Tobias Gehrke
@TGehrke_
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Find me on the other platform instead at https://t.co/fsWeJr7GVP Senior Policy Fellow at @ecfr covering geoeconomics, economic security
Brussels and Berlin
Joined September 2017
President Trump divides the world into those who have cards and those who don’t. So, Europeans need to learn to play cards quickly. In my latest policy brief, I review Europe’s economic hand and explore what it would mean to deploy these cards against US aggression. 1/8
Europeans must swiftly learn to leverage their position with Trump and the US. They need a clear transatlantic strategy to decide when to align, rebalance, or diverge from the US. Wise decision-making is crucial for success. Read the policy brief by @TGehrke_. @ECFRPower
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As Europe seriously contemplates retaliation against US tariffs as a way of striking a better bargain, I’m reposting Tobias Gehrke’s excellent overview of Europe’s economic arsenal. The bloc has more leverage than commonly assumed. https://t.co/qEAxfiDWPd
ecfr.eu
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relations it has ways of retaliating…
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.@ECFR's Tobias Gehrke on the supposedly imminent 🇺🇸🇪🇺 trade pact: "This deal may spare Europe the worst of Trump’s tariffs. But it comes at the cost of sacrificing its interests and international credibility." "Only few in Brussels will pop champagne. The EU fumbled its hand,
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@ecfr 1/ @TGehrke_ outlined his "rule of 90": an assertive vision of what Europeans should seek to achieve in trade talks with Trump over the next: - 90 days, - 90 weeks, - and 90 months. https://t.co/XcpnQemCZr
ecfr.eu
Trump’s tariff suspension gives the EU space to create clear negotiating terms, covering not only the next 90 days but also the next 90 weeks and 90 months. Only by establishing firm mid- and...
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Facing Trump's tariff threats, the EU must play its cards wisely. A phased negotiation strategy could turn the tide in Europe's favor, writes @TGehrke_
@ECFRPower Read his new commentary, here 👇 https://t.co/sRkl2DNn89
ecfr.eu
Trump’s tariff suspension gives the EU space to create clear negotiating terms, covering not only the next 90 days but also the next 90 weeks and 90 months. Only by establishing firm mid- and...
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Selon le chercheur @TGehrke_, les Européens sous-estiment les atouts à leur disposition alors que Donald Trump doit dévoiler aujourd’hui de nouveaux droits de douane dans le cadre du "Liberation Day". ➡️ https://t.co/KFYSmnLZFh ✍️ @anne_cagan
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My colleague @TGehrke_ has surveyed Europe's retaliatory options across trade, services, financial, tech & other realms. Turns out, Europe actually has the cards. (Kudos to colleagues for the nice title!) https://t.co/9P8lzHv9Un
ecfr.eu
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relations it has ways of retaliating…
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Ahead of 'Liberation Day' and yesterday's car tariff announcement, my comments to this @business story on how 🇪🇺 could respond to Trumpian coercion. by @europressos
https://t.co/X19yICyam9
bloomberg.com
The European Union is preparing for a massive round of tariffs set to target the bloc as soon as next week and among its retaliatory options are some of the EU’s most powerful trade-policy tools.
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Europeans must quickly learn to navigate their leverage over Trump and his America. They need a clear plan for their transatlantic strategy, deciding where to align with, rebalance, or diverge from the US, writes @TGehrke_ @ECFRGeoecon
https://t.co/b6jQr4QQb1
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Die #Trump-Regierung überzieht gerade zahlreiche Länder mit Drohungen und Tarifen - auch die #EU. Welche machtvolle Karten kann sie gegen die #USA hier ausspielen? Starker Artikel von @ECFRBerlin / @TGehrke_
#EUTheBlueForce
#EUEconomy
#DemocracyVsAutocracy
#PulseofEurope
As trade war with the US looms, and other Trumpian threats proliferate, @ecfr's @TGehrke_ has surveyed Europe's retaliatory options across trade, services, financial, tech & other realms. He finds that Europeans hold more "cards" than they may realise ⬇️ https://t.co/dcUvXB3i4H
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🎧Im aktuellen Podcast begrüßt @markhleonard @jitorreblanca und @TGehrke_ , um Europas Einflussmöglichkeiten gegen Donald Trumps wirtschaftlichen und technologischen Zwang zu erkunden https://t.co/OBwhVsyXxd
ecfr.eu
Mark Leonard welcomes Tobias Gehrke and José Ignacio Torreblanca to explore Europe’s leverage against Donald Trump’s economic and technological coercion
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"Europeans need to learn quickly how to play cards. They must assess the hand they have—Europe’s own sources of leverage over Trump and Trump’s America—and how to strengthen that hand." - @TGehrke_ Read about the hand that Brussels is holding and what cards they may play. 1/2
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New @ecfr podcast episode in which @markhleonard , @jitorreblanca and I dive into Europe's economic and digital deterrence options in a new transatlantic age.
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How should Europe take on the tech bros? Deterrence or escalation? Listen to our new podcast with @markhleonard and @TGehrke_
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As trade war with the US looms, and other Trumpian threats proliferate, @ecfr's @TGehrke_ has surveyed Europe's retaliatory options across trade, services, financial, tech & other realms. He finds that Europeans hold more "cards" than they may realise ⬇️ https://t.co/dcUvXB3i4H
ecfr.eu
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relations it has ways of retaliating…
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Ultimately, Europe’s strength in this new age depends on its ability to consolidate its economic cards into one formidable hand and play that hand smartly, transforming individual assets into a collective trump card against coercion. 7/8
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Whether it is a game of British bridge, Dutch toepen, French belote, German skat, Italian briscola, Latvian zole, Polish baska, or Spanish el mus,—victory at the card table usually comes from combining mutually complementary cards at the right time. 6/8
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While Mr. Trump insists that Europe lacks meaningful cards, he underestimates that many aspects of America’s prosperity and geopolitical strength have long depended on robust transatlantic ties. 5/8
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This is not a playbook. Which cards to play will depend on the actions of the US admin, European considerations about how to combine and phase responses, how to blend deterrence with concessions and compromise, and how to manage and mitigate the costs to European interests. 4/8
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