TraderMir 🐲
@OptionsMir
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$SPX $ES $SPY $QQQ OPTIONS DAY & SWING TRADER || TECHNICAL ANALYSIS || ORDER FLOW || DISCORD 🚫 INVESTMENT ADVICE
Seattle, WA
Joined June 2012
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Been a while since I posted this one.
$SPX 30K foot view.
I don't lose sleep over stonk investments. Ever. Sometimes on oversized trading positions but investments never.
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I could be dead wrong but seeing something on the tape for $NVDA next week.
If I'm right this is another opportunity for us to turn $5 to $40.
I've done a trade like this nearly every week in 2024 but this could be the last for February.
I'll give it for free without an…
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what I love the most about the stock market is there will always be a trade. a monster trade.
Before $NVDA it was $TSLA, and before Tesla, it was $AMZN. There was even a time it was gold!
once you find the "bubble" instrument(s) you beat them to death and milk every last dime…
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@BillAckman
@X
A lot of people have shown their true colors during this time. You likely have more to lose than gain tweeting this so all the more respect for you being a voice of reason ❤️
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Might buy some $X tomorrow for fun because the market really is that stupid sometimes
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@benshapiro
@JeremyMatt
The best part about this is we have your statement on public record forever. Ben felt emboldened & showed the world his true colors.
Ironically Hitler was very similar
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When we look at $QQQ it becomes more clear. Unless 50sma is saved by $MSFT $AAPL be ready for 2-3 days of heavy selling next week
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Ok i do have a bearish thesis / set-up on $SPX that's not what you might find on other feeds. I've drafted the tweet & cancelled posting about 10 times now.
Possibly the most douchebag move I've done on X but I need 100 ❤️ to see if the demand is worth sharing w/ non fam.
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@The_Real_Fly
Speech writer w/ too much stress and Adderall. She did catch the mistake though
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100♥️BEAR SIGNAL AS PROMISED:
Hey guys, this is inside baseball & maybe bad for business but need to give this heads up. After big market rallies every service, mine included, receives a ton of new member sign ups. It's natural. Who wants to keep missing out? What I can tell you…
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$NVDA conspiracy really starting to snowball now. Thing is no laws are being broken & companies do "financial engineering" all the time. I mean might as well go after every company doing share buybacks because that's ponzi 101
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Summary of why it's hard to short this market
1. $QQQ ⬆️ + $IWM ⬇️ = $ES ⬆️
2. $QQQ ⬇️ + $IWM ⬆️ = $ES ⬆️
3. FAANG ⬆️ = $ES ⬆️
4. $QQQ ⬆️ + $IWM ⬆️ = $ES 🚀
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Wherever $SPX is after first rate hike all you need to know is it's positive 12 months out every time.
+
Midterm election years see MONSTER returns AFTER a pullback of median 17%/average 16%
Ignore the noise. Let's make money
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Futures red. $SPX crash is imminent. Whatever you think it will only be worse. AI rug pull in motion. Debt ceiling won't be passed on first attempt. Nothing will be spared. Limit down days. Circuit breakers. There will be blood. $ES $QQQ
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She only wants me for my $SMCI face tats! I've come to terms with it though🤣
Enjoy your long weekend guys! I'll be back some time late next week! ❤️❤️
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Last thing, $QQQ $ES likely not done going lower for the year.
This is not real buying so rally can fall apart just as fast as it moves up.
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I'm telling you $SMCI is $TSLA 2020. I obsess over this chart. It's the only thing I care to trade. This is a rare opportunity
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$SPX correction next year is imminent but timing is everything.
The green line differs from the usual seasonality charts so worth noting that while 5% corrections are normal and healthy having a timing window can help you plan the dip.
Bookmark this & model into your plan
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Just want to be on the record that i too once said we're due for a correction. Therefore, I told ya so & nailed another call and made billions in the process.
LEGEND.
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BULL MARKET CHEAT CODE: 👇
What's great about bulls is stocks that are making 52wk highs tend to keep making 52wk highs.
So when one has a wide runway back up it's a gift for traders.
Strongest stocks won't give entries much deeper than 20sma: $ANET ( $AVGO might join )
If…
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Whatever you do don’t get FOMO. $NVDA can use a breather sure, but the run is not over.
Even if it is I’ll do it again with a different stock Remember $NFLX & $TSLA last year? $COIN?
I just need one
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Actually embarrassed to share my $SPX target for this run.
It's so stupid. It doesn't sound real. No one would ever take it seriously. But I've seen it happen so many times.
IDK if it's this year or next but the model is shooting for December. Maybe I'll share on a red day
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Wanna know why I'm even risking 💰 on $NVDA $SNOW etc here?
It's the type of setups that can turn optn's contracts from $1 to $5+
If it was 100-200% I'd prob pass since those are routine but these setups can make a lot using a little. For my risk reward system it's worth it
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$PANW
Double bottom 200sma ✅
Bullish RSI divergence ✅
Cyber & defense in focus ✅
Backed by Nancy & her heavies ✅
This is the one.
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So Uncle Warren buys $OXY & suddenly 55 level has defied gravity ever since .
Goes heavy on the Japanese houses and Nikkei breaks out of a 30yr base $EWJ.
Sells a wittle of his $AAPL position & it's suddenly the easiest short in the market.
These are not coincidences
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Huge week ahead:
$NVDA conference. Historically despite sell the news elements $NVDA conferences have netted gains post conferences. An important stat I think.
FOMC - this one includes the SEP which differentiates it from the others. in light of the recent CPI PPI prints SEP…
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Yesterday I was told my market direction last week is no different than could go up/could go down. This on the week I said $NVDA would dip on Tuesday, bears would celebrate, bulls would panic, but by Wednesday it would be green w/ a strong broad push into Friday.
You can't make…
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One of my goals is to try and break down a lot of these market dynamics in a way a child could understand.
Too many still over complicating things in an attempt to keep you dependant on their continued guidance.
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Oh my Lord. Checked in & it's like FinX Armageddon.
Bears loud as hell after 1 red day & somehow more obnoxious than 2021 bulls. They're actually trolling.
Bulls now require everyday to be up or they lose their shit. No ranges or correction allowed. Up only.
Sounds stable
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you ever look at a chart of $coin or even $hood and wish you got in before the base break out?
well here’s $SQ presenting that exact opportunity.
it used to run with
#bitcoin
so I’m surprised it’s lagging but I’m seeing more and more of these base break outs with $IWM being the…
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500 likes and I'll reveal it. Fair is fair fam. I always deliver.
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war always magically seems to appear when reelection looks rocky for the incumbent innit
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200 likes for the next $TSLA trade like the 250c that went $1 to $5 over night without all the weird
"needs to do this or that & 6 other scenarios for me to be right but no matter what I'll retweet the correct like I executed it that way"
Won't happen so off to the gym 😋 😝
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You guys remember those INSANELY bullish call options on $AMD 320?
Check out the measured move on this massive bull flag. 320/324 on the nose🤭
It doesn't seem realistic to me either BUT $INTC & $AMD = bloods and crips. We saw $INTC ER. What happens if $AMD won the turf battle?
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BOTTOM SIGNALS
(I'll keep adding. Feel free to share your data or thoughts)
$ES RSI (14) is worth a looksie.
It’s very simplistic but very effective in certain markets.
Now reaching NEAR the levels seen at the October bottom & many other lows prior to that.
Then we have the…
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By Friday some of you might despise me but I'm dropping tough love bombs all week.
If you can't consistently trade/manage using a single options contract why are you buying 10? In fact why are you buying 2?
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Respectfully some of the targets on miners I'm seeing are likely conservative. If you were involved in prior cycles you'll know what I'm saying.
Like $SMCI or $COIN $CVNA last year you keep managing the risk and rolling higher. These are products capable of reaching silly…
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Incredibly humbled by all these messages both public and private this weekend. Knowing someone was able to pay 2 kids' semesters of tuition AGAIN hits even harder than a big trade. We can say not financial advice but reality is ppl are using hard earned money to trade & it's a…
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Holy. This week looks really bullish at the moment. Anyone interested in predictions for each day this week on $SPX?
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Will this be the time $NVDA finally breaks the 8ema?
Tune in next week for the greatest show on earth!
Have a great weekend guys, singing off. But not really. More likely I'll be back
🥂❤️🥳
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With $ARM lockup exp approaching the common sense trade is puts. It makes sense & probably works but there's another potential trade.
I'm reminded of a rule instuitions use on stops. Wherever u feel a stop should go, 1st slap yourself, then make that lvl ur limit buy order
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That's all it took. 2 red days.
5 red days and this place will be the grumpiest place on earth
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$SPY couldn't hold 441 for 5min.
"No 441 let puke commence."
Would you like another trade plan like this for tomorrow?
100 ❤️ to give encouragement.
If it's less than 100 I'll DM those kind enough to support
Alright plan all set. Some ST wildcards 4 bears like certain mega caps reaching downside targets where I TYPICALLY see bounces + $SPY meeting weekly expected move which was our T1 < 444 from Sunday's Trade Plan.
$SPY > 441 could see 443/444 re-tested. No 441 let puke commence
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Historically this is the best week for $TSLA so we BTFD off the 8ema.
Mean reversion don't fail me now
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"RIDE YOUR WINNERS!"
We hear it all the time. The gains & position porn isn't a flex. Doing my best to show you what it looks like in practice in real time using real money & zero hindsight.
When we're done you'll understand how to make a lot with a little & it'll be your own…
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-All dips to the 20sma have been bought & it’s been expensive to fade that trend.
-Despite bearish seasonality ahead I see no short setup at the moment.
-As McClellan pointed out $SPX had a record # of consecutive NR7 days.
Came to an end w/ an expansion of price in direction…
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I absolutely hate posting stuff like this but I suppose it's necessary now.
Did I aim to hit 100K? No. There's no daily or weekly goals. The market doesn't care about my quotas.
I trade small & consistently sized until a fat pitch setup appears. Then I get in front of it.
Tha January challenge began with $2K like the first one we did last year that went to $20K in 2weeks.
When the January effect failed the $2K went to $1,400.
Then $NVDA breakout emerged which was a fat pitch. I drop absolutely everything for those. I was so adamant about it that…
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My long time followers know my track record.
For new followers I delivered
- $SMCI to 800 from sub 700 in a few days
- $NVDA 100% and going
- $MSTR 700
- $ARM 145 soon
all in a few days. Happy?
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These 13Fs are wild. All these guys said big crash coming while loading up on tech last quarter
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$SNOW set a very low bar on guidance for the new CEO.
Good one to remember when they report next quarter
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Called $SPX to make an ATH yesterday ✅ Yet looking around it appears so many are still in denial.
Unfortunately, just like every bull market, the majority will overthink what's taking place & miss life changing wealth.
5-10X gains every week in 2024 & the breakouts just started
$SPX 4810 attained ✅
Semis should push into end of day and make a new ATH
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It's over folks. Crash starts tomorrow .
Return lambos at your earliest convenience
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$IWM base breakout measured move over 202 = 241.
Takes us back to the ATH next year.
Currently: 201.50
Tactical question is how would you express / execute this trade in 2024 using options?
Barring any left tails of course
No right or wrong answers here. Fascinated by…
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Ok but tomorrow for sure:
$SPX crash is imminent. Whatever you think it will only be worse. AI rug pull in motion. Government shutdown. Nothing will be spared. Limit down days. Circuit breakers. There will be blood. $ES $QQQ
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$ARM another failed break out.
Done with it. Reminds me of $TSLA.
A+ setups with zero follow through or 1 hit wonder moves that crap out after 1 pop.
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Here's a cheat code you may like for FOMC. Nothing ever full proof but just some observations I've made along the way.
If you see gold & or
#Bitcoin
rallying tomorrow = sniffing out rate cuts or a doveish stance
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I bought this house trading $SMCI $NVDA & $AMD. New account challenge starts tomorrow.
😂. Seriously though maybe next week. I'll keep you posted. I've been waiting since forever to get a correction so we're not starting from poor trade location
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I know folks like to pretend they can see the stock market future but they're full of shit. Ignore them. Only Nancy has that power. $ARM did what I said but could easily have gone the other way. All we have is setups & risk to reward. I see millions in premium evaporate on ER…
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Order of importance next week:
QRA > FOMC > earnings 📝
I'll be giving my assessment on it in real time.
Downplayed it in October. Big mistake. Was ready for the next one & we absolutely banked. Always important to assess errors or they're destined to repeat :)
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Kinda weird seeing break outs like $NFLX following through in mid February. $META also getting close.
Now if $TSLA starts following through AND $IWM is over 200 there won't be a bear in sight for weeks.
$SPX 5050 tomorrow easy if PPI doesn't send $DXY over 105
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I'll keep saying it until I'm like a nagging parent. Keep the trading account bull flagging.
How? Let's say you're up 10. So now if you keep all 10 in play & the market tanks your balance would go back to flat or worse. Your equity curve would look like today's SPX candle. Not…
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This isn't even the parabolic phase of the
#Bitcoin
cycle.
If you feel fomo just stay tuned. You'll have another chance in about a month.
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New month around the corner after what felt like the longest January on record.
Assuming QRA is a non event green is how $SPX would normally track on average.
Dippie to end Jan, Uppies to start Feb, another dippie around the 7th, rip into mid Feb, Hades from there
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$NVDA continuation until ceases to make higher highs. Then chill.
$AVGO 1120 possible if take out 1100 this week
$SMCI 357 target. > 358 is like $NVDA 500 this week
$AMD 151 target. > 152 is like $NVDA 500 this week.
$MSFT 380 or higher into earnings
Valid if $DXY contained
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$ARM lock up period ends March 12th.
I don't trust this company so just know they can do an offering and rug tf out of us.
March is seasonally weak period in the market anyways so makes a good hedge candidate
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Hey
@Banana3Stocks
can you up your $NVDA target? These fuckers are keeping it at that 888 level now. 🤣
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Remember when $SMCI was easy for most everyone to own 100 shares to not only own but use for covered options strats?
Well not too many of those remain in the market. $SHOP was 45 not long ago but will likely be 100 soon. Don't forget to invest in some things here and there
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So far, and i'll update if there's changes BEFORE the cash open, $SPX
Monday- green
Tuesday- green (use caution into the close on swings)
Wednesday- red
Thursday or Friday- big green
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EPIC JANUARY
Started with $NVDA then $AMD then $SMCI then $AVGO then $ASML now $NFLX
Side trades in $PANW $DDOG $MSFT to name a few.
$ADBE $SNOW sloppy but capitalizing MASSIVELY on the winners.
If you prefer concentrating your capital in a few trades at a time vs. 20 balls…
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Historically this is one of the worst weeks of the year for $SPX.
Individual stonks may vary.
What should we short?
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The run up on $NVDA has been amazing but the ride down on profit taking should be just as fun 👿😊
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The rally that began mid June began w/ a setup in $AAPL not $ES or $QQQ.
Important to continue charting $AAPL as if it were the market.
The current $AAPL bear flag has a measured move to 157 which fills the open gap & checks back to its 50sma. Potentially significant area there
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Holy shit. Watch bonds. We get the full QRA run down on Wednesday but today's press release is not bearish.
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I'm convinced only ~20% of us on X truly care about making money in markets while the rest are obsessed w/ things that may or may not matter 3 months from now & often never end up mattering anyways 🤣
'but that guy shounds wrilly shmart!"
-never flossing mouth breather
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$NVDA 919 coming.
Through there is 955.
Not fading this. 985 coming soon from what I can tell
BTW doesn't have to play out. Those levels were present last week as well.
They're areas where price tends have a strong reaction rather than a magnet effect.
I'm leaning more towards 919 first if we open cash session > 883
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🚨🚨🚨
here’s a tidbit you may find amusing. $SPX normally doesn’t finish the selling on even days. It does it on odd number of down days. Friday was the 6th consecutive down day.
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Everyday I wake up and buy $NVDA 720 then look in the mirror and convince myself I really am this good. 😂
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In both 2000-2002 & 2008 bear markets $SPX broke the downtrend, traded & closed above the 200sma, THEN came the final plunge.
Keeping my guard up for trading. Dollar cost averaging investments
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If buy the dip sells the rip works again here's how to stay in the game going forward.
Did a small account challenge with < $3K in April. Posting this not to brag but to demonstrate some things. Read further below
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IMPORTANT! ⚠️
Look carefully at $SPX movements after the signal. It's up and away 6 months out. More importantly look at the dips that you get along the way. If we learned nothing else from last year it's that the dips can be long and depressing but the rips can be concentrated.…
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Thank you for 9K homies!
I feared my community would turn toxic if it got here but still nothing but classy individuals 'round these parts! ❤️🙏
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I bought this cottage from trading $AMD $AMZN $GOOGL $SNOW $AI this week. New account challenge starts tomorrow
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Why are the
@lord_fed
fans like
@dfddtrades
constantly jealous & attacking
@jam_croissant
? He makes VERY public calls few have the balls for.
Why can't you fucking weirdos just accept there's more than one person providing alpha out here?
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Me trying to get my discord fam in and out of $NVDA $AMD and any other calls b4 the market implodes.
No stress at all.
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What a ride $SMCI has been. Can literally say we sold the top after riding it from earnings today.
Even caught an accidental grand slam on the hedge 👀
$4 to $34: those other guys that keep quoting how much their call out is worth everytime it goes lower? They didn't hold
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Holy shhh.
Those $NVDA 17MAY 900C may actually go ITM.
C'mon Vaca or not the whole world's watching this thing 🤣🥳
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$SMCI really at 666 now. Exactly where $NVDA closed Friday. Huh.
Possibly another day of semis melting up then caution into Wednesday & Thursday.
10yr & 30yr auctions
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If I traded based on my intraday PnL I'm pretty sure I'd never make a dime.
I'd sell before any objective was met & sell winners on any temporary dip.
Go stand in the corner if you trade your PnL. 10min time out each time 😝
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I've never been a 'manipulation' guy but I just watched $SPY 0DTE traders bend the market to their will a few times now and with precision.
Also, $SPY overrides $SPX algos. Far more influence
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If $AMZN opens on a gap up wish me luck because I'm buying puts. Small small.
Fat ass rarely holds gains
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