PJ
@Prithvir12
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10K
Following
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CEO @TradeFoxAI, @alliance, @zfellows, @DukeU | Prediction Markets
London
Joined June 2019
If this Karpathy interview doesn't pop the ai bubble, nothing will. 10 brutal quotes: 1. LLMs don’t work yet They don’t have enough intelligence, they’re not multimodal enough, they can’t use computers, and they don’t remember what you tell them. They’re cognitively lacking.
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Prediction Market M&A Arbitrage Multi billion dollar hedge funds like Farallon Capital (Tom Steyer) have historically generated significant returns using merger arbitrage. - In a traditional M&A arb, funds go long the acquisition target and, in stock-for-stock deals, hedge by
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Prediction Market M&A Arbitrage Multi billion dollar hedge funds like Farallon Capital (Tom Steyer) have historically generated significant returns using merger arbitrage. - In a traditional M&A arb, funds go long the acquisition target and, in stock-for-stock deals, hedge by
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polymarket trader with an all-time -$2M PnL why is it this bad? let me explain i spent 5 hours going through his profile - and it’s genuinely terrible /// he’s not just a trader - he’s someone who forgot the core rule: discipline protects capital his biggest mistake?
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This bot dominates nearly 99% of Polymarket traders it literally lives at BTC, ETH and XRP 15m markets. A little bit about how it trades: > waiting for moment when the price of BTC/other makes sharp jump > instantly buys up shares before the MM updates the price this happens
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🎁 This holiday season we’re celebrating the gift of travel memories — and giving away a $10,000 Wander trip to our favorite submission. To enter, simply reply to or quote this post with your favorite travel memory (Wander or not). We’ll share favorites and select one winner!
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A human wallet just added $20K in two days by pressing the same BTC mispricing model on @Polymarket but with wider timing windows. He stays inside Bitcoin Up or Down only and waits for prolonged imbalance, not fast ticks. When one side stretches and the board lags he builds the
A human wallet is running bot style BTC mispricing on @Polymarket and doing it on longer time windows. This trader works only Bitcoin Up or Down brackets, waits for one side to stretch too far, then builds the second leg while the book lags and exits on compression. He cannot
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Another BTC up/down arbitrage bot on Polymarket just one strategy led this trading bot to consistently profitable predictions. Clear example how it trades: > finds a 15m crypto market with high liquidity > places limit orders to buy “Yes” at $0.48 and “No” at $0.48. > waits
This intra-arbitrage bot made over $200k on Polymarket without risk it always uses the same strategy with which he cannot lose and trade only on the Bitcoin Up/Down (15 min) market. simple explanation of his strategy: on any market, price of 'Yes' and 'No' shares should be
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Made $150 today almost risk-free on my $2,000 to Mercedes CLA challenge account on @Polymarket . Why I say it was almost risk-free? Karoline Leavitt in her press briefing had already mentioned Russia and ICE and I bet on those minutes after they had hit. Then you may ask, how
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Trumps “Gold Card” program has officially launched the idea was first announced in sept 2025, but until yesterday it wasnt clear whether the administration would even manage to roll it out this year but now anyone can get a fast track to US citizenship and other perks for a $1m
BREAKING: Trump "Gold Card" officially launches, offering U.S. residency for $1 million.
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Seattle City Council ratifies the SPOG contract. Moderates 1 - Socialists 0. Public Safety for the win!
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The cover of Time's Person of the Year is really corny, but also made me a little over $200k! I made three "big" predictions: (1) the new Pope would not win; he's not important enough yet, (2) AI was the very heavy favorite, BUT it would probably be a group of people involved in
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Yesterday three "Time 2025 Person" markets were finally resolved $58M got paid out to traders/insiders who picked the right bets One of them Frosenn, he bought bet at 4c and turned $4k into ~$100k Here are all the results and how you could’ve earned on them: Time 2025 Person
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As prediction markets institutionalize, they'll shift from forecasting outputs to powering portfolio inputs I.e: When temperature markets move to imply a hotter, drier summer -> your portfolio will auto-tilt its energy exposure and simultaneously hedge power price risk in
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New arrival... 1997 Rolex GMT Master "Pepsi" 16700 full collector set. Amazing condition. Incredibly even pink color on the bezel insert. Fresh service. Only $12,500 on my site. DM or call for availability.
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Polymarket 上扫尾盘最激进的方式 ⬇️ @tradefoxai 1️⃣ 设置 80% - 90% 概率 2️⃣ 24小时内结束 3️⃣ 直接“全买一遍”分摊风险。 单搞一个会出现黑天鹅， 成分10份， 10个同时黑天鹅， 不太可能。 神器 🔧 🤔 📱 立即体验： https://t.co/yT0rMSujVh 实测： $20 -> $40 （一周）
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Hiring, dms open
Hiring a Staff Backend Engineer at @tradefoxai • Above-market pay + equity • Long hours, hard technical problems • Stack: Node.js, Python, MongoDB DM if you’ve built low-latency, high-throughput trading systems
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Hiring a Staff Backend Engineer at @tradefoxai • Above-market pay + equity • Long hours, hard technical problems • Stack: Node.js, Python, MongoDB DM if you’ve built low-latency, high-throughput trading systems
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Hiring a Staff Backend Engineer at @tradefoxai • Above-market pay + equity • Long hours, hard technical problems • Stack: Node.js, Python, MongoDB DM if you’ve built low-latency, high-throughput trading systems
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