
Bryce Rudyk
@brycerudyk
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Director, Int Enviro Law @nyuguarini; Adjunct Professor @nyulaw; Legal Advisor, Alliance of Small Island States @aosischair - all views my own. (He/him)
New York City
Joined May 2010
Earlier today, Amb Strickland (@Str1ckFran) put in @AOSISChair's submission to the @CIJ_ICJ Advisory Opinion on Climate Change. RMI and PIF were also submitting at the same time. SIDS continue to shape IL on critical issues!
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π’π’ NEWSπ’π’ We are welcoming 10 new @AOSISChair fellows to the @AOSISFellowship this year from πΌπΈπ»π¨πΉπ΄π΅πΌπΈπ§π²π»π²πΊπ±π¨ππΉπ§πΈ! This is the first time #TheBahamas, #Samoa, #Haiti and #StLucia will have a fellow! #capacitybuilding #youth #SIDS #IslandsMatter #Impact @ItalyUN_NY @MASE_IT
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Sitting through another plenary at #PlasticsINC. More imagination is needed in regime design. We are sleep walking into a Paris Agreement on plastic.
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π Find the episode on Spreaker ( https://t.co/F3gDGBLLpe) or wherever you get your podcasts! #SIDS #climateemergency #cop27egypt
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π Listen to @NYUGuarini Prof. @brycerudyk's reflections on the concerns and needs of Small Island Developing States in the face of #climatechange. π Timely 'The Climate Show' episode by @BeaMartinezR as COP27 UNFCCC UN negotiations in Sharm El-Sheikh are about to startπ§΅
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Our climate breakfast seminar on small island development states #SIDS with Prof. @brycerudyk from @nyulaw has just started. Come join us at @jura_ku for coffee, croissants and a morning climate chat βοΈπΏπ @NYUGuarini
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Lots of good statements in #G7 climate and environment communique, but I was particularly delighted to see this one. The work @gmunozabogabir and @topnigel are doing to take climate action to the next level is really having an impact. https://t.co/T2JsbQdhY2 (HT @brycerudyk)
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I bet @DrLisaBenjamin @Rueanna_Haynes @SelamKAbebe @MaciunasSilvia and @JuttaBrunnee can't wait either.
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This sounds amazing! Transparency-as-compliance is a niche twitter community, but @harrovanasselt and @ellyciak are going to give us something to salivate about--better research on pathways of influence that we can use to design better compliance policy. I cannot wait.
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Long-term targets are good, but they are only one component of effective action on climate change! FIN
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Paris has a whole structure (#MarrakechPartnership) with High Level Champions @gmunozabogabir @topnigel to drive near-term action through engagement with non-state actors. @tomhale @sanderchan @MarianaPanuncio and other have done great work on this. 6/n
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Finally, IMMEDIATE action is required to bend the emissions pathway to 1.5. @IPCC_CH outlined potential tipping points between 1.5 and 2, which may start o . For SIDS, passing some of these would be disastrous, to islands and economies. 5/n
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In Paris Agreement, the NDCs are these intermediate targets, but to be most effective should be coherence between NDC and LT-LEDS. Right now, only soft pressure to do this. 4/n
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BUT MEAs illustrate that long period between announcement and date of fulfillment can lead to non-compliance (e.g. Canada and the Kyoto Protocol). w/o intermediate targets, too easy to get off track, then too difficult/costly for a country to get back on track. 3/n
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Long-term targets need to be specific if they are to generate market signals. w/o specificity they may be useless--don't generate confidence about seriousness of state action. For Net Zero targets, this means clear date, definition and reasonable plan to meet. 2/n
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Net zero/long term targets can be helpful, but they can also be problematic--long-timelines mask non-compliance; can be misaligned with medium-term targets and crowd out immediate action. Aπ§΅, 1/n
Are #netzero targets a trap set by governments to delay climate action, as this article suggests? I took a quick look at some numbers, and here's what I found... π§΅ https://t.co/EMaNJFqXaj
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Baselines galore today. US and Canada go with 2005. Japan with 2013. UK with 1990. Why? If you choose a previous year when your emissions are higher than current, it means you need to do less. And that's what all of these countries did, even the UK choosing to stick with 1990.
THIS IS ACTUALLY A 43% EMISSIONS REDUCTION GOAL. Since when do people get to choose their own baselines? That's not a system. The @UNFCCC system has used the 1990 baseline forever
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So, I'm kind of proud/excited about this...tomorrow night, the dean of @UTLaw (and my first international enviro law prof) @JuttaBrunnee and I will talk about the role of and future for international law in solving the climate crisis. Register here:
alumni.utoronto.ca
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And while this is a massive increase in emissions, it is worse still. Air travel, which accounts for approx 2% of global emissions hasn't yet recovered.
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"Build back better" they said. Take the opportunity given to us by the economic and human disaster that was COVID and change our climate trajectory. Instead we did this. Looks like we just built back the same.
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