Andrew Laing
@andrewmarklaing
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Director & Founder of Artificial Fiscal Intelligence. Following the money to curb #corruption, increase #efficiency and support effective #political manoeuvres.
Ireland
Joined December 2010
https://t.co/ijFxjsikSl If you’re interested in tackling the problem of government inefficiency in all its forms like #corruption, incompetence, and costly political manoeuvres, then check out my post on the International Monetary Fund #PFM Blog. The post references a recent
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The @NATO decision to target 5% of GDP by 2035 has significant implications for Fiscal Space. This move creates more room for the US, while putting pressure on other countries to generate fiscal space to meet this ambitious target. Current research on US Fiscal Space indicates
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"The potential consequences of an attack on the plant -- contaminating the air and water -- have long been a concern in the Gulf states. Qatar's prime minister, in March, warned that an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities would "entirely contaminate" the waters of the Gulf and
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There are big differences between Trump 1.0 and Trump 2.0. One area that constitutes a marked improvement in approach is in the energy executive order department, specifically around shoring up the system against possible power-plant retirements.
whitehouse.gov
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1. Purpose.
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I received a good idea to refine the definition of corruption to: the abuse of power in an effort to GAIN or RETAIN an advantage for oneself, someone else, and/or some other group
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Grok's summary: Andrew Laing references the 2012 film "Lincoln," directed by Steven Spielberg and starring Daniel Day-Lewis, to illustrate the difference between corruption and political maneuvering, citing a scene where President Lincoln procures votes to abolish slavery, which
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Who's been making the most money from tariffs over the last 25 years? Answer depends on the measure you use. Four metrics can be easily calculated from the #IMF GFS databases on customs revenue: US$, % of GDP, % of Total general government revenue and in per capita terms.
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China turning up the fiscal fire hose to full blast. Validates what US Treasury Secretary Bessent continues to say about their economy being the most unbalanced ever (weak local consumption, slowing exports in face of US tariffs, need to keep growth high for social cohesion).
BREAKING: NPC 2025 targets - GDP growth target ~5% - Budget deficit at ~4% (highest in over 30 years) - 4.4t yuan of new special local govt bonds - 500b yuan in special sov bonds for bank recapitalization
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent sits down for an exclusive interview with Bloomberg's David Westin after a shouting match between Ukrainian President Zelenskiy and President Trump. Excellent interview ~~ https://t.co/9uw8H4KCf9
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What’s the difference between #corruption and political manoeuvring? There’s a big difference, but it is often hard to tell the difference from the outside. From inside the room ... it's very easy. If legislative anti-corruption incentives are to improve, a good place to start
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Big v Small market #tariffwar incidence analysis 101: The differential impact on #Mexico and #Canada under worse case scenarios are up to 18 and 12 times respectively that of the #US. That's almost a rounding error for the US. To put it further into perspective, the impact on
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Preliminary analysis of #2024Election results indicates that Harris received 20% or 13m less votes than Biden (2020), of which 5.5m was from low turn out in California, 900k New York, 700k Washington, 600k Illinois and Florida, and 500k from New Jersey, Arizona, Maryland and
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The hidden #realDonaldTrump voter polling error model is now validated. We see the same polling errors in the #2024Election as the last two presidential elections. A very accurate forecast of a #Republican win / #Democrat loss was achieved using the base case Electoral College
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