ContraRyan
@_contraryan
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Saving old forgotten historic homes, preserving 🇺🇸. Macrotourist trader & broscience bioenergeticist
PA + FL
Joined February 2015
If this chart of $ETH doesn't make you want to put 50% of your net worth into it, we can't be friends. This is the best looking chart I've seen since #bitcoin in December 2020. The longer the base, the higher in space. $16,000-$20,000 by end of this year. Tell me I'm wrong
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I am good for a 12-pack a year but am still the biggest supporter of this take. The sober club cool kids are just as insufferable as the drunk.
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Generate videos in just a few seconds. Try Grok Imagine, free for a limited time.
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Folks are noticing the anxiety. This is either the top or we’re going so much higher.
Really incredible how many people recognize its late cycle and plan to sell the top this time. Surely everyone will be right.
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This is exactly why I snowbird. I love the Northeast but the August dread knowing summer is coming to a close is one of the worst feelings. If I had to choose between 3 months of cold & grey or 3 months of 100% humidity & afternoon thunderstorms it’s a very easy decision. FL.
Getting so depressed thinking about the end of summer . Legit don’t know how many more northeast winters I have in me.
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Lots of anxiety & fear this cycle. This is not what you see during periods of exuberance & greed. I think we’re going a lot higher for longer than anticipated.
In my 1st cycle, I went from $1k to $130k.Then I fell almost to $0. Most will end this cycle the same way - no exit plan. I went through it so u don’t have to. This is my 3rd cycle, $6M+ made – here’s my exit plan: I’m selling all crypto before December 🧵👇
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RT @lord_fed: The Big Short ruined more traders than it inspired. Everyone’s chasing their 2008 moment but in reality they’re just missing….
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Why hold a trade longer than a year to get capital gains tax rates when I could just realize profits when the chart tells me to then just cost segregate/bonus depreciate some STRs to offset my gains?. I am not optimizing for taxes. I am optimizing for risk mitigated gains.
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Guy explains that sunscreen chemicals contaminate the natural lake water
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The fear is still very pervasive in CT. From getting absolutely demolished in 2022 in $LUNA & $BTC to still getting shellacked even in 2025 in $ETH with a 67% drawdown. The pain trade is so much higher. $ETH 20k.$BTC 225k.
$ETH went from $80 to $4800 last cycle and people are targeting 6k.
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RT @uncledoomer: millenials were the weak men who made hard times and the zoomers are the strong men who must bring the good times back.
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Rates coming down substantially from Fall 2025 into 2026 will force the bond proxy play to ignite speculative buying from the money market sidelines. We are going so much higher.
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This is a great filter for people who let their politics influence their investing. There are a bunch of people I really respect on this app who are so mad about the Fed cutting next mont. Yet they were silent this time last year when CPI was nowhere near as low as it is now.
Last year the Fed cut rates twice within 2% of ATHs. As we noted back then, stocks have never been lower a year after a cut near ATHs. It was higher 20 for 20 and there's a good chance it'll be 22 out of 22 come November.
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If I simply held this $ETH position for the past 3 years and did absolutely nothing productive it'd be worth 4m. Instead I bought shitty old houses and broke my back fixing them up for 1m in equity. Literally could've surfed every day the past 3 years & would be worth more.
Officially my biggest holding $ETH.
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$ETHBTC looks like it could be an absolutely massive inverse adam & eve pattern. I will eventually sell $ETH but I've come to the realization that it will be a move I regret after enough time no matter what price I choose to sell at.
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These people are living in a fantasy world. @TicTocTick & Vlad. You can’t have a crash without leverage & forced sellers. People are stuck w/ 2% mortgages. LTVs are at the lowest since 1950. There is no leverage in housing. We have un-levered forced holders. Not a recipe for
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