
OSW – Centre for Eastern Studies, Poland
@OSW_eng
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Warsaw-based think-tank focused on Russia, Eastern Europe, Caucasus, China, Central Europe, Balkans, Germany https://t.co/BMsMgVUkqT
Warsaw
Joined December 2011
➡️Czech Republic 🇨🇿 without power: lessons from the blackout.🔵The blackout has prompted national media to reflect on various instances of infrastructure neglect. Such themes are likely to resonate throughout the election campaign. 🔵By @DebiecKrzysztof ⤵️.
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America First🇺🇸: US halts arms deliveries to Ukraine.➡️The most likely reason for the suspension of ammunition deliveries to Ukraine is the Pentagon’s ongoing review of stockpiles of selected weapon systems. By @aj_kohut @sienicki_kacper & Andrzej Wilk ⤵️.
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🔵 NATO summit in the Hague: Trump’s return and a two-component 5% of GDP on defence. 🔵 The summit declaration unequivocally reaffirmed Article 5, and identified Russia as a long-term threat to the Euro-Atlantic area. ➡️ More insight by @PiotrSzyman ⤵️.
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🔵 Another stage of the crisis between Baku and Moscow.🔵The actions taken by the 🇦🇿 side in response to the brutality of the 🇷🇺 security forces are consistent with Baku’s assertive policy of projecting the country as a ‘middle power’. 🔵By @Woj_Gorecki ⤵️.
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➡️ Germany 🇩🇪: post-election reckoning in the SPD.🔵 Although Lars Klingbeil ran unopposed, he received only 64.9% of the vote – the lowest result in the party’s history. 🔵 More insight by @KamilFrymark .
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Armenia: a power struggle between the throne and the altar, with Russia in the shadows. The alleged plot and subsequent arrests are part of an escalating internal power struggle ahead of the parliamentary elections scheduled for June 2026. By @Woj_Gorecki .
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The year of Péter Magyar: great expectations, great challenges. 🇭🇺Magyar has emerged from relative obscurity as a background figure in Fidesz to become the leader of the opposition and Viktor Orbán’s principal political rival. 🔵More from @IlonaGizinska⤵️.
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🔵Signs of rising tensions within the Russian elite. ➡️The rising costs of the war and the ongoing sanctions regime – alongside instability in energy markets – are exacerbating the problems faced by the Russian 🇷🇺 economy. ➡️More by @RudnikFilip ⤵️.
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🔵 New government in Romania: a grand coalition facing major challenges. 🇷🇴 The new administration will be required to enact a series of unpopular fiscal reforms. These are likely to cause tensions within the coalition. ➡️ @KamilCaus has more ⤵️.
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➡️Pashinyan’s 🇦🇲 historic visit to Turkey 🇹🇷 – a growing urgency for normalisation.🔵 The urgency with which the visit was arranged was strongly influenced by the dynamics of the conflict surrounding Iran. ➡️More insight by @Woj_Gorecki & @kwasylewsky ⤵️.
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➡️War deregulation of the EU🇪🇺: the Defence Readiness Omnibus package adopted to facilitate defence investments. ➡️The Defence Readiness Omnibus represents a significant step towards accelerating defence investments within the EU. By @ukasz_maslanka ⤵️.
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➡️ Russia’s 🇷🇺 response to the US 🇺🇸 strike on Iran 🇮🇷: normalising relations with the US remains a priority. ➡️ The US strike on Iranian nuclear facilities forced the Kremlin to adjust its rhetoric regarding the Iran crisis. 🔵 By @WRwicz ⤵️.
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🔵Iran 🇮🇷: a high price for surviving the 12-day war. ➡️The war, its military and political consequences, and the magnitude of destruction will serve as a catalyst for profound shifts and internal tensions in Iran. 🔵More insight by @k_strachota ⤵️ .
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🇸🇰Slovakia’s depopulation: balancing support for children and senior citizens. 🔵The most pessimistic forecast predicts that the population of nearly 5.5 million will shrink to under 5 million by the middle of the century. @DebiecKrzysztof explains⤵️.
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Russia continues to export uranium to the United States. Russia🇷🇺is compensating for the decline in uranium deliveries to the US🇺🇸by redirecting exports to the Chinese market, indicating a deliberate effort to reduce political risk. @RudnikFilip has more⤵️.
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The European Commission proposes that the EU permanently cease gas imports from Russia. 🇪🇺EC also aims to eliminate the possibility of🇷🇺instrumentalising supplies in peacetime, to ensure stable and predictable market conditions. @agata_loskot has more⤵️.
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