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If you want to understand the history of passing in the NFL, this chart is a good place to start.
2020 was the highest completion percentage year ever (65.2%), and also the lowest Y/C year ever (11.1).
Cmp% in BLUE against the LEFT Y-Axis.
Y/C in RED against the RIGHT Y-Axis.
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Shout out to Mecole Hardman for joining Matt Snell as the only players to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl and play for the Jets in the same season.
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No team in NFL history has ever gone an entire game without punting, kicking a field goal, or turning the ball over.
Buffalo hasn't done any of those things through 58 minutes.
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Since this photo, the New York football Giants are 12-40.
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Strange but still true: The 6-7 Cowboys have scored more points than the 10-2 Seahawks.
The 6-7 Cowboys have also allowed fewer points than the 10-2 Seahawks.
Dallas has also gained more yards than Seattle and allowed fewer yards than Seattle.
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And with the Bills kneeling it out, they’re going to do it. No kicks or punts. No turnovers. Also no failed 4th down attempts. Wow - an incredible game and a first in NFL history!
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Lamar Jackson vs. Miami today has a perfect passer rating and 4 TDs and just 3 incompletions.
Last QB to have a perfect passer rating and more passing TDs than incompletions in a game: Lamar Jackson vs. CIN in 2019
Last QB to do it before that?
Lamar Jackson vs. MIA in 2019
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The Colts released Peyton Manning and drafted Andrew Luck in the spring of 2012.
Since then, Manning has won more games and thrown for more TDs than Luck.
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There have been 4 times in NFL history a QB was in his 40s at the start of the season and went on to throw for 4,000 passing yards. Quarterbacks and their age that season listed below.
Tom Brady, 2020 (43)
Tom Brady, 2019 (42)
Tom Brady, 2018 (41)
Tom Brady, 2017 (40)
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A charmed life: Brandin Cooks has gone from Drew Brees to Tom Brady to Jared Goff to Deshaun Watson at QB.
Larry Fitzgerald once went from Derek Anderson to Max Hall to John Skelton to Kevin Kolb to Skelton to Kolb to Skelton to Kolb to Ryan Lindley ... without changing teams.
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Jared Goff, last 16 games:
362/608 (63.1%)
4,256 yards (7.0 Y/A)
17 TD
16 INT
79.2 passer rating
28 sacks, 219 sack yards lost, **5.75 ANY/A**
3 rushing TDs
16 fumbles
He's basically high volume Mark Sanchez.
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Le'Veon Bell is 50 yards away from tying Ezekiel Elliot in yards from scrimmage this season.
Bell was suspended the first 3 games.
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Players who have hit 1,200 receiving yards and 12 TDs at the age of 21:
1. Randy Moss
2. Ja'Marr Chase
That's it. That's the list.
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I don't think I've ever seen a better 7-game stretch by a defense.
New England's defense has outscored the other team *WHILE NEW ENGLAND'S DEFENSE IS ON THE FIELD* so far this year, 20-18.
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The Broncos currently rank last in scoring and 1st in points allowed. That's unprecedented in the 32 team era.
In fact, the last NFL team to finish with the fewest points scored and fewest points allowed was the 1946 Steelers.
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If you removed all the postseason touchdown passes that Tom Brady threw to Rob Gronkowski, David Givens, Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola, Deion Branch, and Randy Moss....
Brady would still be the career leader in passing touchdowns in the playoffs.
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Jets had the ball at their 34, with 95 seconds to go, no timeouts, down by 13 points .... and won.
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Aaron Rodgers has started 182 games. The Packers have won 119 of them.
During Brett Favre's first 182 starts, the Packers won... 119 games.
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In the last 5 seasons, only four teams have scored 8 or fewer offensive touchdowns through 8 team games:
2019 Jets
2020 Jets
2023 Giants
2023 Jets
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Brock Purdy has 3,553 passing yards on just 359 passes this year. That is insane.
He's averaging 9.9 yards per attempt, which is the highest average by any passer in over 65 years.
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Longest QB runs of last 25 years
Terrelle Pryor, 93 yards, TD
Colin Kaepernick, 90 yards, TD
Marcus Mariota, 87 yards, TD
Kordell Stewart, 80 yards, TD
Daniel Jones, 80 yards, invisible assassin
Steve Bono, 76 yards, TD
Robert Griffin III, 76 yards, TD
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Josh Allen leads the NFL with 11 interceptions, and with Davis Mills being benched, Kirk Cousins and Matt Ryan (9 each) are the closest ones to him.
No QB has led the NFL in interceptions and won the Super Bowl since Matt Stafford with the Rams back in February.
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Peyton Manning threw 579 touchdowns in his career, regular and postseason combined.
Since 1984, the Cleveland Browns have 576 passing touchdowns.
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Tom Brady has played 17 full years.
-- 9 ended in the Super Bowl
-- 4 ended in the AFCCG
-- 2 ended in the Divisional Round
-- 1 ended in the WC round
-- 1 ended after the regular season
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Adam Gase's career record is now 30-29-8.
That's 30 wins, 29 double-digit losses, and 8 single-digit losses.
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Adam Gase has now coached 56 games in his NFL career. His teams have been more likely to lose by double digits (25) than to win the game (24).
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Matt Ryan has now lost 5 games where he hit 125+ in passer rating and threw for 250+ yards. That includes the Super Bowl and today.
No other QB has lost more than 3 such games.
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92.3 = Joe Montana's career passer rating.
92.4 = average passer rating in the NFL in 2018.
Reminder: at one point, Montana had the passer rating of all time.
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Prior to the 16-game season era, Joe Namath was the only QB in pro football history to throw for 4,000 yards in a season.
At the conclusion of the 16-game season era, the Chicago Bears and... the New York Jets were the only teams to not have a 4,000-yard passer from '78 to '20.
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Think Julio Jones is on a hot streak? He still needs 335 receiving yards Sun to break Josh Gordon's 4-game yards mark of 774.
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Saints GM has a lot of explaining to do. Thomas Morstead is the highest paid punter in the NFL at $3.9M per year, and he's been used for just one play the last two weeks COMBINED.
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The 49ers are one of three teams with 3,400+ passing yards this season, despite being last in pass attempts this year. Wild.
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NFC East teams are 3-19 this season against teams with a winning record. The Eagles have all three victories (GB, BUF, CHI). And before Philadelphia fans pound their chest, the Eagles have also lost to three 3-win teams this year.
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Only 3 cornerbacks have been named a first-team AP All-Pro despite having 0 interceptions -- an unbelievably high bar to reach but a sign of dominant coverage:
2010 - Darrelle Revis (NYJ)
2010 - Nnamdi Asomugha (OAK)
2023 - Sauce Gardner (NYJ)
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My ranking of the Super Bowl champions from the 2010s
1 - '13 Seahawks
<big gap>
2 - '14 Patriots (Gronk)
3 - '16 Patriots (no Gronk)
4 - '19 Chiefs
5 - '10 Packers
6 - '15 Broncos
7 - '17 Eagles
8 - '18 Patriots
9 - '12 Ravens
10 - '11 Giants
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The Jets are the only team that has not lost a playoff game in the last 13 years.
Every other playoff team has lost at least TWO games.
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Breece Hall - in his second season - just recorded his 2nd career game with 95+ rushing yards and 95+ receiving yards.
In their careers:
Walter Payton had 3 such games.
Brian Westbrook, Priest Holmes, Thurman Thomas and Larry Brown had 2.
No one else has more than 1.
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Patriots have made the AFCCG in 6 straight seasons. In the Division Round, NE has been at home each time and had to beat:
Tim Tebow
Matt Schaub
The 2013 Colts run D that allowed 234 yards and 6 TDs
Joe Flacco
Andy Reid's clock management
Brock Osweiler
and now
Titans or Bills
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Yesterday, the NFL had an average passer rating of 105.1.
Aaron Rodgers' career passer rating is 103.9.
That should be the lead story on every analysis of the NFL right now.
There were 28 QBs playing:
16 QBs had a passer rating over 100.
21 QBs had passer ratings over 95.
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The Patriots have a passer rating of 35.8 for the entire season. An incomplete pass has a passer rating of 39.6.
The rest of the NFL has allowed a passer rating of 93.3.
Opposing QBs vs. New England: 120/229, 1,173 passing yards, 1 TD/18 INTs.
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Kliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals are now the first team since the NFL moved the goal posts in 1974 to attempt 3 field goal attempts in a game, while trailing, from inside the 5-yard line.
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Over the last 5 seasons, Travis Kelce has 6,144 receiving yards and Tyreek Hill has 6,037 receiving yards.
They are the only pair of teammates in NFL history to ever both hit 6K receiving yards in a 5-year span while playing together.
Bruce and Holt hit 5900 from 00 to 04.
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Teams are 49-2 all-time in playoff history when leading by 21 points at halftime.
Two losses:
-- Andrew Luck-led comeback for the Colts over the Chiefs in 2013
-- Frank Reich-led comeback against Houston in 1992
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Who wants to be the one to tell Dave Gettleman that since drafting Saquon Barkley with the 2nd overall pick, the Giants are 8-23 when Barkley plays and 6-7 when Barkley does not?
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The Dolphins have tanked this season, and while it's been a lost year for Miami fans, it will all be worth it if they can find a franchise QB in the Draft. If they can get a QB as good as the Titans have, Miami will be in good shape for a long time.
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Why did Deshaun Watson decide this way the right way to get ready for a playoff game against Frank Reich
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Nick Foles is so damn confounding that I have no idea if he’s a good QB like Eli Manning or a bad QB like Eli Manning.
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In terms of NFL records to watch for, keep an eye on the Saints game today. At some point, expect to see Taysom Hill pass Mohamed Sanu on the all-time career passing yardage list.
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The Jets third down rate is an anemic 22%. The Jets red zone rate is a mind-boggling 24%. Here is how that compares to the rest of the NFL.
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Dak Prescott's last 16 games are ridiculous.
4,968 passing yards (8.5 Y/A)
32 passing TDs
12 INTs
5 rushing TDs
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AFC QB playoff wins
0 - Jackson
1 - Mahomes
30 - Brady
0 - Watson
0 - Allen
0 - Tannehill
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Just five players in NFL history have 3 or more games with 450+ passing yards:
Ben Roethlisberger (6)
Dan Marino (4)
Drew Brees (3)
Peyton Manning (3)
Matt Schaub (3)
That's it. Tom Brady has 2.
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Panthers starting QB the last 6 games:
Cam Newton 0 TDs
Cam Newton 0 TDs
Kyle Allen 2 TDs
Cam Newton 0 TDs
Cam Newton 0 TDs
Kyle Allen 4 TDs
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Something to note for folks who are thinking about the Cowboys Super Bowl odds is Dak Prescott led the NFL with 15 interceptions
No QB has led the NFL in interceptions and won the Super Bowl since Matt Stafford with the Rams back in February.
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David Culley is 65, the WR and passing game coach of the team that passed for the fewest yards in the NFL, before that was the QB coach for Josh Allen’s CFL like rookie season, has never been a OC or HC and ... just got hired by the Texans... to be... their ... head coach?
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ICYMI: Cam Newton is impossible.
Here are all players with at least 20 rushing TDs (Y-Axis) or 20 passing TDs (X-Axis) since 2011. Cam is in blue.
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AFC East standings, weeks 9-17 of the 2019 season.
1. New York Jets (6-3)
2t. Buffalo Bills (5-4)
2t. Miami Dolphins (5-4)
4. New England Patriots (4-4)
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Alabama, Auburn, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, LSU, and Texas A&M are 35-0 against the rest of college football.
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Zach Wilson has thrown a TD on just 20 of his 931 career passes.
His 2.1% touchdown rate is the lowest in NFL history among players with at least 900 passes.
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The Patriots have won as many division titles under Tom Brady as the Colts did under Manning and the 49ers did under Montana... combined.
Brady and the Patriots have won 16 AFC East titles; Manning/Montana won 8 division titles each with the Colts/49ers.
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Houston/Kansas City is the first game in NFL history, regular or postseason, where a team led by more than 21 points after the first quarter and trailed at halftime.
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Only four number 1 overall picks drafted since 1985 have caught a touchdown pass in the NFL.
Bo Jackson
Ki-Jana Carter
Keyshawn Johnson
and now
Eric Fisher
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Davante Adams leaves Green Bay after 116 games, exactly as many as Don Hutson (1935-1945) played. Here are their career stats as Packers.
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Was thinking about Steven Jackson and how great he was on the Rams... his last year was 2012.
Also, he’s two months younger than Frank Gore.
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The best divorce in history was the Eagles and Andy Reid, who spent 14 years together, and then somehow both won Super Bowls within 7 years of parting ways.
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If you look closely, Johnson (directly to McDonald’s left) gets the assist as he immediately pushes the snappers back down to make McDonald’s jump easier.
If Belichick designed this play we would hear that it would change field goals forever.
Check out Will McDonald (99) on Gano’s FG miss: leaps the snapper and distracts the kicker. Nice job by ST coach Brant Boyer, who inserted McDonald specifically for this type of play. In college, McDonald famously jumped cars, so you know he’s got hops. Google it.
#Jets
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All 50 AP voters picked Lamar Jackson as MVP.
All 9 Sports Illustrated voters picked Jackson.
The Pro Football Writers Association picked Jackson.
Sporting News picked Jackson.
PFF picked... Russell Wilson as MVP.
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Just three times has a player had 1 sack, 1 forced fumble, 1 fumble recovery, and 1 INT TD in the last 10 years.
Charles Woodson in 2009 vs. DET
Khalil Mack in 2016 vs. CAR
Khalil Mack tonight vs. GB
(Also it's halftime!)
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It will be lost in the post-game narrative, but if the Cowboys didn't go for 2 and fail early, they may have lost the game. By playing hurry up later on knowing they still needed 2 more scores, they gave themselves a chance to win.
Why going for 2 early makes sense.
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There is generally an inverse relationship between average air yards on completed passes and completion percentage. Tua is having quite a year. Baker Mayfield was a disaster.
This is for individual QBs, not teams, FYI.
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Roethlisberger has dropped back to pass 14 times tonight.
The Steelers have 13 passing yards.
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The Cowboys have scored more points than Seattle.
The Cowboys have allowed fewer points than Seattle.
The Cowboys have gained more yards than Seattle.
The Cowboys have allowed fewer yards than Seattle.
Seattle has a much better record than the Cowboys.
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You left out Lamar Jackson, who put up 84 passing TDs -- 4th most ever -- and 21 rushing TDs before turning 25.
Jackson has produced 105 TDs before turning 25, the most of any QB in history (Marino 104).
Most Pass TD before turning 25 in NFL history
Dan Marino 102
Jameis Winston 88
Peyton Manning 85
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Eric Bienemy will be a head coach in the NFL this time next year.
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Jared Goff threw 5 TDs on 231 pass plays as a rookie.
Jared Goff threw 5 TDs on 34 pass plays tonight.
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Feel bad for the GMs who are now going to have to draft based on imperfect information. Going to see a lot of mistakes now that you would never see from these great GMs, like drafting Tom Brady 199th overall or Lamar Jackson as the 5th QB in his own class.
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At the end of 1991, the Bears had 85 more wins than the Packers.
Green Bay traded for Brett Favre in February 1992.
Now the Packers are 1 win away from - for the first time ever - equaling Chicago in all-time regular season victories.
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Matt Ryan and the Falcons threw for 4 TDs, 0 INTs, and had a 140+ passer rating.... and lost.
This is only the 3rd time this has happened in NFL history, and the first time it's happened since... Matt Ryan lost a game to the Saints like this in 2018.
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Giants could have built a team around Darnold and OBJ for the next decade. Instead it’s a RB and the 17th pick. Gettleman should be fired today.
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644 coronavirus cases in NYC yesterday morning, when people thought "wow this is crazy".
Up to 923 last evening.
1,339 this morning.
Up to 1871 right now.
It will have tripled in less than 48 hours. And that's just reported cases.
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Tom Brady has made the Super Bowl in 50% of his seasons as the Patriots starting QB.
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Where does booing a 4-star general fall on the patriotism line next to sitting during the national anthem?
Trump gets crowd of supporters in Denver to boo retired 4-star General John Allen: "He's a failed general."
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Randy Moss scored 167 TDs in his career.
Jerry Rice scored 163 TDs in his career.... if you exclude every TD he caught from Joe Montana.
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I don't think people realize how accurate Matt Ryan was Sunday, probably because Atlanta lost and the one video of him missing a wide open Julio Jones.
Ryan took 0 sacks in the game and completed a ton of deep passes.
Was 22/23 with 11 1st downs and 216 yards in the 2nd half.
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Yearly contract value of final 8 QBs:
AFC
Ryan Tannehill ($7.0M)
Patrick Mahomes ($4.1M)
Deshaun Watson ($3.5M)
Lamar Jackson ($2.4M)
NFC
Russell Wilson ($35.0M)
Aaron Rodgers ($33.5M)
Kirk Cousins ($28.0M)
Jimmy Garoppolo ($27.5M)
Each NFC QB $$ > All 4 AFC QBs $$ combined
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The 49ers have punted 49 times this year.
Their offense has scored 52 touchdowns.
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Analytics propelled a team to a Super Bowl title and was emphasized by an 0-16 team.
This is a reminder that "analytics" is neither inherently good nor inherently bad.
But when used intelligently, it can provide a medium advantage over inefficient organizations.
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Since Dak Prescott returned from injury, the Cowboys are averaging 33.8 points per game.
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Rashaad Penny averaged 7.5 yards per carry at San Diego State, which you may say Mountain West and I say Josh Allen averaged 6.7 yards per attempt in the same conference.
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250-pound George Kittle is already the heaviest player in NFL history with a 200-yard receiving game, breaking the mark held by Vincent Jackson (241 pounds).
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NFL kickers in a nutshell
2018 Dan Bailey stunk.
2019: Minnesota forced Bailey to take a big pay cut.
Then the Vikings wanted to cut Bailey in August.
Traded a 5th round pick (!) for Kaare Vedvik.
He was awful, forced to keep Bailey.
Update: Bailey goes 27-for-29 in 2019.
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If Steelers fans think tonight is a nightmare, wait until they see Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown in the Super Bbowl.
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I still don't understand what Shanahan did last night. If you don't trust your own QB to run a 2 minute drill in the first half of a Super Bowl, you don't have a QB.
If the 49ers move on from Jimmy G quicker than everyone expects, last night was the first sign of why.
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Derek Carr has now started and won 11 games where he had 0 INTs and 0 sacks and threw at least 10 passes, which matches Joe Montana's career total.
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Randy Moss is 41 years, 173 days old today.
When Jerry Rice was 42 years, 54 days old, he caught 8 of 9 targets for 145 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys
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I look forward to the 30-for-30 about how the Giants drafted a RB second overall instead of Sam Darnold because they were set at QB with a guy who went 3-12 last season and is turning 38 in January.
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The Jets have won their division just 4 times in 59 seasons, the worst rate of any team in the NFL.
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I'm not one to second guess a successful coach, but when you have a first round QB sitting on the bench and the offense keeps doing nothing but 3 and outs, the QB keeps taking sacks, and the team has zero life, have to wonder when they decide to put in Love.
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A twitter thread on the history of black quarterbacks in the NFL. You can read the full article here:
It begins with Fritz Pollard, who was the "QB" and eventual coach of the Akron Pros. They won the first NFL championship.
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