PJ
@Prithvir12
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Co-Founder @factcheckdotfun. Interested in Prediction Markets. @alliancedao, @zfellows, @DukeU
New York City
Joined June 2019
Introducing the World's First Fact-Checking Marketplace. Disinformation spreads like wildfire. @factcheckdotfun will fight fake news with financial incentives and AI. We're building on @base to change how facts will be verified forever.
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RT @factcheck1ntern: Trend I've observed lately in Prediction Markets:. There's mainly 2 types of players building right now. a) Tooling/Wr….
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RT @factcheckdotfun: The only thing 'limit'ing you from being a pro trader is discipline and the perfect tool . Choose factCheck https://t.….
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polls were just an interim, post-bretton woods, gold-standard, pre-bitcoin blip. market-based forecasting approaches are lindy.
prediction markets supercycle started in the 1500s. people have been betting on the future for 500+ years (elections, sports, wars, anything you can imagine). now it's becoming what it was always meant to be - a core asset in financial markets open to everyone
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how do you maximize your influence?. 1. find the right audience -- gain a following of chronically online American coastal elites .2. tell them the right things -- posture yourself as a provider of reliable world-models. read more in my introductory piece. link below
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RT @factcheck1ntern: Polymarket has done almost 4x more volumes on active markets vs Kalshi. But Kalshi has more Open Interest vs Polymarke….
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the first shoe to drop this century will be keynesianism. “descriptively useful, but materially false”. “progress can often flourish under false world models. the fact that progress has emerged from secular materialism is not, by itself, proof of its absolute truth”.
pre modern cultures that thought the sun circled earth and rain gods made rain still built aqueducts, invented geometry, even built steam engines. progress can often flourish under false world models. so progress from secular materialism isn’t proof alone of its absolute truth.
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RT @Prithvir12: group chats used to argue about movies. now they’re plotting how to raise $600m to float a publicly traded digital asset t….
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group chats used to argue about movies. now they’re plotting how to raise $600m to float a publicly traded digital asset treasury to acquire niche internet magic money. everyday we stray further from the love of god.
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RT @factcheck1ntern: The Prediction Market Liquidity Issue. Problem:. There are about 9,827 active markets on Polymarket. But only $314 of….
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RT @PixOnChain: probably the best prediction markets advice out there:. more trades = less profit. very few accounts win across hundreds of….
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RT @Prithvir12: we’re in the pre-industrialization phase of prediction markets. the roi-to-risk setup here is unlike anything since the ea….
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we’re in the pre-industrialization phase of prediction markets. the roi-to-risk setup here is unlike anything since the early days of pump fun: raw, chaotic, and profitable before the machines arrived. you have 6 months to escape the permanent underclass.
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Men yearned for martial glory. now they just want to algosurf the zeitgeist.
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RT @Prithvir12: Prediction market use cases by @TomJrSr . 1. Agriculture producers: rainfall, drought, temperature, frost dates.2. Utility….
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Prediction market use cases by @TomJrSr . 1. Agriculture producers: rainfall, drought, temperature, frost dates.2. Utility companies: average monthly temperature.3. Theme parks: seasonal weather affecting attendance.4. Airlines: hurricane frequency, snowstorms.5. Hotels: Natural.
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the year is 2030. we no longer ask experts what will happen. an autonomous global oracle streams the probability of every event in real time. it runs on millions of people wagering their money, and an agi-god calibrating the odds. the liturgy is markets. the fuel is energy.
There is no objective truth - just probabilities. > Study Heisenberg's uncertainty principle.> Study prediction markets
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