Dexter Roberts
@dtiffroberts
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Senior Fellow @Atlanticcouncil ex China Chief @BW Find me on Bluesky: https://t.co/WJEfc7mJkf and check out my substack: https://t.co/v4UP39bLNc
Halfway between Beijing & MT
Joined June 2014
๐ง๐ฟ๐๐บ๐ฝโ๐ โ๐ด๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟโ ๐ด๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ Big news on the U.S.-China technology competition. Trump announced last week that he has approved sales of Nvidiaโs H200 AI semiconductors to China (cont.) https://t.co/esbd6ovRUT
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Bottom line, though, is that you cannot understand the impact China is having on the global economy without understanding that China once again is resisting pressure on its currency to appreciate -- and that it uses exports to substitute for domestic stimulus. 7/7
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NEW report from @CFR_org evaluates Huaweiโs overall AI chip production capabilities โ and the data shows that Huawei massively trails Nvidia in AI chip production quality and quantity, and the gap is widening rapidly. China lags far behind the United States in AI hardware. The
cfr.org
Executive Summary On December 8, the Trump administration announced plans to loosen U.S. export controls on artificial intelligence (AI) chips to China by approving the sale of Nvidia H200 chipsโthe...
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Chinaโs Economy Is Deteriorating on Several FrontsโBroad-based weakening spans consumer spending, investment, real estate @hannahmiao_ @ByXiaoXiao
https://t.co/3q8jEdBFwD
https://t.co/3q8jEdBFwD
wsj.com
The broad-based weakening spans consumer spending, investment and real estate.
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Chinaโs retail sales growth was the weakest since Covid while investment slumped further, underlining growing risks to the economy after several months of deterioration
bloomberg.com
Chinaโs retail sales growth was the weakest since Covid while investment slumped further, underlining growing risks to the economy after several months of deterioration.
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As recently as last year, Chinese state media platforms (and no small amount of pro-China accounts on this platform) were attacking โWestern commentatorsโ for arguing that China had industrial overcapacity issues. That doesnโt seem to be aging well. Earlier today, major
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While you were sleeping, it appears the Trump admin has taken another equity stake in another US-based company - and has two more in the works. https://t.co/m8qhrzG663
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๐ง๐ฟ๐๐บ๐ฝโ๐ โ๐ด๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟโ ๐ด๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ Big news on the U.S.-China technology competition. Trump announced last week that he has approved sales of Nvidiaโs H200 AI semiconductors to China (cont.) https://t.co/esbd6ovRUT
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I'm stunned that this New York Times article, about the challenges faced by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, neglects to mention China even once. Many Chinese companies are outcompeting German companies, the country's trade deficit with China is widening, Germany's supply chain
nytimes.com
The new chancellor believes the world needs a stronger Germany. He is still navigating how to do it.
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I was inside the courtroom for the verdict. Jimmy Lai appeared calm -- wearing glasses, a blazer and light green sweater. At one point he raised a hand and smiled at his wife and one of his sons who were sitting behind me in the gallery, alongside Cardinal Joseph Zen. Before
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A terrible injustice. Free Jimmy Lai.
Jimmy Lai, the media tycoon and brave defender of democracy in Hong Kong, has been found guilty of โforeign collusionโ. His family expect heโll die in jail. HKโs national security law, imposed by Beijing after huge pro-democracy protests, has claimed its most prominent victim.
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A Reuters investigation reveals the owner of Facebook, Instagram and Whatsapp decided to accept high levels of fraudulent advertisements from China. Internal company documents show Meta wanted to minimize "revenue impact" caused by cracking down on the scams.
reuters.com
A Reuters investigation reveals the owner of Facebook, Instagram and Whatsapp decided to accept high levels of fraudulent advertisements from China. Internal company documents show Meta wanted to...
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The @PulitzerPrizes board is demanding @realDonaldTrump turn over his psychiatric and medical records in discovery as part of his lawsuit against the board.
lawandcrime.com
Pulitzer Prize Board members filed a litany of broad discovery demands in an attempt to beat back Trump's defamation suit over Russia probe reporting awards.
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My latest piece on @FT about the Chinese LLM open-source advantage. Contrasted with the secretive development of LLMs in the US competing in a winner-takes-all battle to reach AGI, Chinese models offer a distinct pathway for progress in AI when they are forced to play catch-up.
Chinaโs open-source AI is a national advantage https://t.co/7UhB1GzPTt | opinion
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So hey, even a nice gift from Trump may get spurned by Beijing. ๐๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ข๐ค๐ง๐ ๐ฃ๐๐ฌ๐จ ๐ก๐๐ ๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ? ๐๐๐๐ฃ ๐ช๐ฅ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐พ๐๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ช๐จ๐๐ฃ๐๐จ๐จ ๐จ๐๐ค๐ค๐ฅ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช๐ง ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฎ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ .
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๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ก๐๐๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ง when Trump approved the H20. China forbid many of its companies from using it, accusing Nvidia of putting a โbackdoorโ and a โkill switchโ in the chips, allowing US gov't control https://t.co/esbd6ovRUT
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Thatโs the kind of bland officialese that leaves plenty of room for Beijing to impose restrictions on Chinese companies using Nvidia's H200 going forward. https://t.co/esbd6owpKr
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๐พ๐๐๐ฃ๐โ๐จ ๐๐ค๐ง๐๐๐๐ฃ ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ง๐ฎ ๐จ๐ฅ๐ค๐ ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐จ๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐ค ๐
๐๐๐ ๐ช๐ฃ said that โwe have noticed the reports. China always advocates that China and the United States achieve mutual benefit through cooperation.โ https://t.co/esbd6owpKr
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Warning that โon cost and price performance, Nvidia chips will not remain competitive forever.โ https://t.co/esbd6ovRUT
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๐ผ๐ฃ๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ค๐๐ ๐๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ข๐๐จ, part of the Peopleโs Daily, the mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party, last week cited expert Ma Jihua saying that โChina is now building an increasingly independent and mature AI ecosystemโ
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The Financial Times has reported that China plans to put restrictions on which Chinese companies can actually buy and use the American firmโs semiconductors. https://t.co/esbd6ovRUT
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