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John Harrison

@johnharrison

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I'm a writer using AI to understand and write about economics, influenced by Jeff Booth. Sharing what I learn and stress testing ideas in public.

Joined July 2017
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
2 months
@JeffBooth's famous line is: "The natural state of the free market is deflation" Here's why it's fundamentally true:
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
6 hours
When you watch a scandal like the one in Minnesota unfold, it’s natural to want a villain and a simple fix. Catch the criminals. Fire the people who looked away. Tighten the rules. Do all of that. But if we stop there, we’ll be right back here again in a few years, with a new
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
1 day
@PeterDiamandis That the deflation tech tries to give us never materialises due to its effect on our system which is mired in nominal debt. I predict inflationary policies to offset the deflation. And, I predict that the new money props up asset prices increasing the divide between rich and
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
1 day
Politics is theatre now.
@mattvanswol
Matt Van Swol
2 days
Remember when the GOP gave Elon Musk and DOGE a standing ovation in front of the entire American people... ...and then only voted on one DOGE cut, never held anyone accountable, and spent the rest of the year posting about it? This performative bullshit has to stop.
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
2 days
The core issue is how the money system is built. Technology lets us make more with less, so many prices should fall over time. That’s the point of progress. Your phone gets better and cheaper. Communication gets near-free. More and more work gets automated. But we don’t live in
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
2 days
Yes, cut fraud and waste first, and publish receipts. But we can’t pretend it permanently funds an ongoing healthcare bill. Even a perfect clean up doesn’t change the underlying cost curve. If we don’t fix healthcare incentives and the money incentives driving the squeeze,
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
3 days
When I look at this Ro Khanna versus David Friedberg exchange, I see two rational instincts colliding, and then both of them missing the deeper machine that’s creating the conflict in the first place. Ro’s position is more constrained than it sounds. If you’re a politician
@friedberg
david friedberg
4 days
@RoKhanna why stop with billionaires?! why stop at 5%?! keep going, ro, keep going!!
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
4 days
AI and robotics will accelerate the divide between rich and poor as the debt based monetary system we live in pursues inflationary policy to offset the deflation technology tries to give us.
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
5 days
This growth will be reflected in the deflation technology wants to give us. But because we live in a debt based system where stability is provided by ever rising prices...so will the growth be reflected in the inflation the system fights back with. AI is an inflationary
@DaveShapi
David Shapiro (L/0)
5 days
Let's just take a moment to reflect on the fact that AI task autonomy is presently an exponential curve on a logarithmic scale. That is nuts.
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
6 days
AI makes the underlying economy more deflationary. Our current money system is allergic to deflation. That conflict doesn’t resolve by cheering higher GDP numbers. It resolves by changing the rules of money and incentives.
@teslaownersSV
Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
7 days
"There is only basically one way to make everyone wealthy, and that is AI and robotics." — Elon Musk
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 This isn’t a tribe thing. It’s a rules thing. Bitcoin is a neutral system with fixed issuance rules. Nobody can change the ledger to quietly dilute everyone else. That matters because it gives ordinary people a way to save that isn’t designed to melt. I’m not saying “replace
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 I’m not saying anyone thinks you can literally print energy. I’m saying you can create money claims instantly, but you cannot create real energy instantly. Physics and build times don’t care about accounting. Even if renewables are the answer, building them takes years and uses
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 Yes, we do. My point isn’t that hard money magically ends war. My point is that money creation makes war easier to finance and easier to continue. When governments can fund war through new money or debt that will be backstopped, the cost is less immediate and less explicit to
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 Better data is good. But it doesn’t solve the core problem, which is that knowledge is dispersed. Millions of people see local shortages, skills gaps, and opportunities before any central dashboard does. Prices already do “resource gathering” in real time. They tell you what is
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 I agree government spending is not automatically inflationary. Spending that increases real supply, like more energy capacity, more housing, better infrastructure, can be disinflationary over time. But it’s not true that “government spending doesn’t cause inflation”. It can, if
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 Supply shocks are real. Energy shocks are real. But it’s not either supply or money. Money and credit decide whether a supply shock stays a relative price change or becomes broad inflation. If oil becomes scarce, oil gets more expensive. In a system where total spending power
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 If money is a tool to organise labour, then it’s not “overcomplicated” to ask whether the tool is giving honest signals. Money works by communicating information. Prices and wages tell us what’s scarce and what society wants more of. If the ledger can be changed at will, the
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 I’m not claiming you look around the high street and see prices falling everywhere. I’m saying the underlying force from technology is deflationary. We can do more with less time and labour, so many prices want to fall. The reason it doesn’t feel like that is the debt based
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 Exactly. That’s why I’m arguing for money that holds its value. If technology makes us more productive, the default should be that everyday life gets cheaper over time. That helps the poorest the most because they spend most of their income on essentials. Inflation is a hidden
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
9 days
@DavidMcNab17 blocked me so I can't reply to his tweets. Here's my response to his push back: On the mechanics, I’m with you. A currency issuer can always credit accounts. That part is “reality”. But that’s only the first sentence, not the conclusion. The real limits are
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@johnharrison
John Harrison
17 days
If I've given you a clearer way to think about communism, please retweet and share this thread so the conversation moves from the symptoms to the root cause:
@johnharrison
John Harrison
17 days
Communism promises a solution to an unfair system. The instinct is understandable, but communism will only *make things worse*. This thread looks at why, and what I see as the true cause of today’s inequality:
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