Now that we’ve processed this poll, it’s a bit of an outlier, but for good reasons. It’s still typical for Casey to mostly get mid-40s polling at this time and with Trump under fire, that Senate number currently looks more like a generic ballot race (which it won’t be).
@blockedfreq
@SusquehannaPR
I'll say this, to folks assuming this is some huge outlier (myself included), Susquehanna did very well in 2020 & 2022.
They were only off by a point with Shapiro, off 2 points with Biden, and their 2nd to last poll nailed the Senate race.
Take that for what you will.....
@ChiCyph80
@SusquehannaPR
It’s sort of an outlier in the sense that if you swap Biden and Casey, that’s probably what’s going to happen, but to the larger point - there are many reasons I have Biden narrowly favored in PA and the continued better numbers for him from specifically PA firms make the point.
@blockedfreq
@SusquehannaPR
That is weird... Lifelong PA Guy but admit thought Casey would be polling a bit better than Biden (or could just be moderates/independents more accepting of McCormick in Senate vs Trump for POTUS). Still, should help it's Casey this year (don't see high split ticketing).
Now that we’ve processed this poll, it’s a bit of an outlier, but for good reasons. It’s still typical for Casey to mostly get mid-40s polling at this time and with Trump under fire, that Senate number currently looks more like a generic ballot race (which it won’t be).
@blockedfreq
@SusquehannaPR
Biden outrunning Casey?!?!?! lmfao
Ok, I'm not sure I buy that but hey, I applaud them for releasing it.
Throw it in the average