle peak. This is a gut-punch. BTC/SPY -2% BTC/QQQ -13% BTC/TSLA -18% BTC/MSFT -21% BTC/AAPL -25% BTC/SILVER -26% BTC/META -27% BTC/GOLD -32% BTC/GOOG -38% BTC/NVDA -88%
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Excellent hypertweet on the current state of the markets by @punk6529 (who is a real person, I've met him...). TDLR, remember why we are here and it's not to make Blackrock bigger. Decentralize, my friends...
1/ On Losing Faith Is it over? Was it all a fever dream? Have we run out of steam? Is it time to pivot to AI for real this time? 2/ Everything is dead? BTC: DAT premiums down, nobody cares ETH: Stablecoin Alts: Crushed NFTs: Right click saved Meme coins: As expected tbh
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IBIT now Harvard's largest holding surpassing all traditional assets π $442M at avg ~$65K basis = 45% unrealized gains. Accumulation below 200-day MA ($95K) signals institutional front-running year-end rally
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π’ Big week ahead! Join us this Thursday, November 20th, for Pitchcast Deep Dive. Featuring: 8:00 AM PT | @TokenLayer_Core 8:30 AM PT | @SundialProtocol π Register now: https://t.co/OxS8tA6MJm
@michaelterpin @IAmJoyceChow
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π₯ The secret behind every Bitcoin bull run? Halving. Every 4 years, supply shrinks but demand doesnβt. Thatβs why Bitcoin jumps from $12 β $63,900. Simple supply and demand, not speculation. Speaker: @michaelterpin
@IAmJoyceChow π https://t.co/aWJm46GD6L
#Tokenize
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Looking to maximize yield of your BTC while HODLing through the current volatility? Consider staking with Goat Network, which is now offering a blended yield of 45 pct (and $GOATED is up 15 pct in past 30 days, while Bitcoin is down 11 pct).
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Fear/Greed at 10 with RSI 31.23 = textbook oversold bounce setup π November seasonality + extreme fear = explosive combination. Supercycle Summer consolidations typically bottom at max fear before Q4 rips
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Fiscal liquidity drought ending = risk-on resumption imminent π Bitcoin summers historically see policy-driven volatility before parabolic moves. Sub-$100K accumulation won't last. Are you ready? cc: @RaoulGMI @APompliano
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