@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
🚨 New @SusquehannaPR poll is out! *POTUS* Biden: 46.8% Trump: 39.3% Biden+7.5 *PA SEN* Casey (D-Inc): 45.9% McCormick (R): 42.1% Casey+3.8 Told you guys it’d be spicy. 👀🔥
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@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
Now that we’ve processed this poll, it’s a bit of an outlier, but for good reasons. It’s still typical for Casey to mostly get mid-40s polling at this time and with Trump under fire, that Senate number currently looks more like a generic ballot race (which it won’t be).
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@admcrlsn
Adam Carlson
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR McCormick outperforming Trump by 3 points is not what I expected!
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@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
@admcrlsn @SusquehannaPR Take this one as an outlier, lol. But I commend them for releasing it.
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@ChiCyph80
M L C
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR I'll say this, to folks assuming this is some huge outlier (myself included), Susquehanna did very well in 2020 & 2022. They were only off by a point with Shapiro, off 2 points with Biden, and their 2nd to last poll nailed the Senate race. Take that for what you will.....
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@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
@ChiCyph80 @SusquehannaPR It’s sort of an outlier in the sense that if you swap Biden and Casey, that’s probably what’s going to happen, but to the larger point - there are many reasons I have Biden narrowly favored in PA and the continued better numbers for him from specifically PA firms make the point.
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@eagleland006
Donald Frederick
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR That is weird... Lifelong PA Guy but admit thought Casey would be polling a bit better than Biden (or could just be moderates/independents more accepting of McCormick in Senate vs Trump for POTUS). Still, should help it's Casey this year (don't see high split ticketing).
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@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
Now that we’ve processed this poll, it’s a bit of an outlier, but for good reasons. It’s still typical for Casey to mostly get mid-40s polling at this time and with Trump under fire, that Senate number currently looks more like a generic ballot race (which it won’t be).
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@KeystoneVictory
Keystone Victory
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR Total BS poll 😂😂😂
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@ProgDirectorate
cisatlantic global latina belt enjoyer
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR does it have approvals and issue questions
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@MillenPolitics
Millennial Politics
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR The Biden Bounce is real. Underestimate him at your own risk.
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@Schirombaseball
Michael Schiro
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR And it’ll be close as well
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@ChiCyph80
M L C
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR Biden outrunning Casey?!?!?! lmfao Ok, I'm not sure I buy that but hey, I applaud them for releasing it. Throw it in the average
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@ThirdWayKessler
Jim Kessler
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR Shhhh. Don't let the media know that Biden is crushing Trump in PA.
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@jackisjake
Jack Rack 🇺🇸
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR Is Trump the Mastriano of this race lol
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@DomIfYouDo
Dominique
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR McCormick, the CT guy? Why do Republicans always run carpetbaggers?
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@blockedfreq
Joshua Smithley
5 months
@boydvenable @SusquehannaPR Zero chance right now, imo.
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@seskoog
Sean
5 months
@blockedfreq @SusquehannaPR Biden+3.8 and Casey+7.5 is more in line with what I’d expect
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