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Tinky

@Tinky47flat

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occasional uncommon insights into, and reflections on what was once the world's greatest game...

Joined February 2013
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
2 days
‡ The White Abarrio Scratch The late scratch of White Abarrio soon before the running of the Breeders' Cup Mile catalyzed more than a few reflexive, and dubious reactions. Before I continue, here's a link to fairly recent, and useful overview of what has become a somewhat
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
4 days
‡ Yet another thoughtless take from Mike @RepoleStable . As any modestly experienced handicapper would notice when viewing Skip Away's PPs, the addition of Lasix coincided precisely with blinkers being added, and also occurred at the beginning of his 3yo campaign. So for
@RepoleStable
Repole Stable
4 days
The more I look at these PPs, the more I realize, in today’s world, Skip Away might’ve never won a stakes race. After his seventh start, a DNF, the comment reads: “distanced, bled.” Up to that point, he had zero stakes wins and never cracked a 94 Beyer. Then came Lasix. He ran
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
5 days
‡ How Tommy Jo Tipped Her Hand – Twice In the wake of this year's Spinaway Stakes at Saratoga, contested on August 30th, Tommy Jo appeared to be on her way to a possible Championship season. She was two-for-two, and had dominated her rivals in the Grade I fixture. In those
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
5 days
‡ Tick-Tock, Tick-Tock It's one thing to note, yet again, that the racing industry has contracted significantly over the past ~20 years (e.g. wagering handle down ~60% in inflation-adjusted dollars; the foal crop down ~50%), but another thing entirely to consider that those
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
6 days
It would be nice if all trainers understood the potential value of this pithy comment. Nice B&W photo, as well!
@FOBRacing
Fergal O'Brien Racing
7 days
Happy staff, happy horses #TeamFOB
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
8 days
‡ Marvin Gaye and Horse Racing? I grew up listening primarily to soul and funk music, but even those who prefer rock, jaz, country, or classical, are likely aware of Marvin Gaye, and his iconic song I Heard It Through The Grapevine. I don't know of any direct connection
@thejazzestate
The Jazz Estate
2 years
Marvin Gaye’s isolated vocal track on “I Heard It Through The Grapevine” recorded in 1967.
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
11 days
‡ Forever Young "He will stay in training in 2026 as long as he stays in sound condition. His next race will be the Saudi Cup followed by the Dubai World Cup as his spring campaign." The above quote is from the BC notes, and is welcome news. While it is true that his sire,
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
12 days
‡ Some Reflections on the Breeders' Cup This will be a relatively brief overview, featuring some horses, and races, that I found to be interesting. I plan to go into greater detail in stand-alone posts on some of the topics, over the coming days or weeks. – Juvenile Turf
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
13 days
‡ A Live Longshot? Despite some rather considerable obstacles, I find myself interested in the possibility that a real longshot might have wee chance of hitting the board in the Breeders' Cup Turf. The horse is Ethical Diamond, and he is unusual in a number of interesting
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
14 days
‡ Shortening Up I wonder if there has been a Breeders' Cup Sprint winner that had never previously contested a 6 furlongs (or shorter) race? Not to say that Kopion couldn't possibly win, but it must be a rare profile, even among starters, and is not one that I would consider
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
14 days
I didn't like Tommy Jo's appearance prior to her race at Keeneland, nor do I like it today.
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
14 days
No need for industry leaders to worry, he only has 3.7m followers, a high percentage of whom like to gamble. 🙃
@stoolpresidente
Dave Portnoy
14 days
Somebody owes us money. This horse was 7/2 in the gate. Goes 8/5 because of the cheaters and scoundrels. If you are involved in #caws you should go to prison. And the cowards on Tv don’t even mention it.
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
14 days
‡ Free Sweaters No, I'm not giving away fashionable, cold weather gear. "Free sweaters" is a reference to horses that may sweat freely prior to their races, but, importantly, not necessarily to their detriment. As it happens, Aidan O'Brien will saddle at least one horse in
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
15 days
And a meaty response from Francis Quinn: https://t.co/6ZJINNLLq1
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
15 days
‡ An Embarrassing Response from The Stronach Group's 1/ST Much as I would have liked to post solely about the Breeders' Cup over the next few days, I can't let this pass unmentioned. The excerpt below is from a statement issued by The Stronach Group's 1/ST "Media Team" (bold
@paulickreport
Paulick Report
15 days
Statement claims the lawsuit fundamentally misrepresents the nature of computer-assisted wagering: https://t.co/3XMPvA5zoB
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
16 days
‡ Judging Firm Ground Turf Action Friday's 8th race is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. I've chosen this race not because it will necessarily present a good betting opportunity, but rather a good illustration of how I go about predicting whether horses which haven't
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
17 days
A big loss, obviously. But I'll be far more upset if he doesn't remaining in training next year.
@DRFGrening
David Grening
17 days
Sovereignty is out of Breeders Cup. “We’re going to scratch,” Bill Mott said.
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@Tinky47flat
Tinky
17 days
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