Dataroma
@ffdataroma
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Using data-driven analysis to help you win in all FF formats | @SleeperHQ Affiliate | Join my Substack to get all my writing via email + The 2025 Draft Guide⬇️
Joined June 2023
As mentioned in the quoted post, going to lay out my content plans for next ~6 months. Will also explain where/how to access this content for those who are new. I know the majority of you won’t have any interest in reading through all this, so you can scroll to the bottom for.
After about 9 months since my first post on X, I’ve officially hit 10,000 followers as of this morning. While it’s an arbitrary milestone that doesn’t really change anything, it does remind me how appreciative I am of everyone that has followed along and allowed me to grow so.
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Tahj Brooks is set up uniquely well for a late day 3 RB. Zack moss cut + Perine passing downs only = clear injury handcuff to Brown. Big body (214 lbs) and shifty (0.27 MTF/Att). Strong in pass pro (65.6 PFF grade). Handled massive workload (285+ rushes each of L2 seasons).
Tahj Brooks checking a ton of boxes to be a late Day 3 pick who could matter. Doubtful Samaje Perine is the bellcow if Chase Brown misses because he has 2 games above 14 carries since 2018. Brooks is 214 pounds. Decent shiftiness. Capable on pass downs. Reportedly a great guy.
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KLS (possibly good?).
2nd round rookie Tre Harris should thrive as the Chargers WR2. 5.15 YPPR in 2024 (!). Big athlete + can separate. Only comp is QJ (bad) and 5th round rookie KLS (probably bad). Attached to Justin Herbert. the path to an elite rookie season is clear .
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McLaurin is going to be disappointed trying to get $35mil+ on the open market. Holds notably more value to Washington than any other team IMO.
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Also fwiw, Henderson is the RB20 so he’s priced closer to a fantasy RB3 than an RB1. Not going to kill you if he doesn’t hit in round 6, but the upside is immense.
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Rhamondre: Poor rushing efficiency, slow and unathletic, severe fumbling issues that have got him benched more than once. Henderson: Early round 2 rookie, very explosive, elite pass catcher + blocker. I think it’s clear why there’s a large gap between the two NE RBs.
I think based on the ADPs this is the correct RB exposure to New England. Rhamondre Stevenson is priced like a handcuff when he’s probably the starter, while TreVeyon Henderson is erroneously priced like a highly productive RB1. Anyone disagree?
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Deep “threat” is a bit rich for describing early 2024 Worthy. Xavier Worthy weeks 1-9 in his more vertical role (11.6 aDOT):. 17% TPRR (t-76th/112 WRs). 1.08 YPRR (87th). 29.4 YPG (73rd). 2 Deep Receptions (t-74th). From week 10 on (including playoffs), Worthy dropped down.
You see “Xavier Worthy was only good in fantasy because he switched to Rice’s role”. I see “Worthy was so good he was able to flip from being a deep threat to an underneath volume target in the middle of his rookie season.”. Genie is out of the bottle.
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As a Breece fader… come on now.
Really hesitant on Hall because Allen can pretty much do everything Hall can do. Hall could end up the 1B in this situation.
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*Also undeniably a knock for Gesicki. Moving him down a decent bit in my ranks.
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Fant is probably irrelevant in Cinci with both better receiving (Gesicki) and better blocking (Sample/Hudson) TEs in the fold. Miami felt like his only path to any real relevancy.
Sources: Former Broncos first-round pick Noah Fant, sent to Seattle as part of the Russell Wilson trade, is expected to sign with the Cincinnati Bengals.
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Rachaad White at RB45, ahead of elite handcuffs like Allgeier and Guerendo, really doesn’t make much sense IMO:. Phased out by TB down stretch of last season (ZERO rushes in final 2 games). Likely 3rd best rusher on team - Tucker 1A w/ Bucky injury? (Tucker led all RBs w/ 50+.
Sean Tucker got some work today, and Todd Bowles said that his aggression and low center of gravity make him an ideal back. “He’s exactly what we want.”.
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Jonnu Smith, dropping all the way to TE22 (178.1 ovr), is becoming an intriguing price. Coming off a career year (0.28 TPRR, 2.23 YPRR), and has a good chance to be 2nd on PIT in targets. Should eat in the short/intermediate game like he did in Miami.
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You’re not high enough on Tet McMillan.
Tet McMillan is set up for a great year 1. Elite college profile (1.3k+ yards in L2 seasons, 19 y/o breakout). Clear WR1 in CAR. Big YAC threat that can separate AND win at catch-point . Bryce Young improved (15th in EPA from Wk9). My WR15 (WR21 ADP).
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2nd round rookie Tre Harris should thrive as the Chargers WR2. 5.15 YPPR in 2024 (!). Big athlete + can separate. Only comp is QJ (bad) and 5th round rookie KLS (probably bad). Attached to Justin Herbert. the path to an elite rookie season is clear .
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It’s typically best to ignore 7th RD rookie hype, but the drum beat for Jacorey Croskey-Merritt has been very consistent. Scored 17 TDs on an elite 0.34 MTF/Att and 11.2% breakaway rate in 2023. Uniquely good opportunity for a 7th RD rookie RB as well.
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Written 5 days ago in my “Predicting ADP Risers” article…. With Zack Moss gone, Tahj Brooks poses clear value as the like injury handcuff (with room for more) to Chase Brown. He’ll be out of round 18 in no time.
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Travis Hunter is the most polarizing name in fantasy football…. As the snap counts at camp caused debate on his role, it felt like a good time to dive deep into what his 2025 could look like and whether he’s good selection at ADP. I did so in my latest article on Substack⬇️.
If you’re drafting Hunter, I really wouldn’t worry about his snap count from camp so far. It tells us next to nothing. In camp, the offense and defense are going up against each other, so Hunter obviously can’t be on both sides of the ball simultaneously. I’ve seen way too.
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Loveland feels like a lock to creep up a round+ in ADP from here. Top 10 draft pick that has an elite receiving profile and is consistently running w/ the 1s already in camp.
I hate training camp victory laps, but a veteran opening camp with the 2s is pretty much curtains. Really hope nobody talked themselves out of the top-10 pick based on Cole Kmet this summer.
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