John Robb
@johnrobb
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The Global Guerrillas Report -- Sense-making frameworks. War-Tech-Politics Book: Brave New War Patreon: https://t.co/y1d9WwM6EU Substack: https://t.co/lTSdS1iHmB
Boston Area US
Joined June 2007
The Global Guerillas Report Frameworks for understanding and anticipating events in warfare, politics, and technology. Substack (report): https://t.co/lbstPSO6KO Patreon (report + discord + free form workspace): https://t.co/Jwz8y5Adpp
patreon.com
Creating The Global Guerrillas Report
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PMCs everywhere are cheering. Using a capitalist network to fight a capitalist network.
EXCLUSIVE: @SenMikeLee introduced the Cartel Marque and Reprisal Reauthorization Act. The bill authorizes Trump to commission American operators under letters of marque to seize cartel property and persons on land or sea outside the U.S. @timburchett intro’d House version.
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How you orient your decision making is determined by experiences, training, culture, education, upbringing, and more.
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The path you take is determined by how you orient your decision making.
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Paving the path to the Long Night. Online algorithms and AIs flag your actions as a 'thought crime.' A judge sentences you in a streamlined process (rubber stamp). You end up in prison.
🚨HOLY SH*T - THE UK IS GOING FULL POLICE STATE Not only are they getting rid of Jury trials They plan to allow magistrates to sentence people for up to two years without appeal ‼️ Last year 40% of appeals from mags courts were upheld. LABOUR WANT TO LOCK UP INNOCENT PEOPLE
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Think of each decision as a step along a path paved with decisions.
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"The Long Night is a sameness of thought and approach enforced by a pervasive AI-fueled surveillance network. A network championed by a politically dominant establishment of socially internetworked believers that crushes dissent and enforces a strict alignment to its beliefs.
🔥New report is up! 🔥 The Long Night Returns Our corporations now have the capability of delivering a "surveillance state as a service" to any political establishment that demands it. Once it is turned on, there's no going back.
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“If Starlink + orbital compute clusters form the primary backbone for global Al services, then the owner of that mesh controls routing around any terrestrial censorship, sanctions, or shutdown attempts. A civilization that puts its intelligence layer in space becomes extremely
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Another reason to put them into space.
My kid’s class had to write opinion papers on the AI data center they want to build near here. From what I could tell, no kid in class was in favor of the data center. Mostly due to bogus environmental reasons that resonate more deeply than AI fears.
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Cookie season has arrived at the Robb home! A little slice of the world is as it should be.
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Global orientation (2025); The top 10% (household incomes over $210k) generated 50% of retail sales. National orientation (1990), The top 40% of households generated 50% of retail sales. Which decision making orientation works best?
Bloomberg: Top 10% of income earners accounted for 50% of retail sales. yeah, there are no easy fixes.
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Good point. Another error is the expectation that as a machine (from AI assistants to Autonomous vehicles), the error rates should be negligible, even when accomplishing the most complex tasks.
Our lack of any reliable measures of human error rates across intellectually demanding tasks and fields is a huge hindrance to understanding the thresholds of hallucination and reliability that AI might cross incrementally that could lead to sudden leaps in usefulness & adoption.
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🔥New report is up! 🔥 The Long Night Returns Our corporations now have the capability of delivering a "surveillance state as a service" to any political establishment that demands it. Once it is turned on, there's no going back.
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Nearly everyone. Same for Bitcoin. Same for social networking. At the start (I was the first professional Internet analyst at a major firm in 1995), the pushback was: this is the CB radio fad all over again. When I was building social networks in 2001, the pushback was "why
For people who were not kids during the dotcom bubble: Did absolutely everyone went around telling the world that it was a bubble ready to burst at any moment like everyone is doing now for AI?
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The AI build out is killing PCs and gaming consoles by driving up the cost of DDR5 RAM.
Back to 8GB for mid-range laptops will be devastating for MS & Win 11. After MS pushed for a 16GB standard due to OS & app bloat, 8GB has become borderline unusable in many cases. Also these laptops can't carry the "Copilot+" branding due to 16GB min. requirement
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New report is done. I'll post it soon. It's about the return of the Long Night.
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Orbital AI the fastest way to scale and to continue to scale AI.
@CathieDWood A major additional factor should be considered. Satellites with localized AI compute, where just the results are beamed back from low-latency, sun-synchronous orbit, will be the lowest cost way to generate AI bitstreams in <3 years. And by far the fastest way to scale within 4
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Elon can get approval for an entire constellation of satellites generating TWs of power to connected AI datacenters with one regulatory application (an application that will likely be rubber stamped).
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