Dr.R
@MichaelRan15
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A Believer, Builder and Investor in Generative AI. Co-Founder of GPTDAO @genaisummitsf and @fenzlabs
Palo Alto, CA
Joined July 2021
Betall: AI chrome extension to identify opps in all pred markets -Extract the zip file -Open Chrome and navigate to chrome://extensions/ -Enable "Developer mode" in the top right corner -Click "Load unpacked" and select the extracted folder https://t.co/58obpFZMb6
#BetAll is the world’s first prediction market aggregator browser extension, allowing you to stay in X and get informed and profit from your knowledge by betting on future events across various topics and markets. https://t.co/1U2o7Ni5vK
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你在 Polymarket 上判断「特朗普会不会连任」，花了半小时看新闻。 我的AI在 几秒内扫描了 200 个市场，自动下单套利。 12 月，Coinbase、Robinhood、DraftKings 同时入场，把预测市场推向主流。 分析师说这是万亿市场， 你觉得你还有机会？
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预测市场——兵家必争之地 来看一组融资数据 -Polymarket：22.7亿$ -Kalshi：15.1亿 -Limitless：1.7亿 -Opinion：500万 -Space：300万 预测市场是下一代具有金融属性的信息传播载体。 真金白银砸下去的时候，大家才会说真话。预测市场不是赌博， 它是去中心化的信息验证机，也是最高效的预言机
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Polymarket透露一个极其关键的信息, 本周将推出“5分钟市场”。 这不是简单增加一个新赌注。这是Polymarket从“预测平台”向“二元期权交易所”转型的关键一步。 以前我们赌的是“谁当总统”、“美联储下个月降不降息”，这种属于低频、长尾事件。现在搞“5分钟市场”，这意味着高频交易(HFT)成为可能 100bet/s!
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AGI safety research proposed by Google, Very crypto native: https://t.co/6DrQ4hO8g2
arxiv.org
AI safety and alignment research has predominantly been focused on methods for safeguarding individual AI systems, resting on the assumption of an eventual emergence of a monolithic Artificial...
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说白了，20个月内，只要BTC能再走出牛市行情，微策略就毫发无伤，但20个月里如果都是熊市，微策略就有可能要面临死亡螺旋... 微策略的钱其实就是通过高额股息换来的贷款，这些贷款被投资到BTC上，产生超额收益，大家都赚，产生不了超额收益，就要消耗储备资金，一旦消耗完了，大家一起GG... 生死局
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MSTR（微策略）生死局：当mNAV大于1时，循环融资不断扩大BTC持仓； 当mNAV小于1时，消耗储备资金支付优先股股息，只有当储备资金耗尽时，才有可能卖出BTC... 而当下mNAV小于1的情况下，这个机制就限制了BTC的上涨空间，同时还将一份65w枚BTC的潜在供应， 延期了20个月执行...
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周六的旧金山一场大停电，让Waymo系统突然失灵秒变「路障」。马斯克借机发文补刀：称特斯拉的Robotaxi「完全未受影响」。自动驾驶的「路线之争」从未如此残酷地展现在世人面前。
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布朗大学凶杀案的布朗大学流浪汉毕业于布朗大学流浪于布朗大学 #brownuniversitysuspect #BrownUniversity
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安全公司Quarkslab在Brink资助、OSTIF 协调下完成 Bitcoin Core 历史上首次公开第三方安全审计。重点检查P2P网络、mempool、链管理与共识等核心模块。审计结果未发现任何高危或中危漏洞，仅2个低风险项与13条改进建议。此次审计被视为 Bitcoin Core进入 成熟、安全治理时代 的关键里程碑 @aaronzhang
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Perplexity 悄悄泄露了一份42页的内部指南 揭示他们如何在工作中真正使用AI 这份文件可能���掀起轩然大波 🤯 https://t.co/XvunEQhvyk
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YC share = $700,000,000 on their Kalshi investment capt table after investing $150k six years ago lol @garrytan @ycombinator
Kalshi raised $1B at an $11B valuation. A decade ago, only a few thousand people knew what a prediction market was. Eighteen months ago, most prediction markets were banned - until we overcame the government to set them free. Over the past seven years, our community has opened
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BetAll LATEST NEWS: A Polymarket trader flipped $12 into nearly $30,000 by correctly predicting 11 straight short-term BTC moves. btw probability of winning 11 times in a row: (1/2)^11= 1/2048 (0.05%)
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104B paid in Oct for US dept
Shocking stat of the day: Interest costs on US debt are now equal to 24 cents of every $1 in government tax revenue. The interest expense as % of collected taxes has nearly DOUBLED over the last 4 years. This comes as interest expenditures reached $1.24 trillion over the last
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