Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia
@danilocascaldi
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Economist for fun, Sãopaulino for living. @federalreserve, @warwickuni PhD, @FEARPUSP alumni. Views are my own.
Washington, DC
Joined May 2009
Updated "Pandemic priors", now with a test for the optimal level of shrinkage for the pandemic period! An easy and flexible way of estimating Bayesian VARs taking into account the pandemic period. Implementation available in @MATLAB and @JuliaLanguage
https://t.co/IBKe3YN1Ri
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Congratulations to Lovisa Reiche! The winner of #SNDE2025 Young Scholar Award! Her paper will be presented today (Saturday March 22nd) in Session Empirical Macro 3 & Inflation 3!
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How does #inflation affect #banking? Join us tomorrow - Saturday - 8am at #ASSA2025 where Philip Lane will chair a session including three papers that give a high frequency, a historical, and a cross-country perspective on this question. @Diana__Bonfim
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I find that news shocks induce strong anticipation effects in investment and GDP, while consumption and hours worked respond with less clear anticipation patterns. Let me know your thoughts! (3/3)
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Professional forecast revisions provide signals about how agents update their outlook perceptions. These forecast revisions convey rich information about future productivity that can be used to identify the economic effects of technological news shocks. (2/3)
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Thrilled to see my paper "Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks" published at the Journal of Monetary Economics! https://t.co/NGRdag5cUN In a nutshell: (1/3)
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Happy to see the Handbook in print!
📣 NEW: Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão Chapter 14 is #OpenAccess at: https://t.co/jMsY2BVmO1 More info: https://t.co/a4tHkc2ZJC
#MacroeconomicForecasting #Econometrics @AndrewBMartinez
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😎Submit your papers to the 32nd Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, March 21-22, 2025, at University of Texas at San Antonio Deadline: November 15 #EconTwitter #Econometrics
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The third edition of the University of East Anglia Time Series Workshop is going to take place in person on May 22nd-23rd, 2025. The deadline for full paper submissions is March 15th. More info here: https://t.co/txtxOghw2M
#Econtwitter
@UEA_Economics
@UEAResearch
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😀 To submit a paper, please complete this Google form: https://t.co/415fdZejtG and follow up by sending the paper to sndeecon@gmail.com The submission deadline is Monday, October 28, 2024. #EconTwitter #PhDstudents #youngresearchers #SubmitYourPapers
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New #FEDSNote looking at inflation across advanced economies. 6-month (annualized) inflation shows that price pressures have resurfaced of late. https://t.co/6sW6ONWEmp
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This #FEDSNote assesses disinflation across advanced economies, highlighting key differences. Progress in non-housing services has been bumpy, and the last mile of disinflation will likely require further cooling in nominal wage growth. https://t.co/HDWAFbxCsn
#EconTwitter
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@danilocascaldi and my recent FEDS Note featured by @AEI: You Don’t Want to Be an AI Laggard Economy
aei.org
AI-related investment is “booming” in the US, especially compared to other economies. This development could really cement the US economic edge over Europe, which lags in both dynamism and financing.
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Is the recent AI boom in the US a technological news shock? @hyunseungoh and I investigate the potential economic effects after this expected future technological improvement. Check it out!
New #FEDSNote: Global Implications of Brighter U.S. Productivity Prospects: https://t.co/ShODvNjIR6
#EconTwitter
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The EA-CED is online 🎊 The Euro Area Communication Event-Study Database contains intraday changes in financial assets around 304 ECB GC policy announcements & 4,400 intermeeting events (i.e., speeches, interviews of GC members). https://t.co/S07czvpJzK
https://t.co/WIaqLJqtmO
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Very happy to be part of the Executive Committee of the SNDE!
🥳🥳We are happy to inform you that Knut Are Aastveit, @danilocascaldi , @AnaGalvao24816 (her second term), and Benjamin Wong have been elected to the Executive Committee for three years from 2024 to 2027. Congratulations!👏 #EconTwitter
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Muito obrigada ao @MichaelFranca pelo convite e oportunidade de falar um pouco na @folha sobre essa agenda de pesquisa que gosto tanto e que é tão relevante! https://t.co/ImkeiRIAq7
folha.uol.com.br
Pesquisas buscam quantificar como certos resultados de nossa vida dependem daqueles que estão ao nosso redor
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Concurso Professor Doutor - Dep. Economia - Edital FEA-RP/USP - 033/2024 Área de conhecimento: Teoria Econômica Inscrições: https://t.co/0P3zqZrBv5 de 03/07 a 16/08/2024.
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Happy to see this in (virtual) print! This is joint work with Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello @IacoIacoviel, and Michele Modugno
The global component of inflation accounts for a large part of the variation in world inflation, including during the notable inflationary episodes of the energy crises of the 1970s and the 1980s, as well as the post-COVID period. https://t.co/BO6m7H7hyA
#FEDSNote
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*** Call for papers *** CEP/LSE - Warwick Junior Trade Workshop 6 September 2024, London @CEP_LSE @warwickecon @LSEEcon Bringing together PhD students and postdocs in international economics/trade who are going on the academic job market.
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