UST is worse than Bitconnect.
At least Bitconnect didn’t masquerade as a stablecoin.
When your ponzi targets people’s savings (not investment) portfolio, there is a special place in hell reserved for you.
Half of CT influencers, VCs, and trading firms are complicit.
No matter how this ends, I don't want people to call UST decentralized again. Even the little collateral backing it has is intransparent and controlled by a single party. Used to perform discretionary open market operations. This is like 10x worse than the Fed.
after some reflection, here's my take on a eth pow fork
1. many, incl me, have predicted for years that miners would fork ethereum to extract the final juice out of their investment. it doesn't take nostradamus to see this.
If you believe in crypto long-term, consider joining a project today, put your head down, and do some actual work. Trading and shitposting are not positive sum endeavors. As a side effects, you‘ll stop measuring your self worth in net worth, making the swings much more tolerable.
Starting this week, I‘m leading Strategy @ Flashbots. This team has both the right vision and talent to shape the future of crypto and I‘m very excited to be a part of it.
the merge has only convinced me further that the intellectual state of the btc community is truly in shambles. the high-quality people who remain (e.g. bitmex research) are mostly covering ethereum now. I still love Bitcoin very much and hope for a restorative movement.
My two cents -- I'm a Blockfi equity holder, and wiping out equity holders is exactly what SHOULD happen if a bank/lender goes insolvent. Customer deposits must be protected at all costs.
SCOOP:
@APompliano
and
@MarkYusko
’s Morgan Creek Digital are trying to put together an alternative rescue package for
@BlockFi
.
Why?
@FTX_Official
’s $250M credit line stood to wipe out BlockFi shareholders, including Morgan Creek.
@0x_bae
reports
I'm excited to release a mega-post that
@_anishagnihotri
and I have been hacking away at for the last few weeks:
Paradigm's Guide to Designing Effective NFT Launches!
Here's your reminder that for each account posting their $5k -> $50m story on Twitter, there are 100s-1000s of people who have lost $5k instead. Any gain above market beta is someone else's loss.
Imo this Ledger leak is unforgivable. You simply can't sell hardware wallets and store the personal information of your customers on an online server.
Cut off business with them, only way companies in this space are gonna learn to take our physical security seriously.
hot take: if you work in the video games industry today, I see that about as bad as working in the cigarette industry in 1960/70s. destroying ppl's lives and families, it's just not yet commonly understood
I can't believe we're about to invalidate two anti-
#Bitcoin
/crypto narratives at the same time
B̵i̵t̵c̵o̵i̵n̵ ̵i̵s̵ ̵m̵i̵n̵e̵d̵ ̵w̵i̵t̵h̵ ̵c̵o̵a̵l̵
̵B̵i̵t̵c̵o̵i̵n̵ ̵i̵s̵ ̵c̵o̵n̵t̵r̵o̵l̵l̵e̵d̵ ̵b̵y̵ ̵C̵h̵i̵n̵a̵
The further this cycle progresses, the more I find myself agreeing with the crypto critics than supporters. I watch s/o like FoldingIdeas and agree w/ 90% of what‘s said and that doesn‘t feel good. The great ideas are still there but getting drowned in a garbage island of fraud
Sometime in the next 1-2 years, there will be a flippening from "fat protocol thesis" to "fat application thesis". The space is way overinvested in L1 copycats
Imagine if EIP-1559 was live today. Every block mined right now has 30 ETH in fees or more, going to ETH holders
Then, imagine if PoS was live as well. ETH Stakers would capture tens to hundreds of millions of dollars from MEV via liquidations
Gives you an idea of the potential
#bitcoin
fees are at all-time lows. the craziest thing? fall 2021 was the first bull run not accompanied by a major spike in fees.
how is that possible? what does it mean? here's a thread explaining the most confounding (and awesome) chart in bitcoin. (remember june 2021)
It's out:
@zhusu
and I discuss
- The arguments for Ethereum’s scaling roadmap
- The arguments for Alt L1s to out-scale Ethereum
- What the “Crypto Villain of the Year” thinks about his image
- Parallels to BTC maximalism in the ETH community
and more!
after ~6 months in Flashbots and ~3 months in Lido, I can tell you w/ high confidence that there is no substitute to working as an operator. I could have been a researcher-investor-podcaster for 5more yrs and not learned 20% of the things I am learning today
above is how a typical Defi app works today
below is how I think it should work
first, complete all actions (on simulated data if necessary), then batch-sign everything. more than one signature per interaction should be an anti-pattern
I would read a blog that only collects and documents crypto experiments that failed. So we can actually learn from history and are not forced to repeat the same mistakes over and over again.
In this episode,
@zhusu
and I sat down with legendary trader
@CryptoCobain
to discuss
- the bull case for Ethereum and its upcoming catalysts
- whether ETH can flippen BTC
- what advice has helped Cobie to survive several market cycles
Enjoy!
I'm excited to start collaborating with
@paradigm
on research and writing!
'Understanding AMMs' is a new series on automated market-makers. In the first installment, I discuss price impact and how to mitigate it.
More to come in the future!
3. the chance that a major stablecoin will honor redemptions on this fork over eth2 is not 5%, its not 1%, its a cold zero. anyone who says otherwise is a grifter.
Interesting to see Musk go through the same hero's journey as so many others have before him, repeating the same fallacies.
Even if done from the platform of being a visionary and richest man on earth, it doesn't make him any more right.
"(...) so far, we have been lenient and accepted any project as long as it claims to be "on a path to decentralization". By the end of the year, I think our standards should increase and we should only treat a project as a rollup if it has actually reached at least stage 1."…
Been saying for the last year that PoW will become a big problem for BTC down the road. It's a false narrative, but you can't beat the stupidity of the masses.
PTJ said something incredible on CNBC today.
"I've never seen a store of value where you also have [such] great intellectual capital behind it. [...] When you short the bond market as an inflation hedge you're really betting on the fallacy of mankind rather than its ingenuity."
9. although most alt chains today are forks of ethereum, none has forked ethereum state. not because they didnt think of it but because its a completely stupid idea.
Love it how the Bitcoin and Ethereum community remind each other of their respective cringiest conference moments, so we can all cringe together. The real unifier 🤝
I worry that the Defi community is talking too much about governance now. To me, they‘re optimizing for a local maximum. The real innovation in crypto is systems that don‘t *need* governance to function. Look beyond the hilltop!
I have noticed that Binance has been overcharging users on Ethereum network fees lately. On 10+ transfers I have paid $35 withdrawal fee each, while actual network fees ranged between $4 and $24, with sub $10 average. That‘s $25 shaved off the average transaction.
As an investor with a 2-3 year time horizon, I still find the NFT space difficult to invest in. I‘m near 100% that NFT art in general will be far higher in 3 years, but:
1. so many assets to choose from, so many copycats
2. lack of history esp. how investors behave in down turns
Crypto journalists are running around asking everyone and their dog about USDT reserves again. I haven‘t seen a single comparable inquiry about the backing of UST. The morale of the story? Simple mechanisms get more scrutiny than complicated ones when the opposite should be true.
#Binance
has temporarily suspended withdrawals of $ETH and Ethereum-based tokens in order to address a congestion issue.
Rest assured funds are
#SAFU
and we apologize for any inconvenience caused.
Updates to follow.
Unpopular opinion (that I bet will become popular very soon): Most Defi apps have no business paying dividends at this early stage and should instead build warchests and reinvest into growth. It‘s really no different from other early stage, high growth businesses.
@rafdo
@StaniKulechov
As a member of the community I would rather have the Aave governance building a massive warchest of stablecoins (that are automatically lent out to earn interest) and other protocols gov tokens (mkr, uni, sushi, CRV, bal, yfi).
I sat down w/
@dannyryan
and
@TimBeiko
of the EF to record a mega episode on Ethereum's transition to PoS. In part 1, we discuss
- how consensus works in PoW vs PoS
- the long road to PoS
- client modularity
- how to test for such a massive event
As MEV is becoming even more important in PoS Ethereum, Flashbots is about to release mev-boost, a neutral middleware that allows any builder to openly compete in making the best blocks. This is great for validators, staking pools, and Ethereum itself.
Re: Ethereum vs BSC
Every marginal person coming into this space will be less ideological and more pragmatic than the last. The result is an erosion of values over time.
The hypothesis that many people will pay extra for decentralization is still completey unproven.
Announcement: Multiple relays at the merge—rather than a single default—is key to Ethereum’s health. We are open sourcing our relay to encourage competition and reduce single points of failure.
Excited to share this article
@MonetSupply
and I have been working on: A New Mental Model for Defi Treasuries
This topic is very close to our heart and we hope that everyone reads it.
Inside:
- Why native tokens in treasuries are not assets
(cont)
Not a fan of seeing people shill Defi as a Robinhood substitute here. Same as Bitcoin wasn't ready for Wikileaks in 2010, Defi is not ready for more mainstream adoption. Most projects are not yet censorship-resistant, I say that as a big Defi fan. Give them more time.
We are excited to make our biggest announcement to date.
After successfully isolating the centralizing effects of MEV to the block builder role, we are turning toward a new challenge:
To decentralize block building itself.
Since co-founding
@DeribitInsights
in 2019 with
@zhusu
, we have turned it into one of the premier research outlets in crypto. Exchanges giving back to the community by funding development and research is a special thing that only exists in crypto, and we should be proud of it.❤️
Bancor’s shell game of IL hiding is collapsing. They print new BNT to compensate underwater LPs and call it “IL protection”. The cost is transferred to BNT holders via inflation, which causes further IL to all other BNT pairs, and leads to further inflation. A death spiral.
@DeFi_Dad
except Bancor doesn't *actually* reduce IL in any way. Like SUSHI, they just throw more incentives at the problem to compensate LPs. this strategy will always collapse at scale.
It‘s honestly pitiful seeing so many people call crypto a new paradigm, future of France etc. a week ago only to have a complete mental breakdown after a 20% price drop. Goodness. Just focus on making good decisions and surviving for the long run!
PTJ says other inflation hedges are fundamentally bearish humanity whereas Bitcoin is bullish humanity.
That is an incredible statement that I've never seen expressed so clearly before.
Yesterday a friend of mine got scammed for a pretty substantial amount in an OTC trade on Telegram. I had not seen this method before and thought others should be aware of it:
Traditional financial institutions get their 50% of their moat from regulation, 40% from trust, and 10% from product.
How do you think they will do in a world where regulations don‘t matter as much, and trust is free?
They don‘t even know how to compete on product anymore.
I don't believe in decentralized governance for Defi apps, the core product is best built by lean & highly centralized teams. Trust comes from lack of custody and access control, not the process by which the sausage is made. You can have a grants program for all periphery.
Unpopular but in my opinon
1) flat org structures have been an intellectual dead end and in spite of all the hype crypto is likely not going to change that
2) all else equal, a DAO run like a hierarchical company with clear ownership is going to outperform a DAO that isn‘t
Okay, so what actually is Cardano, what's their vision, where are they today? I don't know how they do it but when IRL friends tend to coldcall me about crypto they *always* ask about ADA.
seems obvious enough that the number of assets tokenized on public blockchains will only go up from here. hard to be bearish on Defi for that reason alone
8. crypto is full of bad projects that only exist to dump on retail, but that doesn't make it ok to support them. the fact that ghost chains like etc still exist does not vindicate that point.
the entire crypto industry needs to rethink its approach to lending and leverage. the reflexivity of crypto is outside anything seen before in traditional asset classes. even if we somehow come out of this unscathed, we can not carry on with the status quo.
7. no one wants to use or build ethpow. i have studied the etc, bch, and bsv forks and these were actually dividing their respective communities. in all cases, their minorities were actual believers and not in it for a short-term trade. ethpow doesnt have 1% of that support.