₿rett
@brettmacro
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Faith ✝️ Family & Freedom 🇺🇸 ₿itcoin since 2013 | Data & AI nerd | Historical trend chartist | Stocks & macro enthusiast Old username: Brett_ETH
Joined December 2010
I asked Claude to track what happens to public markets every time Anthropic drops a new model or capability update. It started calling it the Hit List. Feb 4. Anthropic releases Cowork. TEAM drops 35%. Intuit drops 34%. $285 billion wiped from SaaS in a single week. Feb 5.
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“3:43 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran." 5:13 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran. What changed over those 90 minutes?” Answer: the stock market closed between those two comments.
President Trump today: 3:43 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran." 5:13 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran. What changed over those 90 minutes?
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Silver is -41% from its peak in January. Historically, when Silver reached its peak of leg 1, and and the SPX began to curl over, it wasn't a great sign for equities. Has silver reached its local top before a potential leg 2? We will see.
Silver historically has run in two "legs". Each separated by a short cool down period. If we're in Leg 1...we're just getting started.
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😳 Epstein documents showing the FBI removed the cameras hard dive in the prison. Hegseth: “Increase the bombings to keep the distraction going”.
New leaked Epstein documents show the FBI removed the hard drive from the prison's camera system and wiped all footage from the night Jeffrey Epstein was murdered..
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Underrated tweet
Everyone stay in your homes to keep oil prices down. 2 weeks to open the strait
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New home sales: 587k vs 722k expected. For a $1m home at 3.5%, you would pay $1,655 MORE per month to move to an equal value home at the current rates. Nearly $600,000 more over 30 years...
There goes housing: New Home Sales 587K, Exp. 722K, down 17.6%
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Be prepared for prices to "pump" at the gas stations. Brent Crude is now at $115 and rising, still in Week 3 of the chart below. Israel struck Iran's giant South Pars gas field yesterday (the WORLDs largest, shared with Qatar). As expected, Iran hit back today: • Strike on
I asked Claude to build an 8 week US economic model for the Hormuz Strait closure. Then I asked Grok and Gemini to fact check the prediction. Accuracy rating Grok: 78% Gemini: 95% Each model then predicted on how much longer the Strait remains in the current status: Claude:
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$MSTR needs to bounce if the bulls want to continue this rally. It's not looking great at the moment. As I've been sharing since 2024, MSTR leads Bitcoin on the way up and the way down.
We're about to enter the 13 month of me showing how $MSTR has been front running Bitcoin perfectly. Will it continue going into 2026? Or will the correlation stop.
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Construction workers, truck drivers, and blue collar workers are about to feel the pain of these diesel prices. (I’m in Florida).
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Brent Crude +7% today, currently at $111.
I asked Claude to build an 8 week US economic model for the Hormuz Strait closure. Then I asked Grok and Gemini to fact check the prediction. Accuracy rating Grok: 78% Gemini: 95% Each model then predicted on how much longer the Strait remains in the current status: Claude:
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S&P 500's levels to hold. A bounce off the 20 EMA (purple) is important for the bulls. Midterm Years are no joke (see post below).
Midterm Years vs SPX & Bitcoin What do you notice? Since 1990, we've seen 9 Midterm Years. Nearly everyone of them saw a correction midway through the year. 4 finished positive 5 finished negative. It's coincidental that post halving years (bear markets) for Bitcoin occur
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The chance of a single rate cut this year just dropped to 52% - per CME
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Powell arriving for todays FOMC after the hot PPI data.
PPI comes red hot: PPI 0.7% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PPI Core 0.5% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PPI 3.4% YoY, Exp. 3.0% PPI Core 3.9% YoY, Exp. 3.7%
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Powell is going to have a field day with oil prices today during his FOMC speech. Watch for the quote: "Path to 2% more obstructed".
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