
Alex Kohut
@KohutAlex
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Founder of North Poll Strategies, formerly Senior Manager of Research & Advertising for the PM of Canada.
Ottawa, Ontario
Joined February 2012
Big professional news: I'm launching my own polling firm called North Poll Strategies! . Excited for this next step that will allow me to continue polling Canadians for my newsletter, while delivering custom research solutions for clients! . More:
api.omarshehata.me
I'm launching my own polling firm, and celebrating with a discount on paid subscriptions to my re-branded Substack
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Alphabetical order on federal election ballots hasn't really made a difference historically. but candidates with longer names have won much more often than those with short names. Want to know why? . Check out my post: #cdnpoli
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Unironically the people who design election signs in Canada need to learn from these. The cat mayor election people understand that signs can be used to communicate the platform and values of a candidate.
there’s an election for Cat Mayor currently happening in Somerville, Mass. and every cat deserves to win
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I feel like Mountainhead would have been a phenomenal movie if they just cast the entire its always sunny squad as the main characters. Glenn Howerton in particular is perfect for this.
I watched #mountainhead last week and it's stuck with me. It's about 4 tech billionaires at an exclusive mountain retreat. One of them runs a X type ap that pushes #AI fakes that triggers violence across the world. They plot to profit greatly from it.
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More on my newsletter here, including a dive into the least successful occupations. Can you guess which occupation has the most losses without a winning candidate at 0 for 91?. Hint: It's an occupation that's familiar with occupations. #cdnpoli.
api.omarshehata.me
An exploration into the political success of candidates from all professional backgrounds, from lawyers and economists to truck drivers and professional wrestlers.
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In the more modern era, candidates like Mark Carney thrive. Economists (35%) and public servants (23%) are among the jobs with the best success rate since 2000. #cdnpoli
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When you look beyond just the most common occupations, there are some unexpected ones with high success rates. "Lumber Merchants" have 51 wins on 73 attempts (70%), helped by the fact that there were fewer candidates on the ballot in the early 1900s. #cdnpoli
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"Lawyer" is the most common listed occupation on candidate forms since 1900, and almost half (47%) of all lawyers appearing on a ballot have won. Among professions with over 1000 candidates, only "Parliamentarian" (80% win rate) and "Physician" (46%) are as successful. #cdnpoli
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What kind of professional background makes for the best political candidate? . I've gone through the history of federal candidates in Canada and found the most common professions, the professions that win most frequently and the ones have always lost (so far). #cdnpoli. 🧵
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This week for my newsletter I talked to Neil McKenna about the unique opportunities and challenges of communicating political messages in Atlantic Canada, where retail politics is alive and well. #cdnpoli.
api.omarshehata.me
I talked to an expert on Atlantic Canada politics about why politicians need to have a different, more relationship-focused approach to campaigning and communicating in Eastern Canada
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I'm looking forward to filling out a vote compass quiz to find out which of the 200 names on the ballot is closest to me on the political spectrum.
BREAKING: Elections Canada says voters will need to write in their desired candidate during the upcoming byelection in Alberta's Battle River-Crowfoot to avoid a massive ballot with more than 200 names.
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