Jaro Satkevic
@chompomonim
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Love God, Love Country, Love Humanity
Lithuania
Joined February 2008
Wow, there are tons of scammers on X. 30 sec. after post I received 10+ messages.
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Soon — relatively soon — a child-free society plus advances in AI & robotics will give everyone the chance to “quit your day job.” But what then? Travel? Enjoy life? For how long? Without purpose, goals, real dreams — without families — what will drive you to live meaningfully?
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Soon — relatively soon — a child-free society plus advances in AI & robotics will give everyone the chance to “quit your day job.” But what then? Travel? Enjoy life? For how long? Without purpose, goals, real dreams — without families — what will drive you to live meaningfully?
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Am I becoming more politically engaged or @JDVance is really exceptional American VP? 🤔 - European press is mentioning and commenting him. - My X feed is re-posting him a lot. - Even my friends and family can say at least some his political views.
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We talk about security, economy, education... but is there still any point? Lithuania's fertility rate has plummeted to 1.2 — one of the lowest in the EU. In tough 1991, 56,000 kids were born; in 2024, just 19,000 (3x fewer). If things don't change, in 50 years we'll be down
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I would say these numbers are even optimistic scenario :( O few months ago I have spent halve a day to look at Lithuanian demographics stats and did own calculations. I got 80% drop by 2100.
One needs to take long-term forecasts with a pinch of salt, but the trend is clear. Italy, Poland, Spain and Southeast Europe are heading into a demographic disaster. Pensions and healthcare systems will implode, and real estate market will collapse. During our lifetime, not 2100
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Dear @grok, why many progressives are pro Palestine and supporting many Islamic states while in same time being pro feminism and maximum women independence and freedom? Is it consistent position?
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This is the best explanation on why current economic model will collapse sooner than later. They key for all it is The Bond Market. Really worth to spend 20 min of your time to watch it. https://t.co/yVpyFjmxi0
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For a constant total-fertility-rate (TFR) you can treat each new generation as a fixed fraction of its parents ≈ TFR ÷ 2.1. TFR 1.2 → 1.2 / 2.1 ≈ 0.57 (≈ 43 % smaller each generation). TFR 0.85 → 0.85 / 2.1 ≈ 0.40 (≈ 60 % smaller each generation).
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If whole humanity would have fertility rate of South Korea, in only 3 generation we would have less that 1 billion people living on Earth 🤯
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Historical photos you've (probably) never seen before.🧵 1. On August 23, 1989, about 2 million people from Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania formed a 600 km long human chain that united all 3 countries to show the world their desire to leave the Soviet Union and Communism.
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I was mistakenly thinking that most of families have only one child and that is leading towards decreasing fertility rate, but actually that's not a case 😱
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Surprising fact: We have decreasing fertility rate, but most Lithuanian families who're raising kids, have two or more of them! If trend continues, most of young people will never become parents 😔
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80% drop in 3 generation means ~500k (#half_million) Lithuanians in 2100.
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