Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
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Global market research and polling company. Members of the @BritPollingCncl and the @AAPOR Transparency Initiative.
Joined April 2020
RT @PpollingNumbers: The most accurate pollsters in 2024 according to ActiVote. 1. @Atlas_Intel.2. @InsiderPolling.3. @OnMessageInc.4. @Ras….
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FINAL 🇺🇸 US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 Oct):. Both candidates within MoE of victory. Trump leads in:. AZ (48% | 47%).GA (48% | 47%).NC (48% | 47%).NV (48% | 47%).Both tied in:.MI (47% | 47%).PA (48% | 48%).Harris leads in:. WI (48% | 47%).
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Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by 1% in Swing Counties (See list below). 🇺🇸 Presidential Election Voting Intention (21-23 October):. Donald Trump: 47%.Kamala Harris: 46%.Other: 3%.Don't Know: 4%.
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Kamala Harris enjoys a wide advantage on abortion over Donald Trump among swing state voters. Majorities of voters in every state (52%-60%) trust Harris more than Trump on abortion. Only 28%-31% of voters trust Trump more than Harris on this issue.
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In our latest Swing States poll, between 61% and 70% of Harris voters say that abortion will be ‘extremely’ important in determining their vote. By comparison, only between 30% and 40% of likely Trump voters say the same.
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Increasing Salience of Abortion:. In national tracker polling conducted over the past year for Newsweek, only 21% of voters named abortion as among their top three issues in July 2023. By October 6, that figure had risen to 38%.
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This increase has been especially driven by women. Abortion has increased from being the top issue among 20% of women when Joe Biden dropped out to being the top issue for 24% of women now.
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As the election hnears, abortion has become an increasingly important issue. In the swing states, on average, abortion has gone from being named as the most important issue by 12% of voters last October, to 18% when Joe Biden dropped out, to 21% now.
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NEW: 🇺🇸 US States Voting Intention (20-22 Oct):. Trump leads in. AZ (49% | 47%).GA (48% | 47%).NC (48% | 46%). Both tied in. NV (47% | 47%).PA (48% | 48%). Harris leads in. MI (49% | 48%).WI (49% | 47%).
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Wisconsin?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Pennsylvania?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in North Carolina?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Nevada?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Michigan?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Georgia?
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What is the top issue on voters’ minds when they vote in Arizona?
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The Reagan Question (20-22 October). Compared to four years ago, do voters feel better or worse off?. Net Better/Worse OFF:. AZ -27%.GA -22%.MI -25%.NV -26%.NC -27%.PA -30%.WI -26%.
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NEW: 🇺🇸 US States Voting Intention (20-22 Oct):. Trump leads in. AZ (48% | 46%).GA (48% | 47%).NC (48% | 47%).NV (47% | 46%).Both tied in. MI (47% | 47%).Harris leads in. PA (48% | 47%). WI (49% | 47%).
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Who do Americans think their neighbours are voting for? (21 October). All Voters. Trump: 47%.Harris: 44%. Likely Trump Voters. Trump: 86%.Harris: 12%. Likely Harris Voters. Harris: 82%.Trump: 15%.
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