The Bitcoin 1+ Year HODL Wave, which shows the total amount of BTC that hasn't moved in at least 1 year, has just surpassed 70% for the first time EVER!
This is a historic moment that underscores the strength of the network's tokenomics. But what does this mean for BTC's price?
Following the Bitcoin Halving event, we've now seen The Puell Multiple reset to levels not seen since Feb 25th 2023, when the BTC price was only $23,000!
According to this metric, this is likely one of the best Risk:Reward opportunities to accumulate we'll get for a long time...
200WMA retest for BTC, historically accumulating around and below this level has provided outsized returns for patient investors...
Will the same be true this time for Bitcoin?
Short Term Holders for Bitcoin are break even at ~$59,000.
Historically a great level to accumulate during bull cycle dips is at, or just beneath this value...
Do we go that low on this pullback, and if we do are you loading up some discounted BTC? 👇👇👇
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🥧📈 Introducing the
#PiCycleTopIndicator
chart by Look Into Bitcoin! This innovative tool helps identify potential market tops in the
#Bitcoin
price cycle. View the chart here:
#BTC
#Crypto
We're currently seeing a lot of on-chain miner metrics indicating that we're potentially entering a transitionary period before some more sustained positive price action for Bitcoin!
In our latest YouTube miner update video, we discuss all this and more:
Today's video is one of of our most requested ever!
Looking at the impact of the 'Halving Event' on Bitcoin, as well as how price is likely to react in anticipation/reaction to the event.
This is definitely one you will not want to miss:
Coin denominated Bitcoin Funding Rates have now turned negative and are at their lowest level since March 13th 2023, over 13 months ago when price was at ~$24,000!
With a majority of leverage traders now shorting BTC, do we think a short squeeze is on the cards... 👀
@SplendidMite
Wow that's really interesting, the 111 day as a percentage of the 350 day has called pretty much the exact bottom every cycle within just a couple % each time!
I'm sure Pi Cycle creator
@PositiveCrypto
might find that pretty cool! 😉
🚨 BITCOIN EXTREME GREED ALERT 🚨
We're now seeing a level of extreme greed & value above 75 according to the BTC Fear & Greed Index, for the FIRST TIME SINCE BITCOIN'S ALL TIME HIGH AT $64,947!!!
Should this worry investors that a pullback is due, or is the ETF hype warranted?
Given Bitcoin's rapid price increase, we're beginning to see some signs that the market may be reaching overextended territory... 🔥😬🔥
So now we need to find out if BTC has become too hot too fast:
The Bitcoin Stock-To-Flow Model is predicting a Bitcoin 'fair-value' price of ~$198,000 by the end of 2024...
Is a price target that high optimistic, or a genuine possibility?
Let me know! 👇👇👇
Chart freely available here:
Making Bitcoin future price predictions is fun, but they're usually just random guesses!
But what if we could use real data to mathematically predict the next BTC all time high...📈
Let's see when and at what price the current data is pointing towards:👉
With less than 50 days to go til the Bitcoin halving event, we can expect some fireworks for BTC in the very near future!
But are the good times set to continue, or could we be in for a nasty shock... In this roundup we cover everything you need to know:
With Look Into Bitcoin's first collaborative effort, Matt is joined by the great
@BritishHodl
to discuss the current situation of BTC, as well as how the future of Crypto is likely to play out!
This is certainly one you're not going to want to miss:
With Bitcoin pulling back from a new all time high, investors are now wondering if we've already seen the highest peak we’ll see this cycle...
So let's look at the data to see if it's all over before it even really began:
Just because you didn't manage to buy all the Bitcoin you wanted at lower prices, doesn't mean you can't still stack discounted sats with GREAT Risk to Reward!🫣
Here Matt covers exactly how to buy the dips and BEST accumulate BTC during a Bull Cycle:
💸💸
Being profitable long term is tough, and being more profitable than buy & hold with considerably less drawdown is near impossible for most.
So for our latest video we decided to give you exactly that! A profitable crypto strategy that CRUSHES Buy & Hold:
The Crosby Ratio for Bitcoin on the 4h timeframe is now tantalisingly close to entering the 'BUY' area for the first time since Oct 13th, just prior to our upside move and when the BTC price was only $26.8k!👀
This is one of our baseline strategies in our investing experiment:👇
BTC has been right on the 'Fair Value' level according the the Bitcoin Cycle Master chart for a couple weeks now!
Question is do we now gravitate upwards towards the orange line, or back down to the blue line?
Chart freely and exclusively available here:
With the bull market in full swing, many investors are now looking at ways to try and time their Bitcoin profit taking to be as close to the cycle peak as possible!
With this new metric we can now make sure we're scaling out before it's too late:
🪙 🪙
Want to improve your
#Bitcoin
investing & analysis with unbiased and proven metrics?
Here we've collated all our explainer threads of charts you need to know to master
#BTC
:
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Bitcoin's adoption continues to grow, with 30D Average Active Addresses on the network continuing to make higher and higher lows!
This is very promising for BTC price appreciation as we're seeing a healthy and gradual growth of usage as opposed to rapid retail driven increases!
Every time Bitcoin has entered the red zone on The Crosby Ratio over the last few years, a pullback of AT LEAST -10% soon followed for BTC...
We're now seeing this metric signal overheated conditions once more! Are we likely to see the market cooldown in the near future? 👀
With so many investing philosophies, trading approaches, and opinions of self proclaimed market experts, it can be difficult to stay rational and know how to maximise your Bitcoin gains...
This is how to avoid FOMO, and implement the best BTC strategy possible!👇👇👇
$57,000 Bitcoin!?!
I feel like I’m as bullish as they come and even I’m pretty shocked at how fast we’ve seen price climb!
Do you think we go even higher from here?
GBTC has gone from notably underperforming BTC to now actually outperforming Bitcoin!📈
Are Grayscale investors trying to load up on discounted BTC to optimistically front run a potential ETF approval?🤔
One of the rarest and most profitable Bitcoin metric signals is about to flash another BUY entry...
And there's a good chance this will be the last one we get this cycle! Check it out here:
🔥🔥
We're currently seeing little interest in Bitcoin from retail traders, leading many to conclude that BTC has limited upside potential going forward.
Is this true, or are conditions similar to what we've historically seen?
We analyse the data to find out:
🎉 1,000 followers 🎉
Thanks a lot to you all! We hope you’re enjoying our content and we’re looking forward to continue providing the best freely available Bitcoin data anywhere 🥳
We just hit the 1,000 subscriber mark on our YouTube channel!
We may not be as big as some of the other Bitcoin & Crypto channels yet, but we're determined to get there with only the most valuable content possible.
If you haven't already, check us out:
We just surpassed 1,000,000 unique wallets containing at least 1BTC!
This is great for Bitcoin & Crypto, but how should we react to this milestone, and are there any other data points we should analyse alongside this metric?
We discuss everything here:
Does the Bitcoin Rainbow chart still provide useful insight for BTC traders and investors? 🌈
Historically it's been one of the most reliable bottoming indicators, and has accurately outlined the best areas for accumulation.
And we're still in Fire Sale territory...🔥🔥🔥
Do you actively trade Bitcoin or are you just accumulating and playing the macro cycle?
If you are a trader let me know your favourite short term metrics for profitable BTC trading! 👇👇👇
The powerful AASI chart is freely available here:
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📈🔍In this mega thread, we'll explore five fascinating price prediction charts by Look Into Bitcoin. Each chart offers unique insights into the world of
#Bitcoin
, that can improve your investing, analysis and even profitability! Let's dive in:
#CryptoAnalysis
#Investing
We’ve not had 3 consecutive weeks of downwards price action since May 2022!
As this current weekly close concludes, it’s seeming increasingly likely we’re set to have back to back red weeks…
Do you think we’ll get a positive price reaction next week, or even further downside?
🚨We've just surpassed 3,000 subscribers on YouTube!🚨
I'm sure there's some channels that get that many new subscribers every day... But we're proud to be steadily growing while providing the best quality educational Bitcoin content we possibly can!
Nothing too flashy, just
BTC is now hovering just beneath the 2YMA on the Bitcoin Investor Tool, which has historically defined clear areas where price could be considered at a 'discount'.
Situated at $32.8k, do you think we now have the strength to break above?
Free chart here:
Bitcoin now finding support on the 1.6x Golden Ratio Multiplier level!
Does this current BTC upside move have the potential to reach our all time high resistance at the 2x Multiplier level?
Currently sitting at ~$85,000...👀
Chart freely available here:
Bitcoin's former resistance turned support, the 1.6x Accumulation High Golden Ratio Multiplier line, is currently holding up price at ~$61,000.
Does this level hold and provide a platform for BTC to move higher, or is this just a temporary pause before more downside...
The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has finally reset to less greedy levels!
Now that the sentiment has become more neutral (and even slightly fearful!), can price start climbing higher once again?
Chart freely available here:
Bitcoin still above $50k, millions of dollars of institutional capital pouring in every day, while BTC is becoming less and less liquid with the halving less than 2 months away...
Have a great weekend everyone! 😎👍
It has now been over 2 years since Bitcoin's All Time High, and over 1 year from our cycle low! 🫣
Let's look back at how BTC market conditions have changed in that time, and how things will look going forward; one of our BEST videos EVER awaits:
📈📉
It seems half my timeline is incredibly bullish and calling for $40k+ in the near future for Bitcoin…
While half are predicting an imminent major recession and deep pullbacks for BTC and traditional markets…
Fear & Greed Index currently at 70, what do you think comes next?
Bitcoin's price has jumped over 10% after a brief double bottom at ~$60,000.
Is this just a temporary bounce before more downside or have the local lows now been set?
For the first time ever, we've seen a significant decrease in the 10+ Years HODL Wave chart.
Is this just an anomaly due to the Mt. Gox situation, or are we going to start seeing a trend of long term holder selling... 😬
Chart freely available here:
Prior to this recent upside move for Bitcoin, there had only been 3 instances of higher coin denominated funding rates for BTC in 2023; all of them resulted in at least a -10% retracement...
Can we still go to even higher prices, or is it once again time to play contrarian? 🫣
Some strong price action recently has provided a lot of optimism for the bulls. But with continuous murmurs of a larger recession looming, many are wondering if this is just a bear market rally?
We discuss all you need to know here:
How are we all anticipating February to play out for Bitcoin?
Historically a pretty good month for BTC, resulting in a price increase in 75% of Bitcoin's past 12 years! Same again, or downside to come?
1/9:
📈🚀 Introducing the
#BitcoinInvestorTool
chart by Look Into Bitcoin! Discover how this powerful tool can help you make more informed decisions in the
#crypto
space. Check out the chart:
#Bitcoin
#BTC
@PositiveCrypto
6/6:
🎥🔬To fully grasp the calculation method and significance of the RHODL Ratio, we've prepared an in-depth video guide. Join us to explore this metric and understand how it can improve your investment strategies in the crypto space:
#BitcoinAnalysis
Following the launch of the first US Gold ETF in November 2004, price increased slightly before a double digit % retracement and months of chop.
It wasn't until September of the following year, or 10 months later that the Gold bull rally really kicked off!
Will BTC be the same?
A lot of bullish price action in the past few weeks has convinced many traders and investors that a new bull run has begun!
Is this the case, or is it a little to early to say? We discuss this in our latest YouTube video:
BTC coin funding rates have just turned negative! Indicating that across Crypto's biggest exchanges - a majority of traders are now opening short positions (betting on price decreasing).
Historically, playing a contrarian to the majority has worked well:
Even with this upside price action, Bitcoin denominated derivative contract open interest has been MASSIVELY declining!
Maybe traders have started to realise than gambling away your BTC during a bull cycle isn't the best idea...😅
Keep it simple, just stack sats and wait.😎
With Bitcoin now rallying higher following a post halving cool-off period, we're starting to see a lot of similarities with a previous BTC bull cycle...
Are we about to repeat the 2017 cycle, and if so how high can we expect price to go this cycle:
🔥🔥
Could the Bitcoin Crosby Ratio just have signalled the BTC peak once again...
Chart and TradingView indicator available here (site subscription required):
Has the 1+ Year HODL Wave for Bitcoin finally topped out?
Indicating the % of BTC that hasn’t moved in at least a year, historically this metric topping out and beginning to decrease has coincided with exponential price increases!
Whilst still above 70%, we’ve now seen over a
We've just seen a BULLISH cross on the AASI (Active Address Sentiment Indicator) above it's lower deviation band. Given where we are in the cycle, this could indicate a potentially GREAT entry point!
For more details on this strategy, watch this video! It's our most viewed ever:
The Bitcoin Halving is likely now less than 1 year away!
Historically this fundamental event that decreases the BTC inflationary rate by 50% has resulted in substantial positive reactions in price!
Will we see a similar reaction this time around:
Bitcoin has been consolidating in price for the past month now, resulting in many investors becoming unsure of what the next move for BTC may be!
So let's find the key price levels for both the upside and the downside that we need to be watching:
📈📉
🎊🎉 1,000,000 WHOLE COINERS 🎉🎊
🥳 1 MILLION unique wallets containing at least 1 BTC 🥳
Congrats to all that are contributing to this massive achievement for Bitcoin & Crypto, and for everyone still aiming for a 21 million club membership... Keep stacking! 😉
The month of April certainly wasn't the best for Bitcoin's price action! 📉
So now we have to assess whether things are likely to get even worse before they get better...
In this roundup we cover every chart and metric you need to be watching:
😬😬
Is the market potentially getting a little overheated already? Traders & investors haven't had such a greedy sentiment since BTC was over $60,000!
In our latest roundup video we discuss all this and more:
It's looking like Bitcoin could potentially retest the Green '1.6 Accumulation High' level if this upside move continues! 📈
This line recently marked local topping price action for BTC, but with some bullish catalysts could we see price rally to the Red line at ~$57,000? 👀
BTC's price action has been quite mundane recently... So to try kick the bulls back into gear and to provide a little bit of hopium to all HODLers - we discuss here when we're likely to see a new BTC ATH; as well as when price could peak:
Check it out:
With Bitcoin ETF's now widely traded and Bitcoin related stocks showing no signs of slowing down, we look at the data to find out if we should really be holding native BTC, or need to consider alternatives...
Should you buy BTC or Bitcoin stocks:
👉 👈
Bitcoin's all time high currently sits at ~$69,000; although last cycle's double top price action caught many investors off guard...
In this video we'll look to why price topped out at $69k, and how we can use this info to better predict the next BTC ATH:
We're all looking to try and find the best metrics and data points to time our profit taking for this coming Bitcoin bull market! 📈
But what metrics best predicted the BTC peaks in previous cycles, and what are they currently predicting for this one: 🤔
To everyone who repeatedly tried shorting BTC at major support, thank you! 😅
Bitcoin Funding Rates chart freely available here, probably quite useful to check before you gamble your coins on further downside:
Mt. Gox was once the worlds largest Bitcoin exchange, but 10 years after its collapse it's now looking like it could be responsible for ending our current bull market...
Here Matt covers the facts and data regarding a potential BTC price crash:
📉📉
1/8:
📈🔍Happy hump day! Today, let's explore the Reserve Risk chart by Look Into Bitcoin. This powerful tool offers valuable insights into the risk profile of
#Bitcoin
holders and helps us gauge the confidence and stability of the market. Check it out:
In this very special video, Matt provides everything you'd ever need to drastically improve your investing not just for BTC & Crypto, but for all markets.
Help us celebrate the new & improved LIB site! Don't forget to watch to the end for an extra bonus:
What’s the lowest timeframe chart you’ll look at when doing your Bitcoin analysis?
For me anything lower than the 30minute chart is way too noisy! Almost always stick to the 4h and daily.
I filmed a Bitcoin technical analysis video a few hours ago before leaving the house for a bit - I come back to see price has immediately pumped over 5%! 😅
I'll schedule it to go live very soon just in case price continues to pump through every resistance I discussed!
Here's a quick start tutorial on how you can best utilise the Look Into Bitcoin API!
This method uses Google Sheets as a free and beginner friendly way begin exploring new avenues into creating unique metrics and manipulating Bitcoin data directly:
🤖🤖
Okay let's hear them, BTC price predictions for 2024:
Does an ETF & Halving send Bitcoin to triple digits? Or do big recessions send us back down to cycle lows?
Let me know what you think! 👇👇👇
Does Dollar Cost Averaging into Bitcoin still work? Has it ever been a genuinely profitable strategy?
In this video Matt covers everything you need to know, as well as how we can look to exponentially improve DCA performance and profitability:
Following a strong rebound in price, most traders and investors are wondering if this price action is too good to be true...
Are we currently in a stage of disbelief in the Crypto markets?
Watch our latest roundup video to find out:
Announcement: The new Look Into Bitcoin is live.
For the first time, you can now get the complete picture for Bitcoin.
Macro, on-chain, portfolio charts and tools, designed for your Bitcoin analysis to be easier and faster.
👇
Approximately 47% of all BTC in circulation has not moved since the previous Bitcoin ATH back in 2021!
The illiquidity of supply and ever increasing demand are likely going to reach a tipping point soon... IYKYK 🤫
Chart freely available here:
A Bitcoin ETF has finally been approved, potentially opening up the flood gates for unimaginable institutional capital inflows!💸💸💸
But is all this hype warranted? Here we uncover exactly what Bitcoin price action could look like going forward: 🔥🔥
The technical and fiscal innovation of Bitcoin cannot be overstated, but many seem to overlook the fact the BTC still continues to lead the way in development and and monetary accomplishments!
Here's how Bitcoin may have just changed Crypto forever:
🔥🔥
Thought I'd try some AI prediction for Bitcoin price action! Specifically looking at Stock-to-Flow...
Looks like we're going to see BTC supply begin increasing at inflationary rates not seen in over a decade, before a stark decline taking the price down to around $10 in 2026! 😅
With Bitcoin rallying hard to the upside, many traders are wondering if now is the time to rotate into alt coins? 🤔
Here we look at the data to confirm whether sticking with BTC currently the best thing, or should we be looking at other crypto assets:
👉
BTC price action in 2023 has been… Interesting! Slow grind to the downside before volatile move to the upside.
Do we think this week we see something similar, or are we about to see Bitcoin experience a big downside move?
Surely we can’t have another low volatility week… 😅