Market is bloody and uncertain.. But there is hope. Many still don't grasp why it is much easier to make money, or at least not to lose money, by racing AI hamsters on Henlo Kart, than having knife fights in the trenches, or trading perps even. It's simple statistics really 🧵

Prediction markets are the new trenches. And remember, you have an almost guaranteed 75% chance of winning with @henlokart.

It's been 9 months since this tweet. @HsakaTrades then left and just came back recently. Meanwhile, we've been building the hamster racing "version 2.0" in stealth. The prophecy has to be fulfilled.

Let go of trenching. Let go of leverage. Let go of the ego and desperation of having to make it all back in one trade. Just live. Have fun. Race them hamsters.

For the love of god, and for your own sake, Stop trading. If you really want to make some money or are addicted to gambling, there are safer ways. https://t.co/kKStpTe0nh

You honestly can make more money in a good casino. Henlo Kart is a good casino.

Here you have it. This is why we've been preaching our AI hamster racing game, especially to the degens that've been beaten up in the trenches. It's fairer, safer, fast paced, and fun. Besides, you have the opportunity of winning the jackpot🏆 and a guaranteed reward for playing

But we want to win, and winning means taking risks. On top of the base case, to generate a positive return, the smallest risk is to bet equally on 3 of 4 hamsters. So your chance of winning is 75%, much higher than trading without having insider info. The fewer hamsters you bet

Then what is the strategy? Let's establish the base case here first. An almost guaranteed way of not losing money (and not winning either) is to bet on every hamster with an equal entry size in a race. As long as each of them has gathered nearly the same amount of entries before

However, as most players become aware of this, what eventually happens is that each hamster will have nearly the same amount of entries right before the race starts, which means that your choice of hamster has little to do with your expected return.

This leads to the game theory to play out: Because each hamster has more or less the same odds of winning, in order to increase your potential return, your should bet on the hamster that has gathered the fewest entries, e.g. the last hamster (Tyrion❤️) in the picture below should

Based on the game rule, the players of the winning hamster will share the entire pot prize, pro rata to their entry size. A little refresher: https://t.co/ZsOrDn04Hw

One tweet liquidated hundreds of millions. Once again, I'm reminding you: You have a better chance of making money, good money, from racing AI hamsters!

Gambling is messed up because the house and the insiders have a significant edge against you, and this is especially prevalent in event driven prediction markets. It's fundamentally the same as aping in the trenches, where most people get rinsed by the cabals. This is why we've

Happy Halloween🐹

On a bloody day like today, I'd like to remind y'all again: You have a better chance of making money by racing AI hamster on Henlo Kart, than having knife fights in the trenches.

Winners Average Winners Now put your freshly won ETH back to the pot, like a true gambler

We live for moments like this. AI hamster racing will make crypto fun again.

Bro...

So much winning🫡