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Michael Modica Jr

@VelocityChasing

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MSU Meteorology Major. Forecasting for Southwest Arkansas Weather on FB. Studying storms on @_TwistedNature

Joined July 2019
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
10 days
So not only do we get the overrunning portion of the storm in the S US but we also get the lobe of energy extending the storm. Wow. #0zEuro
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
14 days
Just had this band of precip produce rather large snowflakes at my house in Russellville!
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
1 month
Ope 👀 looks like we had twin tornadoes in IL a little bit ago. Posting updates on @_TwistedNature on FB. #ilwx
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
1 month
Hey @WxFront, is it possible to have a feature where you could save a section of a model loop? 👀 if so that would be awesome especially for those of us who convey wx info to public and only want a part of the model data!
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
1 month
This just feels great.
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
2 months
Depending on the details of the setup, wouldn’t be surprised to see a strong storm risk *try* to setup across a part of AR on Thu. #arwx
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
2 months
6:45 am: Just had light sleet 3 miles north of Russellville. Only lasted a few minutes. @NWSLittleRock
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
3 months
Well that was fun! From Arkansas. #Auroraborealis
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
3 months
Do these get a pass since they’re not in Christmas tree form? @WxZachary
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
3 months
Would tend to think that lower pressures in the NE US/SE Canada would favor higher pressure in the SE US. Similar to how high pressure in the NE US can favor lower pressure in the SE US. We had the latter earlier this month.
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
3 months
Well well well, looks like another shot at a long-range signal that would favor stronger storms is back. Thinking perhaps I like this signal a little better than earlier in OCT with the NAO trending more neutral instead of negative. That and no mean trough in the SE. #wxtwitter
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
3 months
Hey @Drewshearer444 it might be a little early for this I feel, but drawing back to our convo earlier today it looks like the signal for a second SFC low is intriguing at the least. In reference to late Oct.
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@CC_StormWatch
Craig Ceecee, Ph.D.
4 months
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
5 months
Alright lol, I know we’re getting close to fall but no need to be this ridiculous.
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
Found a larger stone that again, after melting, came in about 2 inches in south Arkansas City, KS. #kswx @NWSWichita
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
7:11 PM in south Arkansas City, KS. After some melting about quarter sized stones. @NWSWichita
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
sounding, 700 mb temps would be around 10 to 12C, which would seem to be cool enough to allow convective development? @Drewshearer444 you've been highlighting Tuesday for a while now, any thoughts on this or corrections I need to make in thinking?
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
2) Stronger low level +OMEGAs within a weaker forcing environment would seem to still support convective development, even with some minor -OMGEAs higher up. 3) One main concern as noted by Andrew Shearer was 700 mb temps. Within this area average (roughly south-central Kansas)..
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
Some early (more so just to gain some experience) analysis of some interesting area averaged HRRR soundings for Tuesday in S KS. 1) Wind profiles (especially for afternoon hours in mid June) look extreme per HRRR, even though upper winds varied in strength per model.
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@VelocityChasing
Michael Modica Jr
8 months
Pretty cool display from Austin/San Antonio radar this evening. Lots of birds and bats taking off. Even made the radar temporarily switch modes! #txwx
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