 
            
              Victory Insights
            
            @VictoryPolling
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              Providing data-driven insights to political candidates and committees across the nation. Inquiries: [email protected]
              
              United States
            
            
              
              Joined June 2011
            
            
           NEW POLL: @ByronDonalds leads @DavidJollyFL in the race for Florida Governor. 36.7% - Byron Donalds (R) 31.4% - David Jolly (D) 31.9% - Undecided Read the full report:  https://t.co/4P7vQChbhk 
          
          
                
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             Over 25% of New Yorkers will consider fleeing NYC if Zohran Mamdani becomes mayor: poll  https://t.co/9809y78OQV 
          
          
                
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             Highly recommend reading the full report. Lots of interesting info besides the ballot topline. A quarter of voters say they’re considering moving out of NYC if Mamdani is elected. A plurality of Cuomo voters and a majority of Sliwa voters say they’re considering it. 
           NEW POLL: Zohran Mamdani leads Andrew Cuomo & Curtis Sliwa. Early voting begins tomorrow. 47% - Mamdani 29% - Cuomo 16% - Sliwa Full Report:  https://t.co/x75vqnZKXc 
            
            
                
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             NEW POLL: Zohran Mamdani leads Andrew Cuomo & Curtis Sliwa. Early voting begins tomorrow. 47% - Mamdani 29% - Cuomo 16% - Sliwa Full Report:  https://t.co/x75vqnZKXc 
          
          
                
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             Tomorrow, we'll be releasing the results of our survey of New York City voters. This poll explores the full ballot, head-to-head matchups, favorability of each candidate, and more. It also investigates whether voters see Mamdani as a threat to NYC's future. Stay tuned! 
          
                
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             This is the first poll we’ve released to the public that uses AI Agent-Conducted Live Calls as one of the response collection techniques. We replaced a portion of the IVR component with AI agents calling voters and guiding them through the survey conversationally. More to come! 
           Roy Cooper narrowly leads Michael Whatley in the first poll of the 2026 US Senate race in North Carolina. OVERALL BALLOT: 43.4% Cooper (+3.1%) 40.2% Whatley 16.4% Undecided WITH LEANERS: 44.4% Cooper (+0.9%) 43.5% Whatley 12.2% Neutral Full Report:  https://t.co/dSi0qKnucn 
            
            
                
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             We highly encourage you to read the full poll report to better understand the context. Though Cooper is starting with a lead, Whatley has several factors in his favor. For instance, here’s a telling excerpt from the report: “If Republican and Republican-leaning undecideds all 
          
                
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             Roy Cooper narrowly leads Michael Whatley in the first poll of the 2026 US Senate race in North Carolina. OVERALL BALLOT: 43.4% Cooper (+3.1%) 40.2% Whatley 16.4% Undecided WITH LEANERS: 44.4% Cooper (+0.9%) 43.5% Whatley 12.2% Neutral Full Report:  https://t.co/dSi0qKnucn 
          
          
                
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             Cooper vs. Whatley poll coming later this week from @VictoryPolling! 
           Trump endorses Michael Whatley for US Senate in North Carolina. Looks like it’s a Cooper vs Whatley general election matchup next fall. 
            
                
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             People would be well served to read the entire report before overreacting. A lot of voters simply don’t know anything about either candidate yet, so they’re noncommittal. But the report explains that undecided voters are R+17. If Republican undecideds break for Donalds, 
           The first poll is out TODAY in the Florida Governor’s contest — and even this Republican pollster shows us in a near statistical tie within single digits of our likely GOP opponent, less than 6 months after the Republicans won Florida by 13 points. 
          
                
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             The logical next step is to consider who the undecided voters are. This is another headwind for Jolly: undecided voters lean Republican by 17%. 
           NEW POLL: @ByronDonalds leads @DavidJollyFL in the race for Florida Governor. 36.7% - Byron Donalds (R) 31.4% - David Jolly (D) 31.9% - Undecided Read the full report:  https://t.co/4P7vQChbhk 
            
            
                
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             The idea that Jolly will win over moderate Republicans is shaky at best. Donalds earns an average rating of 3.9 out of 5 among Moderate Republicans. That’s better than DeSantis (3.2), Trump (3.1), and certainly Jolly (2.5). Not to mention MAGA Republicans are far more numerous. 
           NEW POLL: @ByronDonalds leads @DavidJollyFL in the race for Florida Governor. 36.7% - Byron Donalds (R) 31.4% - David Jolly (D) 31.9% - Undecided Read the full report:  https://t.co/4P7vQChbhk 
            
            
                
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             Tomorrow morning, @VictoryPolling will release the very first poll results on a potential David Jolly vs. Byron Donalds gubernatorial race. 
           I’m Democrat David Jolly, and I’m launching my campaign today for Governor of Florida. Our state is in crisis — not just a crisis of policy, not right versus left, but a crisis of right versus wrong. It doesn’t have to be this way. 
            
                
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             Most people only know @VictoryPolling for our polling work, but last night we also won awards for: - Peer-to-Peer Texting - Voter Targeting - Telephone Town Halls With the upcoming relaunch of @DonorDex, we expect to add fundraising to this list soon. Back to work… 
           We took home 6 trophies from last night’s Pollie Awards by @theAAPC! This includes winning 1st Place for our innovations in voter targeting, polling research, and peer to peer texting. 🏆 
            
                
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             We took home 6 trophies from last night’s Pollie Awards by @theAAPC! This includes winning 1st Place for our innovations in voter targeting, polling research, and peer to peer texting. 🏆 
          
                
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             Poll conducted 4/30 - 5/7, 2025 via TTW and IVR among likely GOP primary voters throughout TX HD-1. Commissioned by Chris Spencer. The full report also includes generic ballot questions, top issues, and candidate favorability. 
          
                
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             “Hindsight is 20/20, and voters are seeing quite clearly through Rep. Gary VanDeaver… Our poll confirms that VanDeaver is falling out of favor with Republicans in his district, while Chris Spencer sits poised to take him out.” Shockingly weak numbers for an incumbent. 
           NEW POLL: Conservative challenger Chris Spencer leads incumbent Gary VanDeaver in the TX HD-1 Republican primary. VanDeaver was one of 2 TX Republicans to vote against school choice last month. 38% - Spencer 27% - VanDeaver 35% - Undecided Full Report:  https://t.co/qLMw4BEpF1 
            
            
                
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             NEW POLL: Conservative challenger Chris Spencer leads incumbent Gary VanDeaver in the TX HD-1 Republican primary. VanDeaver was one of 2 TX Republicans to vote against school choice last month. 38% - Spencer 27% - VanDeaver 35% - Undecided Full Report:  https://t.co/qLMw4BEpF1 
          
          
                
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             The political fundraising app @DonorDex is relaunching this summer, and we are proud to announce that @VictoryPolling will be powering its data & modeling! Our firm is always on the cutting edge of campaign technology. Let’s conquer political fundraising next. 🚀 
          
                
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             DonorDex is back. Our mission to level the political playing field resumes Summer 2025. The all-new DonorDex app connects political candidates to potential donors efficiently and at scale. Think Tinder, but for political fundraising. Join the waitlist:  https://t.co/Bn5hjmeHe8 
          
          
                
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