
aarav
@aaravXBT
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BEST prediction markets shitposter on CT | growth&marketing @fireplacegg
Joined May 2022
prediction markets could become the BIGGEST asset class. - the TAM is larger than even the stock market. - everyone consumes information across different domains: politics, sports, tech, culture, global events, etc. and most people like to believe they have some informational.
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RT @probabilitygod: just had a really interesting convo w/ @aaravXBT about @fireplacegg , b2c prediction market verticals, biggest industry….
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when placing bets on prediction markets, degree of influence is an important factor - how much can a person making a bet actually influence the outcome. this is what makes betting on things like politics or the economy different from just sports betting. - direct influence: in.
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put your money where your mouth is.
narratives are free.theories sound good when you don't have skin in the game. @trading_axe put your money where your mouth is. it's a clean 20x
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forecasting has traditionally been a field exclusive to domain experts, from politicians to economists. there was no room for knowledgeable amateurs to participate. but now, they can freely enter the field, and even profit from it, by investing based on their knowledge and.
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mom just called me telling me chatgpt's not responding to her - aka she hit the usage limit. told me she tried "turning it off and on" but still didnt work.
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RT @fireplacegg: the prediction markets meta started right after fireplace waitlist launched. coincidence? I think not.
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RT @akshayraj_v0: fixed a bug.broke 3 other things. fixed those.original bug came back. now I’m the bug.someone needs to fix me.
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here u go virgin
@fireplacegg @aaravXBT i thought we were using baby shark for the prediction market trenches bit 🤬. i told u i fkn love that track.
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what do u guys think might be the next market to exceed the volume traded in the 2024 election market.
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RT @buuxbt: the year is 2026. Polymarket just dropped their $poly token and it’s trading at $10bn fdv . @1confirmation needs the token to p….
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"wisdom of crowds" is the idea that large groups of people are collectively smarter than individual experts when it comes to problem-solving, decision-making, innovating, and predicting. the idea is that one person's opinion might be biased or incomplete, but when you combine.
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