50W SMA breakdown = bear market? 📊 History says: Often a bear trap. And Bitcoin is NOW going through what S&P went through in APRIL. Let me show you the charts 👇 A thread 🧵 (1/13)

At least #Silver makes it easy to spot the top 😆 No - this is not the Grand rally. This is not Debasement. It was a Euphoric rally - where the Bulls tried to convince themselves of the reason - and the narrative. The real rally comes POST the Deflationary Bust

Tomorrow: BITCOIN OPTIONS Part 2 📊 What EXACTLY happened on December 26? The largest crypto options expiry in history: $23.7 Billion (Bitcoin) The Problem: Bitcoin was PINNED at $85-90k in December. Couldn't break out (despite multiple attempts). WHY? "Price Pinning" -

BITCOIN OPTIONS: Why rolled expiries are BULLISH for Q1 2026 📊 Part 1/3: What are Bitcoin Options? A thread explaining the mechanics 🧵 ════════════ 📊 WHAT ARE BITCOIN OPTIONS? Option = Contract The RIGHT (not obligation) to buy/sell Bitcoin at a set price

BTC-SP500 Ratio has topped! But - just like in 2021, we stand right in front of a bounce in the Ratio. Most likely to a value of 18-19. In 2021, BTC soared 140% in this bounce. Today, BTC is likely to rally to 150K-ish in this same rally - while SP500 soars into its

Every time gold has surged over 200% in a short timeframe, it has always ended in a recession and massive disinflation or deflation. This is the exact opposite of what the mainstream suggests today, which is more inflation and a weaker USD. Stick to the data!

Monday: BITCOIN OPTIONS SERIES 📊 Part 1/3: What are options and why do they matter? December 26, 2025: LARGEST Crypto Options Expiry IN HISTORY $23.7 Billion (Bitcoin) What happened: Bitcoin was PINNED at $85-90k in December: - Couldn't break $90k (despite attempts) ❌ -

📊 QUICK CORRECTION - PILLAR BREAKDOWN In the thread above, I need to correct the pillar scores for accuracy: CORRECT BREAKDOWN: 1️⃣ Macro Divergence: 21/21 ✅ MAXIMUM 2️⃣ Sentiment & Psychology: 14/15 ⚠️ (1 missing) 3️⃣ Market Structure: 14/15 ⚠️ (1 missing) 4️⃣ Liquidity &

LCIF UPDATE (Dec 27) 📊 Score: 75/78 (96.2%) ONLY 3 POINTS FROM MAXIMUM The dashboard now shows the PERFECT late-cycle setup. Thread 🧵 🎯 THE SETUP 5 indicators all ✅: 1. GDP strong (4.3%) + Employment collapsed (64K) = MAXIMUM DIVERGENCE 2. Fed starts QE despite strong

Tomorrow: LCIF UPDATE 📊 Score: 75/78 (96.2%) ONLY 3 POINTS FROM MAXIMUM The dashboard shows perfect late-cycle setup: ✅ GDP strong + Employment collapsed = MAX DIVERGENCE ✅ Fed starts QE despite strong GDP = Irrational Policy ✅ Gold/Silver exploding = Smart Money fleeing

Why your favorite finfluencer will disappear 📉 (And why that's good for everyone) A thread about the coming quality filter. 📊 THE REALITY TODAY A generation of finfluencers. Without: - Economics degree (BA/MA) - Financial training - Macro understanding With: - YouTube

GOLD AND SILVER RALLY IS A HUGE WARNING SIGN 🚨 If you think gold, silver, copper, platinum, palladium all pumping together is bullish, you are wrong. That kind of move does not happen in a healthy economy. In a normal expansion, commodities behave very differently from each

Silver today with a daily increase of more than 10%. 📈 The volume of silver ETFs exploded today. 💥 This is pure euphoria. 🤯 But beware: Parabolic increases, like that of silver, like to come back strongly. 📉 This phase is missing from both the traditional stock market and

Tomorrow: Why your favorite finfluencer will disappear 💣 (And why that's good for everyone) A generation of finfluencers: Without: - Economics degree - Financial training - Macro understanding With: - YouTube tutorials - 3 bull runs - "I'm an expert" The problem:

People see gold pumping while Bitcoin pulls back, and they act like it’s epically bearish. Why? The blueprint for years has been Gold rips → Bitcoin lulls → Gold cools → Bitcoin detonates. We have been seeing this over and over again. Gold always reacts first to some new

💡 BOTTOM LINE 50W SMA break ≠ automatic bear market. History: - 1999: 6 weeks → Rally ✓ - 2006: Multiple times → Rally ✓ - April 2025 S&P: 8 weeks → Rally ✓ Bitcoin NOW: Same situation as S&P April. 8 months delayed. If pattern holds: Jan-Feb: Recovery Feb-May: Rally

⏰ CRITICAL WINDOW JANUARY 2026: If recovery begins → Bear trap confirmed ✓ If stays below 50W SMA → Problem FEBRUARY 2026: If back above 50W SMA → Pattern holding ✓ If still below → Likely real bear market MARCH 2026: If still below 50W SMA → Pattern broken Means:

🎯 WHAT THIS MEANS If Bitcoin follows S&P pattern: NOW (Dec): Below 50W SMA Social media bearish JAN-FEB 2026: Recovery begins? FEB-MAY 2026: Rally window (could also be faster!) Conservative: Jan-May like S&P Aggressive: Jan-March Dotcom speed This is the test. (11/13)

Timeline COULD be: CONSERVATIVE (like S&P): Jan-May (8 months delayed) AGGRESSIVE (Dotcom speed): Jan-March (compressed timeline) Why faster possible: Dotcom final phase: Weeks, not months. Plus now: - Social media amplifier - Market breadth catch-up potential - 24/7 trading