Mike Miller
@SmartGolfInfo
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Global traveler, father of twins, golf expert, gambler, agnostic, philatelist, Kiwi, MBA, Liverpoolfc for life.
Tauranga City, New Zealand
Joined July 2012
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Bubba Watson: age 43, strong brand, injury susceptible, rarely in contention in recent years, no wins since 2018.... Fits the emerging LIV player profile. Hope he attributes the switch to money and not god or some other bullshit.
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2K
Around 18 months since DJ, Brooks or Bryson won a tournament. I guess the LIV connection interfered with life a bit. I'm finding I don't miss them on PGA Tour as much as I expected to; life goes on & exciting new talent constantly emerges...
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In the absence of Tiger Woods, 'The Match' concept is getting tired, very quickly. However, if they could match-up Bryson & Brooks...
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Thx to everybody for an overwhelming flood of good wishes; this is quite a community in which we virtually exist! The twins have been safely delivered. Before
#TheOpen
week as well 😄
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Tony Finau has more wins in the past few days than: DJ, Bubba, Bryson, Reed, Koepka, Casey, Westwood & Sergio have COMBINED during the past year.
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Note to followers: my wife was admitted to hospital overnight, with an emergency caesarian op looking likely later today. I therefore won't be publishing / updating sheets for this week's golf. GL to all of us!
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Happy to inform patient followers that I've got my database up to date and will be publishing at least a few sheets per week from Monday. Baby steps to start, but will ramp up the coverage & output within a month or two.
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My main two
#PGAChamp
takeaways: 1. Bethpage was properly tough & delivered us the correct winner. 2. There are too many stupid, loudmouthed assholes with no etiquette at US golf tournaments.
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I’ll be quitting public involvement in golf at the end of July. My explanation is here: Best wishes to you; maybe I’ll see you down the road….
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Sad to hear of the death of Grayson Murray, a true golfing talent & personality. I'm not shocked; he had his issues, so presumably it was an accident or suicide. I hope he's at peace now.
#RIP
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Bitter
#PaigeSpirinac
needs to decide whether she's a golfer or just another titty insta babe, craving attention. Here's a suggestion, Paige. Stick with instagram; golf can evolve & progress without you....
#DriveOn
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Ok, for better or worse, here is my '
#TheOpen
'Eliminator' with a one-liner on each player's credentials / chances & the 10 players I believe can win this week:
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I've applied my usual
#TheMasters
elimination criteria & 6 players are left standing: Scheffler, Rahm, Xander, Hideki, Young & Theegala. I'll be ignoring the 1st two for reasons already tweeted.
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Followers, please note I'm shutting down my google site from Monday 4 June. From now on, you can freely access my golf data here: Any hassles, let me know.
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#pgatour
#farmersinsuranceopen
1. The past 8 winners played the South Course Thursday. 2. Poa gets tougher late, so favours early starters. Using these data you'll be able to eliminate 75% of players from consideration for your win bets!
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How many golf journalists have asked Sergio Garcia why he keeps assaulting things on course? None? Why not? C'mon, one of you pussy suck-ups, just ask him! It's your job; we want to know.....
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I've analysed the 152 starters in
#TheOpen
& have concluded that only 10 players can contend for the win. I'll await the identities of the other 4 then publish my reasoning, for all 156, on Monday! Watch this space! 😄
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I'm often asked for golf tips & occasionally oblige! From this week I'll publish 4 tips per tournament, on Tue or Wed, & add 'em as a 'Tips' tab to my sheets: Winner, Each Way, Top10 & Longshot.
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My approach to pricing changes from today. Exec summary & full explanation on my Blog:
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After disrespecting Augusta National with his puerile & unnecessary "it's a Par 67 for me" comment, Bryson DeChambeau is struggling to match the actual Par of 72. Karma, baby; suck on it...
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I actually invested money on Patrick Rodgers this week. Could somebody just end this stupidity by hitting me in the head with a shovel? Thx.
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The announcement regarding the future of SmartGolfBets is now live. Retweets appreciated to spread the news; thx.
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Good luck to everybody who's investing in golf this week; we all know NOTHING about what'll happen but we're charging in .... 🤣
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If Jon Rahm does leave the PGA Tour it will have no impact, except on his bank account. LIV can keep buying the occasional top player, but its format sucks big time for gambling; gamblers want mostly full field events with a 36-hole cut sweat.
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My take on a couple of
#USOpen
controversies: Phil was wrong, he should be DQ'd. Shinnecock conditions got tough, get over it. Thx, bye.
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I won't be around twitter much in the coming weeks; heading to rural Uganda. So, Best Wishes to all my followers; stay alive during the coming weeks & I'll see you before Kapalua: 3-6Jan. 🥳🤶🍷🍷🍷
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After mincing around like a frightened pussy for 28 months, I've now had covid twice. I'm very much over: vaccines, government, masking & especially alarmist media on the topic of flu. Get it, die or recover & get on with life!
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I think the
#KornFerryTour
Finals were better viewing than the
#FEC
playoffs. A $15m prize for a millionaire can't compete, for excitement & tension, with guys playing for their Tour lives....
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#USOpen
My money's on: Cantlay (win), Lowry & Hatton (each way), Scheffler (Top10), Chan Kim (Top20), CT Pan (Top Asian), Lowry (Top GB&I) & Wiesberger (Top Euro). GL to all this week; Pebble will deliver!
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Went shopping with the wife today. Bought no beers, two potties, a twin stroller, 560 Pampers, no bourbon, 4xbaby blankets & assorted other gear. It seems my life as I know it will soon be over! 😭😭😭
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Forget about the protein shakes & the rest of the bullshit surrounding Bryson. He shot 67, on a Major Sunday, on a tough course, to win his first Major. That took more than brawn. Stellar performance!
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#ThePlayers
next week. Guys who can't master TPC Sawgrass Stadium: Rose, DJ, Bryson, Rahm, Tiger, Finau, Casey, Reed, Bubba, Phil ... That should help narrow down your selections! 😄
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Is anybody else sick of leaderboards at-12 after two rounds & -18 after three? Target golf, pitch & putt, call it what you will. Yawn, USA!
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Nice to see. Sometimes, small things can make a big difference.....
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Jon Rahm must be gutted by last week's events. However, given his occupation & wealth, for him to be competing & traveling & a new father, without having been vaccinated against covid-19, means he's undeserving of sympathy.
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Jordan Spieth opened at 20/1 for
#usopengolf
on Betfair. Today he's 200/1. I believe that's known as a drift.
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One of the greatest facets of quality links courses is their capacity to cause players to implode. I wish the 'links season' were a bit longer than 3 tournaments, esp. given the alternative which is vanila parkland tracks where -24 could finish 2nd...
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Honoured to have
#FanshareSports
carry a series of articles by me on golf betting. There'll be 6 or 7 in total.
#2
is done & I'm working on
#3
now. Hopefully, something in there for every golf bettor. Here's
#1
:
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I'm working on my own world golf rankings and expect to publish from 1 Jan 2023 onward. Will include Mens & Womens & player look-ups. It'll allocate points for LIV tournaments and address some obvious imbalances in the current owgr structure.
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How to bet on the
#pgatour
#DesertClassic
1. Print field in price order. 2. Remove Top30 and Bottom50. Stick a pin in the remainder 4 times & back those players for Top10. 4. Keep the rest of your powder dry for a proper tournament next week at Torrey Pines!
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Where to now for Bryson DeChambeau with a recent form run of: 25, 50, MC, 4, 30, MC? I seem to recall a number of people recently stating that golf was no longer fair & that he'd win almost every week. Does he now need to add another 30lbs of muscle?
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Happy to finally be in Quarantine in New Zealand, after 40 hours' travel - topped-off with a 2-hour bus ride to Hamilton where we'll serve our time. Will get into some golf once jetlag, cigarette deprivation & traumatised 2-y-o are sorted! 🤪
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Note to self: ALWAYS bet on Matt Fitzpatrick when conditions are challenging.
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Did ya miss me? Getting caught up now, starting with a look at next week's
#pgatour
#MemorialTournament
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From Serge to Steele & Henley to Hoffman. All my
#pgatour
#TheMasters
tips are here. GL to everybody this week!
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Re the Sergio-Kuuch incident, all I'll say is it's hilarious to me that two guys who have recently been suspected of being golf assholes should be the two involved.
#KarmaBaby
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Learned a bit from last week's golf return: DJ, Rickie, JDay & Brooks still a bit rubbishy, take Bryson seriously, Rose back in the mix after club change, Rory still frustrating, Spieth maybe closer to form.... Bring on Week2!
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The annual
#MikesAwards
are out! Congrats 🍾 to all worthy mentions; commiserations to the rest. Feedback, plaudits, criticism & abuse are all welcome:
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Is it only me, or do betting and
#TheMasters
just go together like burger & fries or barbecue & beer?
#CantStopBetting
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Note to self: DON'T change your staking size after a winning week; you're not any smarter now than you were 7 days ago, dickhead!
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Would love to see one of the nice guys of golf, Martin Kaymer, go on and win for the 1st time in 4 years. Some people may recall him as one of the VERY FEW pro's to publicly support Tiger after that DUI incident
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Over the past 15yrs all Open Championship winners have had a prior Open Top10, except Oosthuizen who won his first. Applying that 'Top10 Rule' would cause us to write-off: Rahm, DeChambeau, JT, Hovland, Morikawa, Cantlay, Scheffler, Fitzpatrick, Cam Smith....
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If you're wavering about whether to pay to watch the Las Vegas golf farce, do the rest of us a favour and don't. As much as anything, this is about golf authorities gaining intel on future charging for golf coverage.
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Ok, the prestigious
#MikesAwards
for 2018 are now live. Kudos to all Winners & Runners-up. Re-tweet to spread the good word, or just to skite about your victory!
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50/1 winner with the Tips thx to Danie Van Tonder & Dale Williamson a full place at 80/1 in Australia. Still to come: McGreevy 125/1 (leading) & live doubles into Dahmen at 60/1. Potentially a ripper week!
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Brooks Koepka at 16/1 might just tempt me into a rare favourites bet this week. Imho, he's on the brink of a return to his best form.
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Gotta have one final skite about last week's Tips. 50/1 winner, 60/1 winner, 125/1 beaten in a playoff & 80/1 full place. Doubtless all downhill from there! Anyway, on to a new week.
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An update for followers re changes to my planned 2020 golf output is now posted:
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Personal milestone upcoming on Friday, compliments of a UK friend and his company's private jet. We'll be touching down in a West African country and it'll be the 100th country I've visited. A goal set at age 14! Took a while! 🥳🎉🍾🍾
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Note to followers: From now, I'm going to cease attributing prices to specific bookmakers & refrain from recommending any bookies to followers. I can no longer see a reason for giving any of them free publicity.
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Gonna follow a bunch of new 'golf people' this week, then inevitably & steadily unfollow most of them as they: deliver no value, yap abput crypto-currency or mention religion. 😀😀
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Fwiw, I've applied 7 'eliminator rules' to
#TheMasters
& that left me with just 4 players who could win: Rory, DJ, Rose & Rickie. Kisner, Rahm, Tiger, Bubba & Casey were the nearest misses. GL to all next week!
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First sheet since September is now up; for
#pgatour
Monterey Peninsula. Feel a bit rusty so any tech or other issues, pls let me know.
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I didn't back, or favour, Francesco Molinari but any guy who can go bogey-free at Carnoustie with Rory, Tiger & Speef lurking is a very worthy Major winner!
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When we say guys can't putt, or drive, or sand save we mean they're better than 7.5billion people and rank behind just a handful....
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During lockdown I watched every episode of Seinfeld & Cheers - to kill time and, more importantly, make up my mind once and for all which was superior. Seinfeld won.
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I've never been a huge
#TigerWoods
fanboy, but am seriously liking his patient & steady recover from a 4th back surgery. How cool would it be to see him staring down a young gun on a nervy Sunday afternoon in 2018? How cool? I'll tell ya, WAY COOL!
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Thanks to all followers who joined in & appealed against my site being taken down by google for breaching its terms of service; seems like it's 'legal' again! Cheers
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Thoughts & prayers with Hideki today. Not just sleeping on a 54-hole lead but carrying the fervent hopes of a golf-mad nation that's been starved of Mens' Major wins. Bigger pressure than many will comprehend....
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Summary of my 1st week of a new pricing approach: Euro: Pavan rated 70/1 (market 100/1); LPGA: Green 200/1 (market 400/1); PGA: Reavie 55/1 (market 70/1; Champs Kelly 5/1 (market 10/1. A decent start, I reckon.
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This doesn't occur often so I need to skite about it. Win tip Bryden McPherson 33/1 won in Australia (Rated 14/1 for
@greensquaregolf
subscribers). Each way Tip Justin Warren 50/1 was 2nd (rated 45/1). 💰🤣
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How many people are like me in composing a blistering tweet, pausing to re-read it, then deleting instead of sending?
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Ok, most of us have had a go at Bryson over slow play, myself included. Enough; he's far from the only offender. Time now to attack the real enemy here - piss-weak Tours that refuse to police their own rules!
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Will be off twitter for next 4 days; it's safari-time! Elephant, Giraffe, Hippo guaranteed, Lions maybe, Gorillas slim chance... Screw the 8-hour drive on shit roads to NW Uganda; helicopter charter the way to go. Camping though; wish me luck!
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Sigh, people on twitter congratulating themselves at halfway in a golf tournament. Just look in the mirror & smile to yourselves, but leave the rest of us out of it. We already know you're really good cos you probably already told us....
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And the 600/1 shot Hirotaro Naito finishes T3 for a full place payout. I'm probably gonna have to retire from tipping now or spend fruitless years trying to beat that! 🤣
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Longer-term followers may recall my weekly 'Tips' sheets where I shared some of the golfers I planned to bet on each week. I got bored today & have re-launched it - for better or worse!
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I can't recall a golf writer / previewer / tipster having a more sustained run of brilliance than
#BenColeyGolf
in 2021. If you're not following Ben & reading his PGA / Euro previews at
#SportingLife
then you're just doing it wrong!
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I've been tipping golfers for just over a year & it's time to reflect; and to decide whether to keep going. Read my outcomes / comments here: Feedback welcomed & needed.
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We now live in an age when a guy with 3 wins who placed 2,1,2,4 in Majors gets beaten for POY by a guy who had 3 wins incl no Majors (Rory went 21,8,9,MC in the big ones). A case of consistency or likeability outweighing achievement, imho!
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That's about it for me & golf in 2017. Best wishes to all followers & your loved ones for the upcoming festive season. See you in 2018!
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Happy to report we've secured quarantine spots and flights, so the family will be heading to New Zealand next week. Relocation will disrupt my sheet output, but I'll churn out whatever I can for followers during the coming period at
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Some awesome-looking sheets shaping up for next week. Haven't looked forward to golf as much for years, if ever. No spectators; who cares? No Recent form; who cares? Not me!
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I'm sure we all send our condolences to
@CamiloVillegasR
An indescribable tragedy to lose your 22-month old daughter to cancer. Espero que puedas ser fuerte.
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I found out today that a tiny baby can fire a stream of liquid poop almost 2 feet! I was one foot away.....
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A barista is a person who makes coffee. It's a simple job & doesn't require a degree. So, why all this coffee snobbery & pretentiousness? p.s. I got 'escorted' from a cafe today!
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I think this week has demonstrated that when courses (eg Valderrama & Nine Bridges) challenge players, the spectacle is far superior to 22-under birdie fests on easy courses.
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#maxhoma23
plays for the 8th week in a row. I guess the Tour has a new Iron Man after Sungjae recently took a pussy 2-week break?
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When there was an inkling yesterday that
#PGATour
might be in trouble via Covid-19, it was sickening to me to see doom merchants, pessimists & assholes scrambling to their keyboards to spread their poison. You showed your true colours, scumbags!
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If I were in Melbourne this week, I'd be heading down to 13th Beach to watch some golf & especially 19-y-o Chinese Goddess He Muni. Symetra tour winner last yr, 250/1, weak field ....
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I should add I'm going to sort this situation out. So sad!
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When the vegetable truck arrives in the village, social distancing is temporarily suspended! However, only 56 Covid-19 cases in Uganda thus far; more than 50% have recovered, no deaths; 35-day lockdown, borders & airport closed. We're doing ok...
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Bookmaking was traditionally art & science, risk & reward. No longer. Most bookmakers are now cloned, risk averse, talentless, pussies!
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Will Zalatoris got a lot of attention last week but how about Taylor Pendrith? He's the only other
#kornferrytour
player who's looked
#pgatour
ready all season (3x2nd's) and finished T23 in last week's US Open...
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