🇹🇷 The Turkish currency, Lira, is falling like a rock. It has lost ~88% of its value in the last 10 years 😳
Inflation has exploded to ~20%. In reality, it can be even 40% 💥
What is happening in Turkey? Is it heading for hyperinflation as Venezuela did?
A thread 🧵🧵
⚡️⚡️ This initiative can be a UPI style disruption in E-Commerce!
Indian banks rushed to buy a stake in Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) project.
No, It's not a hot new start-up.
No, It's not a government regulator.
A very quick overview about ONDC🧵
Good traders always worry about blowing up. So they cap exposure to any single position. They lose less.
But, active investors have the opposite problem. They tend to under allocate to their winners. So they win lesser.
⭐ 3 step framework to let your winners, WIN
Thread🧵🧵
2022 is coming 🥳
The dawn of a new year is a good chance to sort things out and start things up.
To sort and start things "Moneywise"-
Here's a 10-point thread with All the Financial Advice You'll Need 🧵🧵👇
‘About 40% of all the tax that you pay is going not to build infrastructure, not to feed the hungry, not to pay farmers for food! It’s going towards interest payments on the debt the government has borrowed in the past.'
@deepakshenoy
More in our Podcast:
'I was actually bankrupt when I was 30 years old...a lot of the things that happened at that time was simply because I had no idea how personal finances should be managed'
More in our Podcast with
@deepakshenoy
&
@uptickr
👔 There's a whole new pandemic of “Advisory” services promising “guaranteed 100% per month” or “3% per day” or whatever abuse of compounding they fancy.
Do not let these "tips" services sucker you.
Today's thread has "tips" to deal with these "tipsters"🧵🧵
The
#RussiaUkraine
war has spooked the world 🚨
These are turbulent and difficult times. For folks in those troubled regions. Also for investors.
The perfect storm for panic-filled decisions.
Here's how we at
@capitalmind_in
think about investing through a crisis.
A thread🧵
'The total amount of trading volume of the Indian stock market is just 30 mins of trading of Apple stock. There is a significantly small India for the rest of the world, & there is significantly large India in our own thoughts.'
@deepakshenoy
'I was actually bankrupt when I was 30 years old...a lot of the things that happened at that time was simply because I had no idea how personal finances should be managed'
More in our Podcast with
@deepakshenoy
&
@uptickr
Here's how you can calculate buy date & buy price of Jio Financials shares
If your initial buy price of Reliance is, let's say, 2500/- per share, then your buy price will be as follows:
- Jio Financials: 4.68% * 2500 = 117.0/- per share
- Reliance Industries (adjusted buy
Sometimes you see an Rs. 100 notes on the ground. And you wonder, is it real? 🤔
If it was real, wouldn’t someone else have picked it up?
One such 100 rupee note was lying on the exchange couple of days back.
Time for a thread on what it was and how we played it🧵
It’s a cluster-fall 💥
The share price of Meta Platforms, the artist formerly known as Facebook, is down more than 20% in one day. It’s down ~35% in the past 6 months.
Time to ask, "What’s on your earnings report, Meta?"🤓
Quick thread on this sharp fall of Meta ($FB) 🧵🧵
@deepakshenoy
Hi, just watched your 2 hr YouTube video about bonds presented at Carnival Trader, Feb 2019. Just blown and still in awe. Learnt so much! Thanks a ton. Keep making videos if possible.
“You can beat the NPS and it’s associated tax benefits, if you are able to generate just 1% above NPS returns consistently till retirement, but it’s easier said than done!”
More in our Podcast on the New Pension Scheme with
@deepakshenoy
&
@AstuteAditya
⚡️ The BIG LIC IPO is here ⚡️
LIC is looking to offload a 3.5% stake to raise ₹20,500 Cr from the equity markets. It is the biggest IPO in India to date.
5 Reasons to NOT subscribe and ONE reason that makes it worth subscribing.
All you need to know about LIC IPO (thread)🧵
Buying a home is considered the 'holy grail' of investing in India. But is it really so? Listen in as
@deepakshenoy
and
@AstuteAditya
destroy some common assumptions behind home & property ownership in a
#podcast
. You don't want to miss this one!
🇹🇷 The Turkish currency, Lira, is falling like a rock. It has lost ~88% of its value in the last 10 years 😳
Inflation has exploded to ~20%. In reality, it can be even 40% 💥
What is happening in Turkey? Is it heading for hyperinflation as Venezuela did?
A thread 🧵🧵
'I was actually bankrupt when I was 30 years old...a lot of the things that happened at that time was simply because I had no idea how personal finances should be managed'
More in our Podcast with
@deepakshenoy
&
@uptickr
We analyzed (almost) all Nifty Equity Indices since their inception, that's 53 indices across Market Cap, Sector, Thematic, and Factor-based.
Find out which Nifty indices have robust long-term performance 📈📉
Read: by
@CalmInvestor
What does basic Economics suggest they do? 🎯
✅ When a country's currency is devaluing & inflation is rising, the central bank usually raise interest rates.
✅ This makes borrowing expensive & discourages spending.
Turkish President, Erdogan, has no love for sound economics. He has his own economics - The Erdoganomics 🎃
He believes that raising interest rates increases inflation. The reason for his unconventional belief is unknown.
The Hindenburg report on the Adani group reminds us of the bear attack faced by Reliance in 1982 👀
Although it's not the same thing, it does rhyme.
🎙️Here's
@deepakshenoy
narrating the legendary tale of Dhirubhai Ambani surviving a bear attack.
✅ Less consumption reduces demand for the assets, eventually bringing down inflation.
✅ Raising interest rates increases demand for the currency, as it encourages people to save more.
No points for guessing - the Turkish president has no plans of doing this 🤦♂️
I have paid 1 crore for an annuity & I’m getting only 6% per year returns. Is that fair? If you look at 30-year Govt bonds, it pays you 7% a year. That means annuity providers are ripping you off!!!
More in our podcast with
@deepakshenoy
&
@AstuteAditya
Van Halen was one of the most successful rock bands of the early 1980s.
If David Lee Roth found a brown M&M, in the jar kept backstage, he would ask for a full production check.
This wasn't crazy behaviour, it was genuis psychology at play.
A therad🧵
(Image: Wikipedia)
How did it all begin?
Recep Erdogan, the current President of Turkey, was first elected in 2003. During the same time, Turkey’s economy started to go expand rapidly.
By 2017, Turkey had become the 17th biggest economy in the world, with a GDP of $852 Billion! 🌟
We analysed 2,000+ recommendations made by institutional equity analysts over the last ten years for the 50 Nifty stocks.
We measured the 60-day return on the stock, after the recommendation, to see how those recommendations fared.
What we found ⤵️
What next?
Turkey Votes! 🍀
Turkey is going for an election in June 2023. Unless he changes his stance, Lira may continue to slide further down till 2023, where there is some ray of hope for the people of Turkey.
What if we said that when it comes to evaluating index funds, expense ratios do not matter? The "Real Expense Ratio" does, and you won't find that on the fund factsheet.
The Best Nifty Index Fund in 2021 by
@deepakshenoy
“Whenever you find complexity, find the simplest thing to invest. Buy the index, buy the liquid fund because nobody wants to sell you these. Because nobody makes commissions out of it”
More in our Podcast with
@deepakshenoy
We are back with episode 6 of the Capitalmind Podcast. In this podcast,
@deepakshenoy
and
@Prashanth_Krish
discuss various facets of momentum investing. You can listen to the podcast on the link below.
#capitalmind
⏰ LAST CHANCE: Before the Financial Year ends, get your tax planning right!
Our FIVE STEP framework with quantitative analysis to find out the best ELSS fund to invest in FY 2022.
Here's a quick thread 🧵
Retweet for your friends who are still procrastinating 😄
“There’s a quick and easy way to test whether an activity involves skill: ask whether you can lose on purpose.” ~ Michael Mauboussin
🎰 You cannot lose on purpose at lottery, which it all about luck.
But, you can lose on purpose at Chess..
Applying this to investing 🧵
Inflation was inching higher. It gets difficult to pay dollar debt with a weakening currency.
This further weakens the currency and it's a vicious downward cycle.
Turkey struggled to pay its foreign debt which almost doubled in one year! 👇
Most of this growth was financed by external debt. Which is a two-edged sword... which Turkey realized recently and Pakistan too may realize soon enough ⚔
At the end of 2017, the gross foreign-currency debt of Turkey stood at $453.2 Billion. That is around 53% of GDP.
I have paid 1 crore for an annuity & I’m getting only 6% per year returns. Is that fair? If you look at 30-year Govt bonds, it pays you 7% a year. That means annuity providers are ripping you off!!!
More in our podcast with
@deepakshenoy
Since 2019, he has sacked three central bank governors who tried to fix the problem 🤦♂️
He just doesn’t want interest rates to go higher.
And that's where the nation stands on this. Amid a pandemic and struggling global economy 😰
Most investors tend to be under-allocated to their best holdings. A simple framework to get better at sizing your positions Common sense position sizing for investors by
@CalmInvestor
Van Halen was one of the most successful rock bands of the early 1980s.
If David Lee Roth found a brown M&M, in the jar kept backstage, he would ask for a full production check.
This wasn't crazy behaviour, it was genuis psychology at play.
A therad🧵
(Image: Wikipedia)
The cookie first started cracking in 2017. The United States of America, a close ally, started to distance itself from Turkey.
Tariffs were imposed on Steel & Aluminum imports. Amidst these geopolitical tensions, Lira started to fall against the Dollar 👇
“Money is like gasoline during a road trip. You don’t want to run out of gas on your trip, but you’re not doing a tour of gas stations.”
- Tim O’Reilly
@CalmInvestor
in his classic style deciphers the balance between planning and living.
Read:
💡Who do you trust to get reliable, unbiased information to make your investment decisions?
A lot of FREE investment information is out there.
More than ever, it's now important to determine if the information source is credible & trustworthy 🎯
(A thread)
5⃣ Invest in your provident fund (EPF or PPF) to the maximum possible.
PPF is not a cool thing you talk about at dinner parties but it helps put dinner on the table when you hang your boots 😇
💰"NPCI spends just ~680 crores per year maintaining the UPI infrastructure. Compare that against the float income that banks make on the additional 1 lac crore float..." says
@deepakshenoy
while asserting on keeping UPI free.
🎙 Listen in!
Financial Shenanigans exposes the tricks used by companies to manipulate their financial statements, arming investors and analysts with the knowledge to identify red flags and make more informed decisions.
#CMBookShelf
🔴LIVE in 10 mins
@deepakshenoy
will be LIVE to discuss today's RBI policy update on Youtube. We start at 1 PM.
Catch up on the important updates and our quick analysis.
Join here:
⭐️We recently competed 5 years with the Adaptive Momentum strategy at
@capitalmind_in
PMS.
@CalmInvestor
has championed Momentum investing, and in this post, he is sharing his wisdom and insights garnered over the years.
Must read:
There's a bank run on Silicon Valley Bank as depositors pull out money in a frenzy.
🎙️
@deepakshenoy
will be LIVE today at 2 PM explaining the whole thing and taking your questions.
Join:
In a new series of posts, we will try to make sense of the economic slowdown and what investors can do to turn this challenge into an opportunity. Here's the first post from that series. Author:
@deepakshenoy
#capitalmind
'I was actually bankrupt when I was 30 years old...a lot of the things that happened at that time was simply because I had no idea how personal finances should be managed'
More in our Podcast with
@deepakshenoy
&
@uptickr