WPA Intelligence
@WPAIntel
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Polling, data science & tech firm with unmatched accuracy. Experts in public opinion, analytics, & behavioral science. Specialists in electing conservatives.
Washington, D.C.
Joined February 2011
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Congratulations to
@AmandaWPAi
and
@WilsonWPA
for being named Pollster of the Year!
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🚨🚨
An entire slate of MAGA-aligned candidates got blown out last night in a suburban / rural county in **Tennessee** that Donald Trump previously carried by 26 points.
Are you guys paying attention yet?
BREAKING: After a month of embracing white supremacists and dodging reporters, MAGA mayoral candidate Gabrielle Hanson was shown the door by voters in Franklin, Tennessee.
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🚨EARLY STATE POLLING🚨
DeSantis: 51%
Trump: 49%
In our RCV tabulation, which simulates candidates dropping, Ron DeSantis earns a majority of the vote faster than Trump and comes out on top, 51-49%, in the GOP primary early states.
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🚨NEW FOX NEWS POLL🚨
Ron DeSantis beats Biden.
Donald Trump loses to Biden.
As Fox’s pollster said:
"A Biden-Trump rematch starts at pressure-cooker level and keeps Democrats highly united," says Chris Anderson, a Democrat who conducts Fox News surveys with Republican Daron…
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In our latest national poll, we explored media personalities and online influencers. It turns out some of them are not very influential.
While
@BenShapiro
and
@RealCandaceO
are quite famous, very few Republicans know or trust
@TimCast
and
@JackPosobiec
.
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Our latest national poll of Republican primary voters:
DeSantis 40%
Trump 31%
Haley 8%
Pence 8%
Cheney 5%
Pompeo 2%
Rubio 1%
Hogan 1%
T. Scott <1%
Sample: 1,000 verified GOP primary voters. Conducted February 13-16.
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POLL: Over one-third of white Democrat college-educated women say men can get pregnant via
@collegefix
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🚨MIRAGE ALERT🚨
For this poll to be true, you have to believe:
Trump is now +8 w/ women, which he lost by 11 pts.
Trump is +15 w/ GenZ, which he lost by +20 pts.
Biden is at 12% w/ Independents (he won 52% of them) and +2 with Hispanics (he won by 21 pts).
Not believable.
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
PRES:
(R) Trump 43%
(D) Biden 38%
.
(D) Biden 37%
(R) DeSantis 34%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 60%
DeSantis 16%
Ramaswamy 6%
Pence 4%
Scott 3%
Haley 3%
Christie 1%
.
H2H:
Trump 67%
DeSantis 26%
@premisedata
| 08/17-21 | RVs
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In 2020, Donald Trump:
- Lost women by 15 pts
- Lost Black by 75 pts
- Lost the suburbs
His pollster would have us believe that Trump is now:
- Winning women
- Cutting Biden's margins w/ Blacks by 27 pts
- Winning the suburbs
Does this make sense to anyone? 🤔
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL (conducted by Trump's pollster
@jmclghln
)
PRES:
(R) Trump: 49% (+5)
(D) Biden: 44%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump — 52% (+33)
DeSantis — 19%
Pence — 5%
Scott — 5%
Haley — 4%
Ramaswamy — 2%
Christie — 2%
Burgum — 1%
Suarez — 1%
2-Way:
Trump — 68% (+36)
DeSantis — 32%…
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DeSantis' 'stunning' Iowa ground game could lead to potential caucus upset, influential activist says
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🚨 NEW 2024 POLL 🚨
Percent of Democrats who are "very enthusiastic" about voting for Joe Biden
🔘 Initial: 24%
🔘 If Trump is on the Ballot: 55% (+31%)
National poll of verified RVs, Sept. 15-19, N = 1,005, MoE ±3.1
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Collect evidence leading to the arrest of Hillary Clinton and she’ll do it for you.
Please don’t poison yourself because Donald Trump thinks it could be a good idea.
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Yet another poll showing Trump hemorrhaging whites, which he won by 18 points in 2020. This has him just +6 now with only 1.5% undecided. N = 785.
Even if you believe the minority #'s (we don't), Biden will have LOTS of money to address that. Trump is broke.
What's the plan? 🤔
🚨 NATIONAL POLL:
@RedfieldWilton
PRES:
(R) Trump 42% (+1)
(D) Biden 41%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 65% (+55)
Ramaswamy 10%
DeSantis 9%
Christie 3%
Haley 2%
——
DEM PRES:
Biden 71% (+62)
Kennedy Jr 9%
Williamson 3%
Manchin 1%
——
1,500 LV (618 GOP LVs) | 9/3-4
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🚨NEW POLL🚨
In our latest poll, we asked Americans if, given choice, would they rather live in Florida or California: 61% picked the Sunshine State. This includes:
☑️ 83% of Republicans
☑️ 63% of Independents
☑️ 39% of Democrats
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Please point us to your tweets calling for the same disqualification of 2018, 2016, 2004 and 2000 election deniers. We’ll wait.
Alas, are you just a partisan hack on this issue?
Alas, you really don’t care.
He is right.
Anyone who cast doubt on the 2020 election here and claimed widespread fraud should be disqualified. Unless they apologized profusely, and no one has...
NV's statewide slate is full of election deniers, from Adam Laxalt on down.
Alas, too many voters don't care.
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🚨NEW POLL🚨
A whopping 60% of white Democrats attribute Hispanics voting Republican to "disinformation." The view is shared by:
❌ 63% of self-described liberals
❌ 61% of Biden voters
❌ 57% of MSNBC viewers
❌ 54% of CNN viewers
Do they see Hispanics as gullible? 🤔
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An entire slate of MAGA candidates was wiped out in Tennessee last week.
Now, the mayoral candidate — who lost her race by 60 points — is suggesting the election was rigged and stolen from her.
Is anyone else tired of this yet? 🤔
🚨🚨
An entire slate of MAGA-aligned candidates got blown out last night in a suburban / rural county in **Tennessee** that Donald Trump previously carried by 26 points.
Are you guys paying attention yet?
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🚨POLL ALERT🚨
We don't know who needs to hear this, but if you have a Trump +3 topline w/ these cross-tabs:
Biden and Trump tied in states like NY...
+
Biden only +7 in places like California...
+
Trump winning GenZ and millennials, then...
You don't really have Trump +3.
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Ron DeSantis is quietly building a powerful number of endorsements
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🚨🚨
In today's episode of bad polling, we bring you this dumpster 🔥 from
@premisedata
claiming:
😂 Trump is +3 with Gen Z
🤥 Trump is +4 with women
🤡 Biden is barely winning half of Blacks
To quote the great Whitney Houston: Crack is wack!
🚨 NATIONAL POLL:
@premisedata
PRES:
(R) Trump 44% (+6)
(D) Biden 38%
.
(D) Biden 37% (+2)
(R) DeSantis 35%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 61% (+49)
DeSantis 12%
Pence 6%
Haley 5%
Ramaswamy 5%
.
H2H:
Trump 66% (+42)
DeSantis 24%
——
1,387 RV (415 R's) | 8/30-9/5
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🚨OUR LATEST POLL🚨
Misinformation isn't a one-way street. One out of five Democrats believe men can get pregnant, including:
❌ 36% of college-educated white Dem women
❌ 27% of self-described liberals
❌ 29% of white Democratic women
❌ 21% of Biden voters
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The old Taylor can't come to the phone right now. Why? Oh, because she's joining the leftist Hollywood elite by giving unsolicited, uneducated political advice.
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Karen is the 24th most popular name in America. Julio is the 554th most popular. Jamal ranks 1,829th.
Not many Julios in the Rust Belt. Hardly any Jamals in Arizona. Lots of Karens in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania though.
Sounds like a bad strategy.
Matt Gaetz is Not Worried About Trump Losing Women Voters: ‘For Every Karen We Lose, There’s a Julio and a Jamal Ready'
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Days before he launched his presidential campaign, Vivek Pharmaswampy paid someone to delete from his Wikipedia page his close ties to the Harvard scientist who pioneered mRNA vaccines.
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🤡🤡
Hillary Clinton's pollster just released the x-tabs of Friday's poll showing Trump +6 vs Biden.
Greatest Hits:
☑️ Biden at just 55% w/ Blacks
☑️ Trump +11 in the burbs
☑️ Trump +8 with women
☑️ 67% white sample vs 72% white 2020 electorate
This is...not a serious poll.
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Poll
(R) Trump: 45% (+6)
(D) Biden: 39%
(R) Trump: 47% (+7)
(D) Harris: 40%
.
(R) DeSantis: 41% (+1)
(D) Biden: 40%
(R) DeSantis: 42% (+2)
(D) Harris: 40%
Harvard/Harris | 06/14-15 | 2,090 RV
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Now might be a good time to point out that Republicans overwhelmingly side with Gov. Ron DeSantis over Disney.
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As state-level studies have found, our latest poll confirms Donald Trump would hurt down-ballot races nationally if he is the 2024 Republican nominee.
With Trump
Democrats: 47% (+5)
Republicans: 42%
Without Trump
Democrats: 44% (=)
Republicans: 44%
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🚨🚨
Debate poll results are in and viewers say:
🇺🇸 DeSantis won the debate
🚩 Pharmasmarmy achieved his goal of becoming famous and more than doubled his negatives in the process — womp womp
📈 DeSantis now has the highest favs and vote consideration of the GOP field
IPSOS/WP POLL: Who do you think performed best in the Republican primary debate? (R's, who watched the debate, n=775)
DeSantis 29%
Ramaswamy 26%
Haley 15%
Pence 7%
Scott/Christie 4%
Burgum/Hutchinson 1%
Worst Performance
Christie 22%
Hutchinson 14%
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The latest CBS Battleground Tracker finds Republicans with a *16 POINT* lead with likely Independent voters and on track for their best performance with Hispanics in a generation.
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🚨 MIRAGE ALERT 🚨
For this poll’s Biden +1 vs. Trump topline result to be correct, you have to believe Biden is just +12 with non-whites.
Per Pew, Biden won non-whites by about 50 in 2020.
A near 40-point shift in 4 years among minorities strains credulity.
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
PRES:
(D) Biden: 47% (+1)
(R) Trump: 46%
.
Independents
(R) Trump: 48% (+8)
(D) Biden: 40%
——
GOP PRES:
Donald Trump 65%
Another Republican 30%
——
Biden Job Approval: 42/52
——
⦿ NPR/Marist College (A) | 1,100 RV
⦿ 08/11-14 | D37/R31/I31 (D+6) | ±3.7%
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Ron DeSantis and Gavin Newsom are squaring off tonight, but the Florida vs. California debate has been settled among Americans.
Our polling found last year that 61% of voters say they would rather live in Florida over California, including 63% of Independents.
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We don't know who needs to hear this, but…
☑️ Trump is not winning women
☑️ Biden is unpopular but he's not just at 18% w/ Independents
☑️ Biden is not just +4 vs. Trump w/ Hispanics — even with the "breakfast tacos" comment
☑️ Trump will lose Blacks by ~75, not just 45
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
PRES:
(R) Trump: 44% (+2)
(D) Biden: 42%
(D) Biden: 39% (+1)
(R) DeSantis: 38%
.
GOP PRES:
Trump — 54% (+31)
DeSantis — 23%
Pence — 5%
Cheney — 4%
Haley — 3%
T. Scott — 2%
Christie — 2%
@premisedata
| 05/29-06/02 | RVs
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460
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We spoke with nearly 1,300 Hispanic voters on behalf of
@bienvenido_us
and found:
➡️ A strong majority believe it is inappropriate for kids to attend drag queen shows
➡️ Key parts of Florida's Parental Rights in Education law are popular with Hispanics
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After months of left-wing activists and the media branding Florida's "Parental Rights in Education" law as "Don't Say Gay," we found:
❌ 67% of MSNBC viewers
❌ 74% of college-educated Dem. women
...believe Florida actually banned the word "gay" in all schools.
(It has not.)
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Down-Ballot Republicans Who Endorse Trump’s Election-Fraud Lie Expected to Face ‘Considerable Voter Backlash,’ Poll Finds
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As we have said for several weeks:
There is more evidence that Donald Trump is losing ground among white voters than there is that he is making big gains with minorities.
The decision to ignore one set of inarguably stronger data and promote the other is partisan media spin.
Trump lost NH by 0.4% in 2016 and 7% in 2020… he’s down 12% in 2024
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Our latest national poll of Republican primary voters finds Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis with a 24-point lead over former President Trump in a head-to-head match-up.
DeSantis: 57%
Trump: 33%
n=1,000 GOP primary voters nationally. Data was collected via an online panel Feb. 13-16.
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This is consistent with our own polling.
Donald Trump's presence at the top of the ticket would energize Democrats and give them a +5 lead in the generic ballot.
Without Trump, it's a tie.
2024 Generic Congressional Ballot
Democrats: 48% (+2)
Republicans: 46%
Net 3-point swing towards Democrats from January (was 46/47 - GOP +1)
@NBCNews
| 1,000 RV | 06/16-20
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Brutal poll for Trump.
☑️ Biden +6
☑️ Trump's margins among minorities are largely consistent w/ 2020-22 results, some improvements w/ Hispanics.
☑️ But he's losing ground with college-educated whites.
☑️ 5% of Republicans sit out 2024 w/ Trump as nominee (same as midterms)
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Poll
(D) Biden: 47% [=]
(R) Trump: 41% [-2]
[Change vs July]
——
5% of R's would vote for Biden
2% of Dems would vote for Trump
——
⦿ Yahoo/YouGov (B+) | 1,113 RV
⦿ 08/17-21 | D33/R27/I40 | ±2.8%
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In today's edition of bad polling...
We examine this gem from corporate marketing / research agency
@wearebigvillage
:
🤥 Trump beating Biden with Gen Z + millennials, which he lost by 20
🤥 Biden at just 20% with Inds...😆
🤥 A tie w/ women, which Trump lost by 11
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
🚨 NATIONAL POLL:
@wearebigvillage
(B-)
PRES:
(R) Trump 44% (+1)
(D) Biden 43%
.
(D) Biden 43% (+3)
(R) DeSantis 40%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 57% (+43)
DeSantis 14%
Ramaswamy 9%
Pence 6%
Haley 5%
.
H2H:
Trump 70% (+40)
DeSantis 30%
——
RVs | 702 (R's) | 8/25-26
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@IAPolls2022
@premisedata
We're not sure who needs to hear this but:
- Trump is not winning Gen Z kids by 15 points
- Trump is not winning women by 8 points
- Biden is not at 12% with Independents
- Biden is not just barely winning a majority of Blacks
.... as this poll would have us believe.
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🚨🚨 WPA’s
@AllenWPA
and
@AmandaWPAi
in Newsweek:
“Hemorrhaging white voters, while counting on a common polling mirage to produce a miraculous wave of Black support, is a recipe for disaster for the Republican Party in 2024.”
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Following a viral Stephen King tweet and a debunked Salon article claiming Florida requires professors and students to register their political views, our poll found:
❌ 35% of Democrats
❌ 41% of MSNBC viewers
❌ 44% of college-educated white Dem women
...believe this lie.
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Donald Trump's team rages over poll showing him floundering in swing states 🙄
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And in today's episode of Bad Polling....
☑️ Trump is not just -2 with women
☑�� Biden is not at 38% with Gen Z voters
☑️ Biden will win more than 78% of Dems
☑️ In no universe is Biden at just 17% w/ Ind's
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
PRES:
(R) Trump: 45% (+3)
(D) Biden: 42%
(D) Biden: 42% (+2)
(R) DeSantis: 40%
.
GOP PRES:
Trump — 56% (+41)
DeSantis — 15%
Haley — 4%
Scott — 3%
Ramaswamy — 3%
@wearebigvillage
| RVs | 06/09/14
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🚨 POLL 🚨
There has been some talk this week about an "indictment bounce" for Donald Trump.
We examined 10 national polls — five taken before the indictment and five taken after.
They show no "bounce" for the former president. In fact, his vote share has dropped by 1 point.
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🚨NEW POLL🚨
With much of the media's coverage of misinformation focusing on right-leaning sources, we wanted to examine the prevalence of conspiracy theories and falsehoods on the left.
🧵...
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In today's edition of bad polling...
This claims:
🤥 Biden and Trump are tied w/ women
🤥 Trump is +14 with millennials & Gen Z
Context:
Trump lost young voters by +20 and women by 11.
Dems have won women in every presidential election since 1992, by an avg of 11 points.
🚨 NATIONAL POLL:
@leger360
PRES:
(R) Trump 44% (+3)
(D) Biden 41%
Someone else 15%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 61% (+52)
DeSantis 9%
Ramaswamy 5%
Pence 5%
Scott 3%
Haley 2%
Christie 1%
——
August 23-24 | 1,623 RV (658 GOP RV)
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We'd like to take a moment to congratulate Donald J. Trump on winning the "non binary" vote in the latest Emerson poll.
Non Binary 2024
Trump: 31.5%
Biden: 19.8%
Well done, zir!
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Solid poll:
Now the governor is in second place with only 10 percent between him and the former president, while the rest of the field falls further behind the two frontrunners.
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🚨 NEW 2024 POLL 🚨
Trump v. BIden
Biden: 43% (+2)
Trump: 41%
Trump v. BIden if Trump is Convicted
Biden: 45% (+6)
Trump: 39%
1,005 RV, 9/15-19, MoE ±3.1
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Our national poll of registered voters found that 52% of Democrats, including nearly half of MSNBC viewers, believe the Supreme Court recently outlawed abortions in the United States.
This is false.
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🚨POLL ANALYSIS🚨
We looked at six recent polls.
The evidence that Trump is hemorrhaging white voters is much stronger than him being at 20% w/ blacks.
Trump won whites by 17. He's now averaging just +8.8 vs. Biden, a nearly 50% drop.
The white samples are also 6x's larger.
President Trump’s support among black voters has nearly tripled from 8% to 20%
Now you know why the media is obsessing over the “racially motivated” shooting in Jacksonville
They’re trying to scare black voters back into the Democrat mind prison
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Elizabeth Warren: "I'm going to do something new and innovative to show the base that I am relatable"
Beto: "Hold my dental floss"
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There has a lot of chatter today about the effectiveness of conservative youth outreach efforts.
We decided to look into this. As always, the data tell the full story:
Republicans' loss margins with 18-29 year-olds have nearly doubled in national elections since 2000.
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In our poll, we also asked the respondents whether they believe the 2016 election was stolen by Vladimir Putin and the Russians. Our study found that:
❌ 45% of Democrats
❌ 47% of MSNBC viewers
❌ 42% of self-described liberals
...believe the 2016 election was stolen.
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This is your biweekly reminder that
@premisedata
's polls are garbage.
Joe Biden is unpopular, but he is not just winning 17% of Independents and 68% of Democrats vs. Donald Trump. Nor is he losing women and Gen Z voters.
This data is illogical and obviously flawed.
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
PRES:
(R) Trump 42%
(D) Biden 40%
.
(D) Biden 37%
(R) DeSantis 35%
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 59% (+5 from June 12)
DeSantis 21% (-3)
Pence 6%
Scott 3%
Haley 3%
H2H:
Trump 64% (+6)
DeSantis 26% (-6)
@premisedata
| 06/23-26 | RVs
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The Greeks had the Midas Touch legend where anything King Midas laid his hands on turned into gold.
In American politics, we have the Fecal Touch.
Everything Trump touches turns to 💩.
In 2015, Republicans won the KY Gov. race by 9 points. Since then, we've lost twice in a row w Trump endorsement.
Our party has a simple choice to make:
a) win elections
b) continue propping up the MAGA Grift Industrial Complex
GOP can’t do both
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We are just one day away from a new era in Virginia.
We are so excited for our friends
@C_RMartinez
,
@grcoward
,
@macaulayporter
, and
@rachlepp
, as they begin their new journey. With this group, Virginia is in good hands.
The full Youngkin admin:
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Our poll found that 60% of white Democrats, 63% of self-described liberals, and over half of CNN viewers — who are unaware some of their own beliefs are false — attribute Republicans' gains among Hispanics to "disinformation."
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🚨 ANALYSIS 🚨
The white/black voter ratio is 7:1
An avg of recent polls shows Trump's 2020 lead over Biden w/ whites is down from 17 to 9 pts.
So, Trump would have to gain 56 pts with Blacks (win ~36%) to make up for his 8 point loss with whites.
Good luck with that... 😂
Donald Trump’s lead over President Biden among white voters has been cut almost in half since 2020, a new analysis finds.
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Religious groups Democrats like less than witches include: Anglicans, Lutherans, Baptists, Orthodox Jews, Amish, Mennonites, Sikhs, Muslims, Mormons, Bahais, Pentacostals, Eastern Orthodox, Church of God in Christ, and 7th Day Adventists.
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When voters see his track record on the issues that matter to him, they respond.
2024 NH Poll among voters with children:
DeSantis 56%
Trump 23%
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“I’m so proud of our team,” Bustos says, standing in an empty room.
I am extraordinarily proud of our team at the
@dccc
. I have never been more committed to expanding and protecting this Majority, while creating a workplace that we can all be proud of.
Read my full statement:
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We have no position on the issue, but Trump ran on a pro-Puerto Rican statehood platform in 2016 and 2020.
The polling is clear:
☑️ 81% of Florida Boricuas favor statehood
☑️ They're swing voters
☑️ Florida is must-win
Another reminder of why Republicans LOSE with Team Trump!
🚨🚨🚨
Has anyone asked Ron DeSantis why he co-sponsored a bill to give statehood to Puerto Rico? It would almost certainly lead to two new Democrats in the US Senate and a permanent majority for Dems.
Why would any Republican who cares about saving our country support this???
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"You look at
@HeidiHeitkamp
's vote against
#BrettKavanaugh
, it's almost as if she were auditioning for a role in the next Democrat administration. She's in real trouble here." -
@WilsonWPA
on
@foxandfriends
#NDSen
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Donald Trump lost women by 13 points in 2016 and by 15 points in 2020.
Democrats won women by 11 points in 2022.
Despite the Democrats’ efforts to redefine the word “woman,” there has actually not been a seismic shift among women voters in the last 7 months.
Tea Leaves: There will be a Monday survey release by a firm that is definitely NOT “Hillary Clinton’s pollster.” It will be remarkably close to this overall but based on likely voters. Trump will win with women and Biden will win Blacks but be in the mid 20’s with Independents.
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Let's say it louder: "In the states that will set the tone for the nation, DeSantis edges out Trump."
Big difference between national and early state data: In the states that will set the tone for the nation, DeSantis edges out Trump.
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🚨Breaking, new WPAi Poll 🚨
Almost three-quarters of voters nationwide trust parents (72%) over teachers unions (20%) to influence a child’s education.
A plurality of voters trust Republicans (39%) over Democrats (34%).
NEW POLL: "Who do you trust more to influence your child’s education?"
Families: 72%
Teachers Unions: 20%
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DeSantis Super PAC Launches Ad Campaign Slamming Trump's Anti-Netanyahu Comments
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@GavinNewsom
Bruh, no one likes you and most of the country would rather live in Florida than California. Take a hint and stay in your little corner, you're not going to be president.
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The WSJ poll results are consistent with the net favorability ratings we found for Pres. Trump and Gov. DeSantis in our own research:
Republicans
Trump: +44
DeSantis: +69
Fox Viewers
Trump: +27
DeSantis: +58
Trump Voters
Trump: +54
DeSantis: +69
Memo:
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If this poll is anything like last month's, Hillary Clinton's pollster is claiming:
☑️ Biden is in the low 30s with Inds
☑️ Trump wins GenZ
☑️ Trump wins women (he lost by 15)
☑️ Biden is just +20 with Blacks, after winning them by 75
This is propaganda masquerading as a poll.
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Poll
(R) Trump: 45% (+6)
(D) Biden: 39%
(R) Trump: 47% (+7)
(D) Harris: 40%
.
(R) DeSantis: 41% (+1)
(D) Biden: 40%
(R) DeSantis: 42% (+2)
(D) Harris: 40%
Harvard/Harris | 06/14-15 | 2,090 RV
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In case you missed today's rage tweeting:
Our latest poll examined several social media influencers and found their fame and perceived trustworthiness vary significantly.
Some are influential. Others, not so much.
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"There's also motivation that exists on the left to roll-back some of what
@realDonaldTrump
has been doing, and that's why I continue to say that 2018 will be a turnout election. Every election will be decided on who is able to get their base voter out."
@WilsonWPA
@cvpayne
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Some people pay pollsters to hear what they want.
Others pay them to hear the truth.
Only one of these wins elections.
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Poll
(R) Trump: 45% (+6)
(D) Biden: 39%
⦿
@Rasmussen_Poll
| 986 LV
⦿ June 12-14 | D36/R33/I31 | ±3%
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We welcome Joe Biden making the 2024 election a referendum on whether Americans would rather live in Florida or California.
Biden advisers believe they can hold up what DeSantis calls his “Florida blueprint” as a warning to the country about what would happen if the GOP governor or any other Republican wins the White House in 2024
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Horseshoe Theory:
MAGA Grift Industrial Complex
🤝
BLM/Trans Grift
☑️ Safe Spaces
☑️ Ignore Physical Reality
☑️ Political Correctness/Never Criticize 🍊
FACT: VA Republicans won every district Biden carried by 9 pts or less.
Biggest losers last night: Mitch McConnell, Chris Christie and Never Trump Republicans who tried to convince us that Virginia was the perfect model of the post-Trump GOP.
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🧵More from our latest national poll...
Donald Trump’s insistence that he actually won the 2020 election hurts Republicans who echo this claim.
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Narrator: he means it. Change your mind mr hard pass
@RepMoore57
There are 7,978 registered Republicans in your district or about 66% who support school choice. I'm going to get every single one of them to vote against you.
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🚨NEW POLL🚨
2024 Ballot
Biden: 47% (+7)
Trump: 40%
2024 Congressional Ballot w/ Trump
Democrats: 47% (+5)
Republicans: 42%
2024 Congressional Ballot w/o Trump
Democrats: 44% (=)
Republicans: 44%
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@realchrisrufo
“It’s highly unusual for a family entertainment company to find itself outside the good graces of so many Americans. For an iconic brand like Disney, this is a nightmare scenario. Its corporate leadership should seriously recalibrate current PR strategies.”
@WilsonWPA
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Biden leads Trump by 6 points in election rematch — assuming ex-president is convicted: poll
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#trump
loses, DeSantis wins… again.
🇺🇲 2024 General Election - Pennsylvania
(R) DeSantis: 48% (+3)
(D) Biden: 45%
.
(D) Biden: 48% (+3)
(R) Trump: 45%
⦿
@POStrategies
(DeSantis internal)
⦿ June 17-19 | 500 RV | with leaners
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Let's examine the new YouGov poll's cross-tabs:
🔘 Trump dropping to just +8 among a large subsample of whites (consistent w/ our analysis)
🔘Trump +4 w/ Hispanics (he lost them by 21 pts in 2020)
🔘Trump at 17% w/ Blacks (vs. 8% in 2020)
Which of these seem likelier to you?
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🚨ANALYSIS🚨
Here's how Republicans should read this poll:
Biden's anemic +1 lead over Trump is largely driven by a very common polling mirage with Hispanics.
Last year, Democrats won Spanish-dominant Latinos by about 40 points. There's no indication this poll was offered in…
🚨 NEW NATIONAL POLL
(D) Biden: 44% [+1]
(R) Trump: 43% [-1]
[Change vs Aug. 29]
——
GOP PRES:
Trump 55%
DeSantis 16%
Haley 6%
Ramaswamy 6%
Pence 4%
Scott 3%
Christie 2%
——
• YouGov/Economist (B+) | ±3%
• 9/10-12 | n=1,334 RV | n=537 GOP RVs
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Who else wouldn't vote for a candidate who thinks the 2020 election was stolen:
❌66% of men with college degrees (a big 2022 swing group)
❌72% of Independents
❌76% of voters currently undecided on the generic Congressional ballot
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Not that we’re experts at this nor anything, but we can confirm there is no pro-communism lane in a Republican primary.
Does Donald Trump think he’s running he’s running for president of Berkeley?
😂😂😂
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@IAPolls2022
@premisedata
This poll is no bueno.
🚨🚨
In today's episode of bad polling, we bring you this dumpster 🔥 from
@premisedata
claiming:
😂 Trump is +3 with Gen Z
🤥 Trump is +4 with women
🤡 Biden is barely winning half of Blacks
To quote the great Whitney Houston: Crack is wack!
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