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Greg Howard Profile
Greg Howard

@greg_l_howard

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120

Economics, Assistant Professor, UIUC. Blair, UNC, MIT alum. Tar Heels and Nationals fan.

Joined May 2009
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
7 months
RT @MIT_uelab: We are delighted to announce that our postdoc, Vinicios Sant'Anna @vpsantanna, is on the job market. His #EconJMP (with @di….
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
9 months
RT @restatjournal: A regional university insulates the local economy from negative shocks like manufacturing decline. In the July issue, Gr….
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
1 year
RT @vpsantanna: Our latest working paper on immigration and native flight is out at the MIT Center for Real Estate Research Paper series. 👇.
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
1 year
RT @JPolEcon: Free to read for a limited time! "A Check for Rational Inattention" by @greg_l_howard at Read more….
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Thanks to everyone that gave great suggestions as I've been writing the paper. Additional feedback is welcome! Link to the paper:
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Third, while short-run migration elasticities are comparable to existing models, the long-run elasticities are completely different. (In this new version, we provide a trick for people who love the tractability of moving cost models to still get the elasticities right).
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Second, since the model doesn't feature moving costs at all, it gives a different perspective on policies that encourage migration. Primarily, the new model has dramatically less room for improving welfare by helping people overcome migration frictions.
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Does this new model matter for questions related to internal migration? Yes! First, we show that it does a better job of forecasting locations than a basic moving cost model. This is because it can hit that square root fact, so it more accurately guesses the probability of moving.
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Puzzles are meant to be solved, so we propose a new model where people rarely move because their personal location preferences are strongly correlated over time and space, not because they face high moving costs. This model matches the square root fact
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
In this updated draft, we emphasize that this new fact is a puzzle for existing moving cost models. When migration is rare (as it is in the data), those models predict an approximately linear relationship
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
What's the new fact? The t-year migration rate (the share of people living in a different state than they did t years ago) is proportional to the square root of t
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Updated one of my papers (with Hansen Shao) and gave it a new name: "The Dynamics of Internal Migration: A New Fact and its Implications".
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Check it out if you're interested in empirical tests of rational inattention, or if you just like chess papers!
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
My paper, "A Check for Rational Inattention" is up on JPE Micro's website! Happy to see it out!
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
RT @ModeledBehavior: Excited to see my paper with @greg_l_howard and @liebersohn out in Journal of Financial Economics .
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Check out my article with @liebersohn, "Regional Divergence and House Prices," in this issue!
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@SEDmeeting
SED Meeting
2 years
RED volume 49 (July 2023) is out!. @RevEconDyn
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
RT @restatjournal: Just Accepted new paper, "An Estimated Model of Household Inflation Expectations: Information Frictions and Implications….
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
Here’s a link to the paper:
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
RT @AREUEA_ORG: Remote work impacts the demand for housing and certain locations and this impact changes over time. Join us for this talk o….
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@greg_l_howard
Greg Howard
2 years
I love this type of paper: an important question, some fun (and careful) identification, and you learn some history along the way.
@politicory
Cory Smith
2 years
Very excited to put up a draft of my paper with @AmritaKulka: "Agglomeration Over the Long Run:.Evidence from County Seat Wars".
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