Political Capital
@Pol_Cap
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Policy Research & Consulting Institute focusing on populism, extremism and disinformation. Dedicated to promoting democratic values and transatlantic relations.
Budapest
Joined December 2009
Are you in Chișinău, Moldova, on November 7 and 8? If so, check out the #UnveiltheTruth conference and look for the panel on #informationalautocracy featuring our director, @peterkreko.
#UnveiltheTruth: experts will examine the concept of #informationalautocracy and the strategies illiberal regimes use to control narratives at home and abroad. 🗓️Nov 08, 2025, 10:00 – 11:00 📍Radisson Blu Leogrand Hotel, Chișinău, Moldova 🔗 https://t.co/0p1Xaq7bAK
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Despite mounting pressure, the Hungarian government seems determined to continue buying energy from Russia, our analyst, Richárd Demény, told the @KyivIndependent before the Nov. 7 meeting between PM Orbán and President Trump in Washington.
kyivindependent.com
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, entrenched in a long-standing brawl with Brussels and Kyiv, found an unexpected obstacle — U.S. President Donald Trump's U-turns. Trump's expected Budapest...
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Links to our analyses: On the so-called "transparency law": https://t.co/5y6AunVoHB On Budapest Pride ex ante: https://t.co/Zq8y8jO4xz On Budapest Pride ex post:
politicalcapital.hu
Analysis
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Direkt36's sources revealed that in early 2025, the government sought out "ideologically divisive" issues to "annoy liberal voters" and draw Magyar into culture wars. Two of the three topics chosen were the Pride ban and attacks on NGOs and the media.
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According to our earlier analyses, Fidesz's key goal with with the so-called “transparency law” and Pride ban was to trap Peter Magyar, forcing him to take a stance or alienating him from progressive voters. The plan backfired, resulting in two own goals for Fidesz.
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Don't miss @direkt36’s recent piece on #Hungary's #Fidesz party's internal crisis, triggered by opposition leader Péter Magyar. Direkt36's government-close sources confirmed the findings of our earlier analyses.
💥🇭🇺 For Hungary watchers: a detailed inside look at Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party's recent internal crisis — how they underestimated opposition leader Péter Magyar and how all the traps they set for him backfired. @direkt36 @AndrasSzab @andraspe
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A year after the Novi Sad railway station tragedy that claimed 16 lives, Serbia is still grappling with its aftermath. Together with Ferenc Németh, we analyzed the roots and dynamics of the ongoing protests — and their domestic and international impact.
politicalcapital.hu
Research paper
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Our director @peterkreko gave @POLITICOEurope a comment on Hungary's deliberate adherence to Russian oil and the unveiling of US sanctions.
"Orbán has done everything he could to avoid giving up Russian oil, but if fhe US and EU the sanctions go ahead, Hungary will have to start taking alternatives seriously.”- my comment to @POLITICOEurope
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A sobering and deeply thought-provoking conversation between Peter Boghossian and our director, @peterkreko. PB: “We have lost the basics of liberalism.” PK: “We are heading towards an era where people will not know more about politics and economics; they will know less.”
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We've been monitoring how @Meta and @Google have handled #politicalads since they stopped them a few weeks ago. We've identified some issues with their algorithms. This @Telexhu article discusses some of these issues.
telex.hu
For ads that are already running, Google relies on self-declaration. Even experts lack complete insight into what is happening on the company's advertising platforms, so there is no way to know how...
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Our director, @peterkreko was quoted in a @guardian article about Hungary’s upcoming election. “A bit of trickery and a lot of campaigning” could still shift the polls. "This is an open race, and Tisza’s lead is not unchangeable.” https://t.co/d0nIjTELbY
theguardian.com
Budapest marches by ruling Fidesz party and opposition Tisza will take place in a highly polarised political climate
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On 23 October, the anniversary of Hungary's 1956 Revolution, Péter Magyar clashed indirectly with Viktor Orbán for the 7th time. Read our short analysis of the Fidesz and TISZA demonstrations in Hungarian here or with a machine translation in English!
politicalcapital.hu
Elemzés
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Our director, @peterkreko, contributed to an @observer article about a section of the Hungarian media that Orbán's informational autocracy cannot control: YouTube.
A great and important article by @lilirutai on @observer on a segment of the media that Orbán's informational autocracy can't control- with a comment of mine! YouTube has become an independent lifeline for independent voices in an authoritarian media landscape. In Hungary,
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Both Fidesz and TISZA rally today in Budapest to show strength and project victory. Their real target is the 700–900 thousand undecided voters who'll back whoever looks likelier to win the election next spring. Our brief ex ante analysis in Hungarian:
politicalcapital.hu
Elemzés
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⸻ As I told @AP @jspikebudapest Orbán’s diplomacy isn’t just about prestige — it’s about repositioning Hungary as a hub for illiberal cooperation. A Trump–Putin meeting in Budapest would symbolize an alternative axis of power that seeks to weaken the international multilateral
apnews.com
Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has celebrated his country's role as the host for upcoming talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russia's Vladimir Putin.
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Politicians in the Visegrad countries, especially 🇸🇰 and 🇭🇺 are routinely attacking journalists, human rights activists, and civil society orgs through social media ads. Don't miss @ICJK_sk's latest analysis, featuring comments from our Csaba Molnár. https://t.co/oxLrKN8fe3
vsquare.org
Across the Visegrád countries, politicians have increasingly used paid social media ads to attack journalists, human rights activists, and civil society organizations.
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Our director @peterkreko participated in a discussion on how disinfo, pushed by foreign actors and amplified by domestic ones, fuels nationalism, polarizes media, and erodes trust in democracy in the US, DE, PL and HU. Thanks to the Jefferson Educational Society for organizing!
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You can read more about political ads slipping through Google's filters in our analysis here (in Hungarian).
politicalcapital.hu
Elemzés a Meta és a Google felületein futó politikai hirdetési költésekről
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