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Dr. Levi Cowan Profile
Dr. Levi Cowan

@TropicalTidbits

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Owner/developer of https://t.co/hrCHBENMTB. PhD in meteorology from FSU. Opinions are mine alone. Follow for expert, factual, no-hype hurricane analysis

Honolulu, HI
Joined July 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
4 days
Go Seahawks - that was certifiably insane.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
5 days
An initial issue with AIGFS total accumulated precipitation plots has been fixed. Sorry about that!
@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
5 days
The @NWSEMC released an AI version of the GFS model and its ensemble system, based on GraphCast. This is NOAA's first operational foray into the era of machine-learning based weather prediction. Plots for AIGFS are now available on Tropical Tidbits: https://t.co/ox7LmuONUH I
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
5 days
The @NWSEMC released an AI version of the GFS model and its ensemble system, based on GraphCast. This is NOAA's first operational foray into the era of machine-learning based weather prediction. Plots for AIGFS are now available on Tropical Tidbits: https://t.co/ox7LmuONUH I
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
6 days
Salivating
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Hurricane #Melissa is now racing northeastward, and will pass west of #Bermuda tonight. Max winds are estimated at 105 mph, and Melissa will likely remain a Cat 2 hurricane near Bermuda. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the island. By Friday night, Melissa will be
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Just terrible to see the aftermath of Hurricane #Melissa's strike on #Jamaica. I hope most residents found adequate shelter. Wishing the island a quick recovery and rebuild.
@WxNB_
Nahel Belgherze
2 months
NEW: Devastating imagery from Jamaica, before & after Category 5 Hurricane Melissa. White House — Landfall point.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Hurricane #Melissa has crossed #Cuba and is accelerating northeastward as a weaker, but still dangerous hurricane. The storm's core has been broadened, and thus could affect a wider swath of locations today. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for the central and southeastern
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
As Hurricane #Melissa reemerges over water north of #Jamaica, the next land area due to be impacted by the inner core is eastern #Cuba early tomorrow morning, which has already been receiving heavy rainfall. Although the NHC has set the current intensity of Melissa at 145mph, it
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Data from the aircraft indeed indicated extreme turbulence, prompting a longer than usual loitering inside the eye after penetration. Hoping the crew is all safe and uninjured.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
All-time eyewall dropsonde right here from Hurricane #Melissa. 219 kt instantaneous wind above the surface, with a mean value of 188 kt in the lowest 150 meters, roughly supporting the estimated 1-minute mean surface wind of 160 kt (185 mph)
@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
173 kt (199 mph) flight-level wind on the outbound leg is the highest observed today
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
173 kt (199 mph) flight-level wind on the outbound leg is the highest observed today
@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
The @NOAA_HurrHunter plane is timing up a final pre-landfall eye penetration in Hurricane #Melissa.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
The @NOAA_HurrHunter plane is timing up a final pre-landfall eye penetration in Hurricane #Melissa.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
The @53rdWRS aircraft did get a dropsonde off before leaving the eye of #Melissa. Estimated central pressure here would be ~892 mb.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
The sun rises on Hurricane #Melissa as data from the @53rdWRS prompt @NHC_Atlantic to assess maximum winds at 180 mph with a central pressure of 896mb in this Category 5 hurricane. Storms at this extreme intensity rarely make landfall. Unfortunately, Melissa will shortly do so
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Some of the last hurricane hunter aircraft data for the evening just measured a central pressure of 903 mb in #Melissa, the lowest so far. There are also continuing hints in the wind profile of a secondary wind maximum beginning to form (pink arrows), which could signal a coming
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Hurricane #Melissa is continuing its "stall-and-turn" sequence that will see it begin moving NNE towards western #Jamaica overnight tonight. Unfortunately, Melissa remains a Cat 5 hurricane with no concrete signs of being disrupted in the short-term, and could potentially make
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
Live data from the airctaft can be viewed here (updates every 10 minutes): https://t.co/BK4OQ0Nh9T
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
New hurricane reconnaissance aircraft from @53rdWRS and @NOAA_HurrHunter are entering Hurricane #Melissa to assess its intensity this evening as the storm begins to turn towards #Jamaica.
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@TropicalTidbits
Dr. Levi Cowan
2 months
🌀 Monday video update on catastrophic Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa, nearing its final approach to #Jamaica. Hoping everyone in the path finds shelter and stays safe.
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