National Institute of Economic and Social Research
@NIESRorg
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All the latest from NIESR, Britain's longest established independent research institute. For our Review, follow @NIESRreview. Find us on BlueSky @niesrorg
London, UK
Joined October 2012
🚨Launching 'The #DirectorView' 🚨 📝A 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman on the most important economic issues 💥 The first one focuses on President #Trump's recent attacks on the independence of the #Fed 🇺🇸 👇👇 https://t.co/pEQ9NyU4Ws
niesr.ac.uk
How could the recent attacks by President Trump on the Fed affect public trust and monetary policy? What are the potential lessons for the Bank of England?
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⚡️OUT NOW⚡️A New Approach to UK Regional Policy🚆🏘️ In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, our Deputy Director @AdrianPabst1 explores how focusing on national missions and local delivery can help improve #LivingStandards across the country👇 https://t.co/VDpqev94pB
niesr.ac.uk
Fixing UK regional policy is one of the government’s core aims. This blog explores how national missions and local delivery can improve living standards.
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⚡️OUT NOW⚡️#Inflation to remain well above 3% into 2026 📈 Ahead of Wednesday's latest monthly #CPI figures, this blog by @Econdixon, Jane Binner, Barry Jones and Jon Tepper is well worth a read 👇👇👇 @cardiffbusiness @unibirmingham
https://t.co/1NrmeCcief
niesr.ac.uk
In Binner et al (2024) we developed a method for predicting the future path of CPI inflation over a 12- month period by combining the monthly drop-outs of the past inflation (often called base...
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⚡️OUT NOW⚡️A New Approach to UK Regional Policy🚆🏘️ In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, our Deputy Director @AdrianPabst1 explores how focusing on national missions and local delivery can help improve #LivingStandards across the country👇 https://t.co/VDpqev94pB
niesr.ac.uk
Fixing UK regional policy is one of the government’s core aims. This blog explores how national missions and local delivery can improve living standards.
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#WeekendReading 🔖 "Poland’s economy is one of the most striking examples of economic success in recent decades." So what drove the #Polish economic success? 🇵🇱 An analysis in our latest #Global Economic Outlook by @PIE_NET_PL's @MarcinKlucznik 👇👇 https://t.co/l5yd4Khn7f
niesr.ac.uk
Poland’s economy is one of the most striking examples of economic success in recent decades.
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#WeekendReading 🔖 'The #DirectorView' 🚨 📝This week 'Dean Trench' Memo from our Director David Aikman focused on next week's decision by the BoE’s MPC that will set the pace of quantitative tightening for the year ahead 💥 👇👇👇 https://t.co/lw0USFDV4C
niesr.ac.uk
What is QT? QT or Quantitative Tightening is the process by which central banks like the Bank of England unwind the extraordinary amount of money they injected into the economy in recent years to...
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What to do this #weekend? 📝Sign up to our next event, on the 🇬🇧 dependence on the 🇺🇸 financial system, coming 🆙 very 🔜, Tuesday at 6pm ⏰ Expert panel with Stephen Cecchetti, Sir Jon Cunliffe, and the author Natasha de Terán, chaired by @MehreenKhn⬇️ https://t.co/of4WGW58ju
niesr.ac.uk
The UK economy is deeply entwined with the US financial system. From VISA in retail payments, to the CME’s central role in global derivatives clearing, to the use of US Treasuries as the world’s safe...
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#WeekendReading 🔖 The £41.2bn deficit explained: what it means for the UK's #AutumnBudget 💼 In our latest #MondayInterview our @BenEcon33 unpacked the much spoken figure and outlined its implications 📈👇 @EconSteveM @RoyalEconSoc
https://t.co/KhNxeXFMOa
niesr.ac.uk
Much of the recent economic debate has focused on the forecast £41.2bn deficit in 2029-30. How was this figure arrived at, and what must the Chancellor do to address it?
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🚨The #DirectorView on 'What next for #QT'🚨 📝The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman is out now, and focuses on next week's decision by the BoE’s MPC that will set the pace of quantitative tightening for the year ahead 💥 👇👇👇 https://t.co/akAbmRIrpQ
niesr.ac.uk
What is QT? QT or Quantitative Tightening is the process by which central banks like the Bank of England unwind the extraordinary amount of money they injected into the economy in recent years to...
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⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ Our latest #GDP Tracker expect #UKGDP to grow by 0.4% in the third quarter 📈 ⬇️Read more here 📊⬇️ #UKeconomy
#gdpgrowth
https://t.co/U504vvjFVF
niesr.ac.uk
�� “Coming in slightly below our forecast, GDP showed no growth in July reflecting a stagnant month for services and a contraction in production. Economic activity in the third quarter… To access the...
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🚨The #DirectorView on 'What next for #QT'🚨 📝The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman is out now, and focuses on next week's decision by the BoE’s MPC that will set the pace of quantitative tightening for the year ahead 💥 👇👇👇 https://t.co/akAbmRIrpQ
niesr.ac.uk
What is QT? QT or Quantitative Tightening is the process by which central banks like the Bank of England unwind the extraordinary amount of money they injected into the economy in recent years to...
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⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ Our latest #GDP Tracker expect #UKGDP to grow by 0.4% in the third quarter 📈 ⬇️Read more here 📊⬇️ #UKeconomy
#gdpgrowth
https://t.co/U504vvjFVF
niesr.ac.uk
“Coming in slightly below our forecast, GDP showed no growth in July reflecting a stagnant month for services and a contraction in production. Economic activity in the third quarter… To access the...
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The upcoming #AutumnBudget will provide a crucial opportunity for the Govt to restore confidence, for example by committing to a larger fiscal buffer than before. In the meantime, the growth outlook remains subdued and fragile - see more here👇 5/5 ENDS https://t.co/7to6CW06uN
niesr.ac.uk
The UK economy enters the second half of 2025 still confronting weak growth and stubborninflationary pressures.
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Weak sentiments continue to pose downside risks to the forecast. Survey data points to continued uncertainty in August while high-frequency indicators suggest that momentum in construction and production have shown little momentum so far this quarter. 4/5
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We project 0.4 per cent #GDP growth for the third quarter, reflecting higher growth forecasts for August and September. Additionally, negative growth at the start of the second quarter will mechanically push up growth for the third quarter. 3/5
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The flat figure for July reflects a stagnant month for #services and a fall in #production. Weakness in #manufacturing drove the contraction in production while growth was broadly mediocre across services. 2/5
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#UKGDP showed zero growth in July, following the positive surprise of 0.4 per cent growth in June. Here's a short thread explaining today's figures 🧵👇 1/5
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now⚡️ #UKeconomy
@FergusJimenezE @BenEcon33
@RoyalEconSoc
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⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now⚡️ #UKeconomy
@FergusJimenezE @BenEcon33
@RoyalEconSoc
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🗓️New event coming 🔜 📌 Our Dependence on the US Financial System: Risks and Policy Implications 🇺🇸🇬🇧 Expert panel with Stephen Cecchetti, Sir Jon Cunliffe, and the author Natasha de Terán, chaired by @MehreenKhn 📝Sign up here 👇⏰ Tue 16 at 6pm 👇 https://t.co/0McLntSnk9
niesr.ac.uk
The UK economy is deeply entwined with the US financial system. From VISA in retail payments, to the CME’s central role in global derivatives clearing, to the use of US Treasuries as the world’s safe...
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Tomorrow the latest ONS monthly #GDP figures will be out 📊 In the meantime, you can check here what we said last month, and track the evolving path of UK economic growth with all our past analyses📈📉 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ #UKeconomy
#GDPgrowth
https://t.co/fOLpXXYjHz
niesr.ac.uk
Coming in slightly higher than last month’s forecast, monthly GDP rose by 0.4 per cent in June, following a contraction of 0.1 per cent in May.
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🗓️New event coming 🔜 📌 Our Dependence on the US Financial System: Risks and Policy Implications 🇺🇸🇬🇧 Expert panel with Stephen Cecchetti, Sir Jon Cunliffe, and the author Natasha de Terán, chaired by @MehreenKhn 📝Sign up here 👇⏰ Tue 16 at 6pm 👇 https://t.co/0McLntSnk9
niesr.ac.uk
The UK economy is deeply entwined with the US financial system. From VISA in retail payments, to the CME’s central role in global derivatives clearing, to the use of US Treasuries as the world’s safe...
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