Grant Hawkridge
@granthawkridge
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Following
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Golf, cigars, whisky & looking at charts
Joined May 2018
Do you know I write a daily note? . The Daily Number 👉 Sign up. it's free! 👉
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21 straight sessions without a ±1% move. And guess what?. That’s how bull markets like it. Quiet tape. Strong trend. No stress. 👉
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There are people on my feed saying there’s been a shift to risk off…. The market just closed at all-time highs. What are they even looking at??? Haha. If this is risk off, I’d hate to see risk on 🤣.
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LFG!.
Welcome to the team @TheDonInvesting. Excited to have you on board!. If being an intern at All Star Charts or @StockMktTV is something you’re interested in, my DMs are open. We’re growing and always looking for help from top talent. Follow this guy. He’s good. 🤙👇👊.
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Since October 2022, the S&P 500 has gained 76.4% over 694 trading days. That’s a solid run. but still well below the average bull market, which delivers a 154% gain over 1,145 days.
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23 straight days of new highs > new lows. Not noise. confirmation!. Markets don’t grind higher on hope. 👉
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April–May wasn’t noise. It was violent confirmation: 10-Day MA Thrust. 20-Day Highs Thrust. NYSE Up Volume Spike. Triple 70 Signal. ZBT. Five thrusts! All in a tight cluster. That’s not bearish. That’s a bull kicking the door in. This is a trend ignition. You either.
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✅ 8 of 8 Signals Bullish.🟢 Regime: Fully Confirmed Bull Market.🚨 Noise ≠ Risk — the internals still say “go”. Price is leading. Momentum is firm. Breadth thrust is active. This isn’t stretched — it’s supported. Pullbacks here aren’t red flags. They’re fuel stops. I update
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💥💪🏌️♂️.
If Scotty wins The Open I win a new driver! Let's go Scotty!.
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If Scotty wins The Open I win a new driver! Let's go Scotty!.
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There are two types of breadth analyst. The Perfectionist. Only 70% of stocks are above their 200-day. That’s a problem. The Realist. 70% of stocks are trending up. That’s strength. Same number. Different mindset!. One sees what’s missing. The other sees what.
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RT @EricSoda: Investing Update: Any Fuel Left In This Rally?. Charts from @byHeatherLong @granthawkridge @ISABELNET….
spilledcoffee.co
What I'm buying, selling & watching
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Watch this.
Everybody's Wrong | TCAF 200🎙️. @Downtown and @michaelbatnick are joined by TCAF legend @JC_ParetsX to discuss: the most important sector in the market, the biggest contrarian call, the only people losing money right now, Bitcoin dominance crashing, and more!🔥💸
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Weight of Evidence > Single Indicator. Discipline > Prediction. Probabilities > Certainties. Models > Opinions.
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I don’t buy possibilities. I buy probabilities. In a bull market, the odds favor strength — so I buy breakouts. In a bear market, the edge flips — so I buy reversals with trend confirmation. Different regime. Different edge. Possibilities are endless — but probabilities pay.
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Stretch? What Stretch?🧘. The S&P 500 is near highs, but the 1-year return Z-score is –0.2. No excess. No froth. Just trend. That’s rare in a trending market — and it keeps the door open for more upside. 👉
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👇👀.
We are now two months removed from the May 12 spike in new 20-day highs on the S&P 500 (which signaled a DeGraaf Breadth Thrust). The 7.3% rally in the S&P 500 since that signal is one of the strongest post-breadth thrust moves we have seen in the past 45 years.
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Risk-On’s Not Tiptoeing — It’s Charging 🚀. 13 of 19 key risk ratios now favor the risk-on asset. 18 of 19 moved toward offense over the last month. High Beta, Brokers-Dealers, Copper… all leading. This isn’t scattered strength. It’s coordinated conviction.
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