Ray Duch
@RayDuch
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Senior Research Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford. Visitor @IAST1 Toulouse. Director @Talk2Machine
London, Oxford and Monbalen
Joined October 2011
Can foundation models make randomized experiments more precise—without breaking inference guarantees? Excited to present our NeurIPS 2025 paper “Efficient Randomized Experiments Using Foundation Models” ⏳ Wednesday, 11:00 AM – 2:00 PM PT 📍 Exhibit Hall C,D,E #2503
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More details soon—stay tuned! If you’re working on AI and the social sciences, or have ideas for collaborations, please reach out. #AI #SocialScience #BeijingForum #Oxford #EPSA #TalkingToMachines #China #AsiaResearch
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To build on these exchanges, the Oxford Talking to Machines initiative 🌐 https://t.co/gm2JQBkFaX and @europsa will co-host a new AI & Social Science conference—together with partners across Asia. The event will explore how AI is reshaping research, policy, and society.
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Honored to take part in this year’s 2025 Beijing Forum hosted by @PKU1898 🇨🇳. Thanks Xun Pang for organizing inspiring conversations with young scholars across China and Asia doing cutting-edge work at the intersection of AI and social science. 👉 https://t.co/4VM4DjknCD
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Job 🚨! PRL is looking for a postdoc based at Dartmouth College for next year. Candidates should bring advanced data skills and enjoy writing. Read more about our work at https://t.co/vxIQPLsGdQ and apply through Interfolio by February 15, 2026:
polarizationresearchlab.org
Research on the origins, effects, limits and solutions to polarization
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🚨 Talking To Machines ( https://t.co/FalUPdVFQh) seminar is back! 📅 Nuffield College Thu 21 Aug, 5PM UK 🎙️ Dr. Adam Breuer presents his forthcoming Nature: Scientific Data project on AI + US presidential campaign ads (1952–2012). Join us hybrid 👉 Zoom:
us06web.zoom.us
Zoom is the leader in modern enterprise cloud communications.
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You don’t have to wait a month to submit and our median time to first decision is 27 days!
📢 No summer break here! The journal is open in August ☀️ ✅ We are accepting submissions throughout the month. This is a great time to send us your manuscript ✍️📚 https://t.co/CeQojWhyLZ
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Excited to share that @AnthropicAI has launched its Economic Futures Program! As a member of their Economic Advisory Council, I’m thrilled about this initiative supporting research and policy development on AI’s economic impacts. Research grants up to $50K available!
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We’ve just finished our marathon 10 hour LLM workshop! Fantastic papers and excellent discusssants + very engaged participants- thanks!
🎥 Watch @RayDuch’s invitation to the LLM Workshop at #EPSA2025! A deep dive into how AI is reshaping social science research. 📅 June 25 | 📍 Foyer, Auditorium 👥 With Livia Schubiger 🔗 https://t.co/8MejteShrA 🔗 https://t.co/MrSO424xUZ
#LLMs #AI #PoliticalScience
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We are thrilled to announce that the Board of Trustees have awarded Assistant Professors Carly Wayne (@CarlyNWayne) and Ted Enamorado (@TedEnamorado) tenure! Their award goes into effect July 1st. Congrats to both! Read more on our site: https://t.co/GfraeLrbxP
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Our latest election forecasting article focuses on political economy models in the US, UK, Mexico and Ghana. Check it out! https://t.co/stvJzGDPOl
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This #IMEBESS2025 pre-conference event is awesome opportunity to showcase your #LLM coding skills! Please check it out. @EnriqueFatas @JordiBrandts @Slysts
Sign up for #IMEBESS2025 Synthetic Replication Games, 1-day in-person LLM replication competition on 21 May 2025 Valencia organized by @Talk2Machine . Results presented @ #IMEBESS2025 (22/24 May 2025) @UEValencia @RayDuch @europsa Sign up here by 2 May: https://t.co/uXwZBJ6bYG
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🚀Do external threats unite or divide Americans? ➡️Using real-world primes, @EddySFYeung & W.Xu find no evidence that threats from China shifted U.S. foreign policy preferences or worsened Democrats’ and Republicans’ affect toward each other https://t.co/9bulfgXnrc
#FirstView
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Do you have new, exciting work on #PoliticalEconomy? Submit to the Pol Econ workshop at the #SummerForumBSE (coorganized w/ @renikolopov, @RDurante_2020, M Petrova, G Ponzetto, and M Reynal-Querol!)
📄 Call for papers: BSE Summer Forum 2025 (40+ workshops this year!) ⏰ Submission deadline: Feb 28 Visit the #SummerForumBSE webpage to download calls and submit your paper ➡️ https://t.co/kGSM6D0hkg
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Application Deadline approaching for LLM Pre-Conference Workshop @ #EPSA2025 Madrid 25 June 2025 Please apply w/t abstract by 28 February 2025 using this https://t.co/LJNGolZZrN
@liviaisabella13 @europsa @Talk2Machine
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Just published on APSR First View: "Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia" by Erica DeBruin (@esdebruin), Gabriella Levy (@levy_gabriella), Livia Schubiger (@liviaisabella13) & Michael Weintraub (@miweintraub83). https://t.co/44ZpIea7tU
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How do you know when a mechanism is externally valid? In“Sign-Congruence, External Validity, and Replication," @tara_slough and @scottatyson develop a framework for accumulating evidence across multiple studies and develop theoretical foundations for replication.
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Deadline is tomorrow Feb 15th to submit papers to #IMEBESS2025 22-24 May 2025 in beautiful Valencia, Spain @UEValencia. Attention experimental and behavioral social scientists please submit paper proposals to https://t.co/tcBiHT2Bkb.
@europsa @EnriqueFatas
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Eager to hear feedback from anyone who applies causal inference about this recent work with this amazing group of people @pdebartols @JavierAbadM
@Guanbo17 @DonhauserKonst @RayDuch and Issa Dahabreh.
Looking for a more efficient way to estimate treatment effects in your randomized experiment? We introduce H-AIPW: a novel estimator that combines predictions from multiple foundation models with real experimental data. https://t.co/qztOv53sAy
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