RANE
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RANE is a risk intelligence company that provides access to critical insights, analysis, and support on cyber, geopolitical, compliance and other threats
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Rio Grande do Sul
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NO RDM COM CAIO E LUAN
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A Pro-Secession Majority in Catalonia Signals Uncertainty for Spain:
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2018 is almost here, and if our 2018 Annual Forecast is any indication, it will be a busy year. Become a Stratfor member today and gain instant access to our forecasts, long- and short-form analyses on world events, and so much more.
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The most likely perpetrator of the Nov. 24 Sinai mosque attack is the Islamic State's Wilayat Sinai (Sinai Province) group. The core Islamic State organization and its franchises have a long history of attacking mosques.
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The Catalan parliament appointed a pro-independence regional president on May 14. In the coming months, political tensions in
#Catalonia
won't return to the levels seen in 2017. But the issue of Catalan secessionism won't be settled either.
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What does
#NorthKorea
and others in the region gain from the
#SingaporeSummit
? Stratfor's Rodger Baker discusses with
@BillOReilly
.
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Stratfor Chart: Major Oil Exporters' Fiscal Constraints
http://t.co/1UVDM6XIOn
http://t.co/3WuTzINk7v
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Financial markets, companies are starting to worry about economic consequences if
#Catalonia
declares independence.
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U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley said the U.S. was ready to use force if need be to stop
#NorthKorea
. What it would use.
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Russia and the West Collide:
Since its emergence as an organized state, Russia has collided with the West. Russia's desire for influence is as old as the Russian state itself.
Let Stratfor inform your view of the world:
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The most likely target set for a U.S. proportional strike includes the assets or bases that
#Iran
has used to conduct their recent aggressive operations, including attacks around the
#StraitOfHormuz
.
14
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121
Kunlun Bank, a subsidiary of the state-owned China National Petroleum Corporation (
#CNPC
), has reportedly been assisting
#Iran
in exporting crude oil to
#China
in violation of U.S. sanctions,
@FinancialTimes
reported Aug. 4.
6
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105
If the
#UnitedStates
is supporting the
#Congo
’s new president in the hopes he will overhaul his country’s politics and economy, then it might be in for a letdown.
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@simongerman600
Thanks for sharing our graphic! If you're interested, we recently updated it, which you can find in our article: How Many Countries Are There in the World in 2018?
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Iraq's Kurds are moving closer to an independence referendum, but there are still many hurdles to come.
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Our analysts leverage Stratfor's core geopolitical methodology to build sober and reliable intelligence-based assessments and forecasts on key trends to help members make informed decisions, identify opportunities and anticipate risks.
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"Locked and Loaded"
Subscribe today to receive the 'North Korean Nuclear Challenge' report free + a $200 gift card:
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The likely results of votes in the coming days reduce the probability of a no-deal
#Brexit
on March 29. There's a significant chance that the Commons will either approve May's deal (leading to an orderly Brexit) or vote to delay Brexit by the end of March.
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The Nature of
#China
's Military Push Along the
#Indian
Border. - From
@SimTack
and
@detresfa_
#IndiaChinaFaceoff
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Among the Turkish president's ideas to bolster the lira is a concept that could lead to a new global reserve.
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Catalonia's push for independence entered a new phase Oct 14. Learn the details.
http://t.co/9B5MupgPg1
http://t.co/ed5IYRLcmw
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#Turkey
's expansion of energy exploration in the
#Mediterranean
is prompting
#Greece
to cautiously exercise its international maritime rights in order to protect its own claims to offshore economic resources in the region.
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Rosneft's expansion in Iraqi Kurdistan will help it compete with Gazprom and give Arbil more leverage in the region.
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In this episode of Stratfor's Pen and Sword
#podcast
, Stratfor Chief Security Officer
@fred_burton
sits down with
@robert_spalding
, about his new
#book
,
#StealthWar
: How China Took Over While America's Elite Slept.
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Any military assault on
#Iran
would be likely to trigger a regional war causing disruptions throughout the Middle East, threatening
#shipping
routes through the Red Sea and Persian Gulf and affecting global
#oil
markets. From Stratfor
#ThreatLens
.
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Stratfor brings global events into valuable perspective, empowering businesses, governments & individuals. More at:
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#Russia
's defining characteristic is its indefensibility. Russian
#history
is a chronicle of the agony of surviving invasion after invasion. Learn more about the country's
#geopolitics
here:
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Imagine mapping the ebb and flow of global power all the way back to 2000 B.C. in one coherent timeline. Our partners
@VisualCap
present the Histomap.
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For centuries, inland
#rivers
were the lifelines of nations and empires. Cutting from the top of Minnesota to the Gulf Coast of Louisiana, the
#Mississippi
River is (literally) central to the
#UnitedStates
and its enduring influence in the world.
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BREAKING: North Korea launches missile; it appears to have landed in Japan's exclusive economic zone.
@Reuters
Details to follow.
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The
#American
#geography
is an impressive one. The American
#Midwest
is the world's largest contiguous piece of farmland. The U.S. Atlantic Coast possesses more major ports than the rest of the Western Hemisphere combined.
#July4th
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Winston
#Churchill
famously described
#Russia
’s actions in WWII as "a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma." That seems relevant today-especially regarding
#Moscow
’s aggression in
#Ukraine
. Read about the trillion-dollar question the West faces:
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More on the Kurds and why they will continue to be targets for foreign powers.
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#Iran
will absolutely seek to retaliate against the United States — the only question is at what level, what scale and when.
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The failed
#TurkishCoup
will weaken the military amid mounting regional threats. READ MORE:
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Reports from
@Reuter
of a potential coup in the works against Zimbabwe's long-time President Robert Mugabe. Armored personnel carriers seen rolling toward Harare and unconfirmed statements that Mugabe has been given 24 hours to resign.
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The saying goes that most countries have an army, but Pakistan's army has a country.
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The feud between Qatar and its neighbors isn't new, but the level of escalation displayed today is unprecedented.
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Rosneft's proposed pipeline could transform Iraqi Kurdistan's energy exports and alter regional relations.
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#Ukraine
's
#Zaporizhzhya
nuclear power plant was reconnected to the Ukrainian grid, but all reactors are shut off. The plant had to resort to backup power for the first time, thinning its defenses against a
#meltdown
. What happens next?
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Gunmen staged another high-profile attack on a cafe popular with foreigners in
#BurkinaFaso
.
#ThreatLens
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Stratfor Graphic: Pakistan's Military Manages Feuding Civilian Leaders. More:
http://t.co/ygyW6gaD9J
http://t.co/6r500xvDts
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Thousands of
#protesters
took to the streets in
#HongKong
to rally against the
#Chinese
government's plans to impose a new national security law that would allow mainland agencies to operate more freely within the city,
@CNN
reported May 24.
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One thing is for sure after the
#FalconHeavy
launch: SpaceX is nowhere near done making its mark on the space industry.
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More: A look at the progress of
#China
's aircraft carrier program through satellite imagery.
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"Philippine President Rodrigo
#Duterte
has been warning the United States that the
#Philippines
would exit the Visiting Forces Agreement (
#VFA
), a major bilateral defense pact, and now he has formally triggered that process."
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The fall of
#Aleppo
will be a decisive moment. It is, in fact, the beginning of the end of the Syrian civil war.
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Turkey may shut off US access to Incirlik air base. Ankara says US not supporting Turkish goals in Syria.
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"It's our job to make sense of that information for you. Everything from the latest
#Trump
tweet to the latest economic data out of
#China
." --
@RevaGoujon
explaining new features of
#StratforEnterprise
.
Find out more here:
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The city of Sao Paulo declared a state of emergency on May 25 as truckers protesting rising fuel prices continued to block major highways in Brazil for a fifth day,
@Reuters
reported.
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This map shows why
#Syria
's civil war won't end in 2017. (Hint: The loyalists are pulled in too many directions.)
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During this period of global uncertainty, we are helping you keep up to date with RANE's Daily
#Coronavirus
Digest which is FREE with your subscription to Stratfor Worldview. This is a daily consolidated source of aggregate information produced by RANE.
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The U.S. government is considering blocking foreign companies and individuals from conducting business with Venezuela's state-owned energy firm Petroleos de Venezuela (
#PDVSA
).
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Brexit helps Moscow. The more divided Europe is, the more negotiating power Russia has.
9
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Trump's Commitment in Afghanistan and Beyond.
Subscribe today and receive a $200 gift card to the Stratfor store:
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Stratfor Vice President of Global Analysis
@RevaGoujon
highlights some key geopolitical trends for the coming year. And for a full look at what to expect in 2018, check out Stratfor's Annual Forecast.
5
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North Korea appears to have resumed activity at Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site,
@38NorthNK
satellite imagery shows.
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In announcing the
#cyberattack
in retaliation for
#Iran
's attack on a U.S. drone, the
#UnitedStates
has announced to the rest of the world that it will make full use of its
#cyberspace
capabilities and will carry out offensive operations if need be.
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2016 is shaping up to be an unsettling year for much of the world.
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Pakistani Prime Minister
#ImranKhan
's problem is how to avoid war while defending the people of
#Kashmir
, who are overwhelmingly
#Muslim
in
#India
's only Muslim-majority state. Contributor
@CharlesMGlass
explains.
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People are borrowing record amounts of
#money
. How we will view money — and how that perception will evolves — is one of 8 major forces shaping the future of the global
#economy
according to our partners
@VisualCap
.
1
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Geographically speaking,
#Russia
is operating from an inherently weak position. Its dilemma: It must expand to survive, but that expansion is unsustainable and has led to its collapse. More on its historical boom-and-bust cycle. From 2016.
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Aligning with Greece and Cyprus, as well as with Israel and Italy, better positions
#Egypt
to challenge chief rival
#Turkey
in any disputes over future
#oil
and natural gas discoveries in the eastern
#Mediterranean
.
@emmleeclaire
explains.
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For every U.S.
#tech
giant, there's an equivalent Chinese firm quietly posting explosive growth numbers and gaining on their competitors on the other side of the world. Our partners
@VisualCap
explain.
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#SaudiArabia
has frozen a deal between
#Egypt
and
#Germany
for four MEKO A200 corvettes that was signed in September 2018. The contract, worth $2 billion, was in large part financed by Saudi Arabia.
@LaTribune
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For
#Poland
, the prospect of warm energy ties through the
#NordStream2
pipeline between two of its historical foes,
#Germany
and
#Russia
, has obliged it to approach a massive outside power: the United States.
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Histomap: Visualizing the 4,000 year history of global power. Presented by our partners
@VisualCap
.
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Specifically,
#Putin
presented
#Russia
's new group of weapons that includes
#hypersonic
glide vehicles, hypersonic missiles and a nuclear-powered cruise missile, which he says has a practically unlimited range. Why there's hype around this weaponry.
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VIDEO Understand the enduring geopolitics of consolidating power in Turkey:
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An
#S400
could be a formidable threat to a limited enemy incursion, but even a full battalion only has around 8 missile launchers. If acting in isolation, it's not likely to withstand a determined onslaught. This is especially true in the
#MiddleEast
.
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Attempts by the Democratic Republic of the
#Congo
's new administration to fulfill its 2018 campaign promise and crack down on graft and
#corruption
would elicit countermeasures from the old regime.
8
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The
#IslamicState
may be down in
#Syria
, but it is not out, as evidenced by the damage its operatives, disguised as Russian soldiers, did to a loyalist air base.
5
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Proxy battles across the Middle East will intensify in
#2018
as the US,
#SaudiArabia
&
#Israel
close ranks against
#Iran
. Learn what geopolitical risks are ahead in Stratfor's ANNUAL FORECAST:
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