Martin Kelly
@_MartinKelly_
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Middle East / Global Maritime. Head of Advisory at EOS Risk Group
Joined November 2021
There is nothing more frustrating than #Dubai bros taking a phot of them having breakfast, organic coffee, laptop showing crypto charts and fake Ray Bans saying 'all quiet here', with the Burj in the distant background. UAE has been attacked with 140 missiles & 270 UAVs. DXB
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Iranian missiles struck Dubai air port again this morning, whilst explosions were repored in Bahrian, Qatar, Jordan, Kuwait and Israel. It is also possible that the Houthis are active: A drone was sighted inbound towards Minhad air base, UAE from the south, and a drone intrusion
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In the past hour, Iranian State media reported the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei following joint US-Israel airstrikes in Iran. The remaining leaders of Iranโs Axis of Resistance including Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi could be targeted next, which would draw the Houthis
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Iran announces closure of SoH ๐จ A client vessel was called on VHF and told by the 'Sepah Navy' and told that the Strait of Hormuz is now closed: "From now on, no ship of every type is not allowed to pass from the Strait of Hormuz, from now on the Strait of Hormuz is banned for
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This is really really big. Not 12-day war big, but even bigger. Iran has struck targets in Bahrain, Qatar and explosoins reported in UAE & Kuwait. In the 12-day war, Iran telegraphed a response before laucnhing missils at an empty base. Today, Iran has launched missiles at GCC
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This guy is the GOAT at tracking these air movements.
US Build-Up for #FreeIran UPDATE: A bit of analysis from me on here for once. After the flurry of activity over the last 72hrs, the relative lack of significant movements this morning is telling - whether it's the calm before the storm, or that things are being delayed, we will
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Iran Update - 19 Feb 26 ๐จ 6x F-22 Raptors (from Langley AFB, Virginia) arrived at RAF Lakenheath on February 17, after the 6x remaining F-22s at Langley expected to fly to RAF Lakenheath are turned around, due to tankers' "electrical issues". Likely now en route [@DefenceGeek /
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท BREAKING: Cargo Ships Waited for Iran to Open Strait of Hormuz.
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Iran Update - 18 Feb 26 ๐จ Great updates by @ArmchairAdml @DefenceGeek @TheIntelFrog HUGE air movements <24hrs. 12x F-22 supported by KC-46 tankers left the US bound for Lakenheath, UK. 6x E-3 Sentry (AWACS) deployed to #CENTCOM via Europe. 48x F-16s have deployed to the
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The talks about talks resulted in an agreement to continue talking, part 2. Meanwhile assets necessary for a strike on Iran continue to flow into the region at an increased pace signalling that the US may not wait for Iran to return with another proposal.
US official tells me, @jmhansler & @kylieatwood that progress was made during Iran talks in Geneva, but there are still a lot of details to discuss. The Iranians said they would come back in the next two weeks with detailed proposals to address some of the open gaps in our
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UKMTO received a report of an incident 70NM southwest of Aden, Yemen. A vessel was approached and hailed by one white skiff, with five persons onboard. This was followed by an exchange of small arms fire. Two additional skiffs were also reported in the vicinity. Initial
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Sub-threshold hybrid warfare at Play in the SoH ๐จ โ #Iran is โcontrollingโ access to the Strait of Hormuz while staying below the threshold that would justify a formal military response. On 17 Feb, PM, Iranโs semi-official Fars News Agency reports that parts of the Strait of
The #IRGC has launched a large-scale naval exercise in the Strait of Hormuz, including closure of the inbound leg of the SoH TSS ๐จ The drill, named 'Smart Control of the #StraitofHormuz,' aims to test the IRGC's naval "security plans and counter-military action in the face of
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๐จBREAKING๐บ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ด๐ฎ๐ท Iranian affiliated channels have released a video issuing direct threats against a US military base in Jordan
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