Dr. Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
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Owner/developer of https://t.co/hrCHBENMTB. PhD in meteorology from FSU. Opinions are mine alone. Follow for expert, factual, no-hype hurricane analysis
Honolulu, HI
Joined July 2011
An initial issue with AIGFS total accumulated precipitation plots has been fixed. Sorry about that!
The @NWSEMC released an AI version of the GFS model and its ensemble system, based on GraphCast. This is NOAA's first operational foray into the era of machine-learning based weather prediction. Plots for AIGFS are now available on Tropical Tidbits: https://t.co/ox7LmuONUH I
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The @NWSEMC released an AI version of the GFS model and its ensemble system, based on GraphCast. This is NOAA's first operational foray into the era of machine-learning based weather prediction. Plots for AIGFS are now available on Tropical Tidbits: https://t.co/ox7LmuONUH I
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Salivating
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Data from the aircraft indeed indicated extreme turbulence, prompting a longer than usual loitering inside the eye after penetration. Hoping the crew is all safe and uninjured.
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All-time eyewall dropsonde right here from Hurricane #Melissa. 219 kt instantaneous wind above the surface, with a mean value of 188 kt in the lowest 150 meters, roughly supporting the estimated 1-minute mean surface wind of 160 kt (185 mph)
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173 kt (199 mph) flight-level wind on the outbound leg is the highest observed today
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The @NOAA_HurrHunter plane is timing up a final pre-landfall eye penetration in Hurricane #Melissa.
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The sun rises on Hurricane #Melissa as data from the @53rdWRS prompt @NHC_Atlantic to assess maximum winds at 180 mph with a central pressure of 896mb in this Category 5 hurricane. Storms at this extreme intensity rarely make landfall. Unfortunately, Melissa will shortly do so
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Some of the last hurricane hunter aircraft data for the evening just measured a central pressure of 903 mb in #Melissa, the lowest so far. There are also continuing hints in the wind profile of a secondary wind maximum beginning to form (pink arrows), which could signal a coming
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Live data from the airctaft can be viewed here (updates every 10 minutes): https://t.co/BK4OQ0Nh9T
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New hurricane reconnaissance aircraft from @53rdWRS and @NOAA_HurrHunter are entering Hurricane #Melissa to assess its intensity this evening as the storm begins to turn towards #Jamaica.
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