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Halo CME Profile
Halo CME

@halocme

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Solar physicist at LMSAL (alum UTkyAst). I believe space weather missions (for safe human space exploration) need a way higher investment than science missions.

Palo Alto, California
Joined October 2013
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@halocme
Halo CME
11 months
MOST POWERFUL FLARE IN SOLAR CYCLE 25. It was X9.0 in GOES X-ray measurement. It was quite eruptive, leaving a coronal wave. The eruption/CME seemed to result from magnetic reconnection rather than ideally from a pre-existing flux rope. It may come in less than 3 days.
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@halocme
Halo CME
5 days
A major eruption in AR 14168 associated with an M2.2 flare on 2025/08/10. This phenomenon, supra-arcade downflow, accompanies very energetic eruptions. The CME was not particularly spectacular in this case, though. Other M-class flares in the same region did not show this.
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@grok
Grok
6 days
The most fun image & video creation tool in the world is here. Try it for free in the Grok App.
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@halocme
Halo CME
8 days
G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) Watch Issued for 08-09 Aug 2025 by @NWSSWPC. See Here is the screenshot.
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@halocme
Halo CME
8 days
Near real-time ACE data provided by @NWSSWPC show the solar wind has been elevated since last night, finally causing a G1 (Kp:5-) storm. But we need to monitor the data for longer time to determine how the CME on Aug 5 may have contributed to these disturbances.
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@halocme
Halo CME
9 days
Today AR 14168 produced another M-class (M3.9) flare, preceded by an eruption in a quiescent region in the eastern hemisphere. I run two versions of AIA movies - running difference to see (weak) coronal waves and base difference to see significant coronal dimmings.
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@halocme
Halo CME
11 days
Agreed. But from STEREO-A, the CME appeared from left, meaning it did not propagate too west. Also the Parker spiral may help it toward us. Yes, we need to see model runs.
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@Vincent_Ledvina
Vincent Ledvina
11 days
Wow that westward bias really shows up in the coronagraphs… need to see what the models say, but this looks like it will be more of a clip than a direct impact at Earth.
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@halocme
Halo CME
11 days
Eruption from Earth strike zone! We may get some impact on August 8. This was associated with an M4.4 flare in AR 14168, which seems to be still evolving. We see a more spectacular coronal wave than during yesterday's M2.0 flare. And major dimming (.
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@halocme
Halo CME
12 days
Large-scale coronal waves have been rare these days - I do not record any since 15 June 2025. Here is one from this morning, accompanying an M2.0 flare in AR 14168. It is not spectacular and not associated with a CME, but there may be more energetic ones in the coming days.
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@halocme
Halo CME
14 days
Solar activity is low. The latest X-class flare was on June 19. This movie (HMI magnetogram + helioseismic far side map) indicates no solid big spots over the past few weeks. But who knows there won't be major flux emergence in near future? We need to keep monitoring the Sun.
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@halocme
Halo CME
15 days
Great review article on coronal dimmings in connection with CMEs from the Sun and other stars. This is must-read. It may be challenging to completely comprehend Section 5 "A new categorization" (from page 49 to 78). Table 1 may help.
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link.springer.com
Living Reviews in Solar Physics - Coronal dimmings associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun have gained much attention since the late 1990s when they were first observed in...
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@halocme
Halo CME
21 days
The reported filament disappearance in H-alpha was indeed an eruption also seen in coronal temperatures. And nice dimmings! I think this was responsible for the enhanced solar wind we are experiencing (but no storm yet due to northward field direction.)
@RyanJFrench
Dr. Ryan French
24 days
Spot the difference – this small filament erupted overnight, expected to impact Earth and trigger a minor geomagnetic storm this weekend. #spaceweather
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
This shows GOES X-ray flux in solar cycle 25 up to now (the last data point: 7-Jul-2025 21:49) in one-minute time resolution. The peak appears to have passed, but we will be experiencing many more X-class flares and associated major eruptions in coming years.
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
This shows GOES X-ray flux over most of solar cycle 24 in one-minute resolution. The two biggest X-class flares occurred well after the cycle peak. Also, note weeks of no major (e.g., >M-class) flares during the peak of the cycle. We may still have big events in near future.
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
Eruption from Sun's northeast limb and M2.4 flare. This AIA passband is sensitive to both low (~0.5 MK) and high (~10 MK) temperature plasma. The flare represents the latter, whereas the eruption likely the former. The spurious diffraction pattern is not removed.
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
This shows GOES X-ray flux over most of solar cycle 24 in one-minute resolution. The two biggest X-class flares occurred well after the cycle peak. Also, note weeks of no major (e.g., >M-class) flares during the peak of the cycle. We may still have big events in near future.
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@nichol76_yk
Yuko Katsuda
1 month
@halocme Do you mean September 2017, or do you mean this phenomenon? Do you think there is a possibility that this phenomenon will occur in the near future?.
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
The NICT press release you referred to was issued on 2017-09-07 JST, highlighting the X9.3 flare on 09-06. But there was an X8.3 flare on 09-10, which looked more spectacular with a very fast CME. This video served in my pinned post for long time. Yes, let's hope that.
@nichol76_yk
Yuko Katsuda
1 month
@halocme Do you mean September 2017, or do you mean this phenomenon? Do you think there is a possibility that this phenomenon will occur in the near future?.
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@halocme
Halo CME
1 month
Interesting. SDO/HMI B_LOS data indicate the magnetic field in Sun's north pole (latitude>70°, middle panel) fully reversed late in 2024. In the declining phase of a solar cycle, we may expect scary regions like AR 12673 (Sep 2017), and an elevated frequency of stealth CMEs.
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@RyanJFrench
Dr. Ryan French
1 month
Sunspot numbers are in for June 2025, and we’ve once again experienced the lowest sunspot numbers for 15 months! As more months pass, we can say with increasing confidence that we experienced solar maximum back in October 2024. ☀️
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@halocme
Halo CME
2 months
The latest solar image shows high-latitude filaments are sitting in both hemispheres. According to an extremely senior, now Scottish, solar physicist (with ~60 years of experience), they may erupt at any time. We will see. From the Hinode 18 - IRIS 16 Meeting in London.
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@halocme
Halo CME
2 months
Another X-class (X1.9) flare occurred in AR 14114 around midnight (in UT) to 20 June 2025. Again, no global eruptions were observed. Therefore no CME and thus no auroras from this event. I think we are done with this region, which will soon rotate past Earth strike zone.
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@halocme
Halo CME
2 months
AR 14114 produced an X-class (X1.2) flare while in Earth-strike zone. But no sign of a global eruption -> no CME -> no geomagnetic impact. But don't give up. The region is still facing us.
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@halocme
Halo CME
2 months
Today (2025/06/15) there was a notable eruption, associated with an M8.4 flare in AR 14114. Its location in Earth strike zone may help impact us, but the eruption and coronal waves were quite limited. Here I show three kinds of AIA images for you to make your own predictions.
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@halocme
Halo CME
2 months
I probably meant Parker Solar Probe, which approached the Sun quickly. At its first encounter within three months after launch, it was already at 0.17 AU (35.6 solar radii) from the Sun. Keyword: Venus flyby. See
@nichol76_yk
Yuko Katsuda
2 months
このまえロッキードの太陽研究者さんと話した時は数ヶ月で太陽までたどり着くって言ってたような.
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