Luke Eure
@LukeEure
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Following
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Statuses
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Immigration, Catholic, Progress Studies, Effective Altruism
Kenya
Joined December 2021
RT @evanjconrad: the fastest growing startup among everyone i know is lighthouse, @minney_cat’s startup. just zero to infinity in a year, w….
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Very interesting. Hadn’t realized Sarbanes Oxley pushed the incentive to later IPOs. Which means relatively more value in the private market and more power to private investors.
Then came Sarbanes‑Oxley (2002). Internal‑control attestation (§404) costs ≈$2‑3 M/yr for small issuers; sub‑$50 M IPOs collapsed 90 % between ’99 & ’04. 22/25.
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How much human experience took place. 🔹 In the last 25 yrs = 10 %.🔹 Since the Industrial Revolution (~1800) = ≈35 %.🔹 Before farming (~6000 BCE) = ≈10 %.🔹 Since the birth of Christ = ≈75 %.
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With an average population of roughly 600,000, it took nearly 300,000 years of prehistory to rack up the same 170 billion people-years that humanity has now accumulated in just the last 25 years.
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A single calendar year in 2025 “contains” more human life than a year in 100,000 BCE, simply because today’s population is thousands of times larger. The graphic divides history into ten equal “blocks” of experience: each block represents 170 billion people-years.
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US foreign born population share is the highest it has been in 100 years
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A Chinese taxi driver asked my wife if she was American. She answered that she was Chinese, but had lived in the US for 8 years. "Ah," he said. "I just thought that because you act like you have individuality and freedom.". Happy Fourth of July 🇺🇸.
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But the idea that the US and China are in a frantic winner-take-all race to dominate AI is not based in fact. It is in the interest of AI companies to push this narrative: "We can't let safety or regulation slow us down because China".
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My take: AI is an important technology, and should be treated as a legitimate security concern. Chip export controls seem to make sense.
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Interesting paper from CFI on the narrative of an "AI race" between the US and China .
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RT @minney_cat: every fourth of July, I think about my dad and what a dream come true it is that our family made it to America 🇺🇸. this is….
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The UN consistently over-estimates birth rates. Historically, as economies develop birth rates have fallen then bounced back or levelled off. This is the assumption the UN uses. But more recently, birth rates in countries around the world just keep falling.
An important essay by @MarcNovicoff in The Atlantic. The birth rate crisis is much worse than we think, because the UN numbers have been, and continue to be, far too rosy. Gift article linked below:
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The great triumph of modern science is that we’ve tricked many of our smartest young people that the best use of their time is sitting in a lab taking detailed measurements and doing precise calculations.
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Because the most fruitful method for understanding the world is not the most intuitive. Science is about restricting your questions to things that can be measured. Patiently collecting data. This is the approach that eventually gave us vaccines, airplanes, and the internet.
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Lately I’ve been trying to get into the headspace of ancient Greek philosophers. They had some funny notions about essence, and the relation of thought to reality. So why did the smartest thinkers in antiquity get things so wrong?.
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One of the benefits of the Renaissance was that it made thinking fun.
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