River1 Asset Management
@River1AM
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Stock Market Perspectives - 6 Million+ Impressions NYSE Ticker - RVER (Our Active ETF)
Milwaukee, WI
Joined July 2024
34 Stock Predictions: Were We Right or Wrong? Here's how we did! Let us know your thoughts, questions, or what stocks you want to see next. All investing involves risk. This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are inherently uncertain and should not be
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Invest Alongside Us - https://t.co/UbJT9qiJmu Let us know your thoughts, questions, or what stocks you want to see next. All investing involves risk. This is not a recommendation of securities and should not be construed as investment advice. For important information about
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$100 million in AUM is a milestone — but it’s not the mission. Our mission is to prove that active management, done right, still matters. Thank you to every investor who’s joined us in that pursuit. Onward!
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We don't even know what this means and we know its likely very harmful to returns.
We just bumped up the max leverage from 20x to 50x on international perpetual futures. A bunch of traders asked for this update. Let us know what else we can add!
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Intermediate top in our opinion
What just happened? At 10:57 AM ET, President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. 40 minutes later, the S&P 500 erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity? Let us explain. (a thread)
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Hard to call tops in the stock market, but we are going to do it on this Trump/China headline that just hit. Market is overinflated in our opinion and needed a catalyst to roll over. Just got it.
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Invest Alongside Us - https://t.co/UbJT9qiJmu Let us know your thoughts, questions, or what stocks you want to see next. All investing involves risk. This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are inherently uncertain and should not be relied upon when making
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$JPM and many big banks trading at >2x P/B We keep saying valuation matters, especially in the medium to long run. Another example coupled with the history of returns when purchasing at current levels.
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Had a great unofficial visit at Marquette university for track and field! Thank you coaches for a great morning! @MUTFXC @muathletics
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Invest Alongside Us - https://t.co/UbJT9qiJmu Let us know your thoughts, questions, or what stocks you want to see next. All investing involves risk. This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are inherently uncertain and should not be relied upon when making
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$NVDL (2x Nvidia) 52-wk return = 41% $NVDA (Nvidia) 52-wk return = 41% How is this possible? Always check the ingredients list. p.s. The issuer only charging ~1%, other 40% went to someone else...
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Love this local sports coverage. Should be an amazing finish to a competitive season. Good luck to all.
WIAA regional girls golf begins this week, as the road to the state tournament begins. I spoke with @SpartanGrlsGolf’s @PaytonHaugen and others around the program about her final pursuit of an elusive state individual title. STORY: https://t.co/3NBGUbODtV
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$COST a great company at the wrong price. Happens. $WMT similar but not as pricey. $COST valuation overpay largely tied to it being the only consumer stock in the top 17 holdings of $QQQ at number 12.
The market wants to pay 50x for a low single digit volume grower in groceries. $AMZN says I can do this too $COST and I only trade at 25x.
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This guy does the work. Kudos.
Here is why I am avoiding $ORCL stock: It’s debt-to-equity ratio is over 500% as its heavily borrowing to fund its massive $300 billion contract with OpenAI. If the Stargate project scales as planned, it may have to borrow additional $100 billion in the next decade. This is a
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Invest Alongside Us - https://t.co/UbJT9qjhc2 Let us know your thoughts, questions, or what stocks you want to see next. All investing involves risk. This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are inherently uncertain and should not be relied upon when making
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$OKLO, $RGTI, $ACHR - all should be private, in our opinion Public Market starvation has allowed $0 and almost $0 revenue companies to reach nearly $15bn, $10bn, $4bn valuations respectively. We are out...very out!
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$EA said to be staring at a $50B take private per WSJ Next year's EBITDA $3B, so call it 17x. I don't see how you win at that price unless there's thousands of useless employees about to get whacked.
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$COST posts decelerating comps, declining renewal rate, and the most expensive retailer of any size on the planet. Operating margins declined 6bps yoy, not a great sign that a retailer trading at 50x P/E can't get leverage on positive 6% comps, when the comps are decelerating.
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Back in 2020, Nikola Motor Company $NKLA had a peak market cap of ~$30 billion. $OKLO currently has a market cap of ~$20 billion. Since both companies are busy creating graphic renderings instead of working prototypes, I'm equating Oklo's stories about small nuclear plants to
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Yes $KMX CarMax is down because they missed vehicle sales. But the real canary in the coal mine is credit. The loan losses were $142M vs $112M last year. We haven't had a credit crisis in 17 years, and this is one of the first real signs we've seen of one potentially brewing.
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$SBUX still far from attractive. 2% FCF yield becomes 3% FCF yield with these $1B in cuts. Call us at 5%.
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