Kevin Gordon
@KevRGordon
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Head of Macro Research and Strategy, Schwab Center for Financial Research Disclosures: https://t.co/5libsyZoqZ
New York, NY
Joined January 2024
You often hear about Big Tech being very expensive, but of the 10 S&P 500 members with the highest forward 12m P/E ratios, only 2 are in the Tech sector Source: Bloomberg
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Inflation-adjusted consumer spending was flat in September ... August's 0.4% gain was revised down to 0.2%
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High-strength parts. Zero compromise. AFW’s rotary friction welding process powers industries that demand performance — energy, construction, defense & more. Engineered to Perform. Built to Deliver.
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Welcome news as consumers' inflation expectations 5-10 years out are nearing a roundtrip relative to the beginning of this year ... peak was 4.4%; now we're at 3.2%
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Consumers' expectations for the economy improved in December ... up to 55 vs. 51 in November per UMich survey
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Another new all-time low for how consumers feel about the current economic environment in December per UMich
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AAII bears lowest since January ... largest weekly drop since November 2023
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So far, 10y Treasury yield looking at its largest weekly gain in 6 months
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Mentions of a "choiceful" consumer on S&P 500 earnings calls have picked up markedly over the past couple years
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9k jobs lost in November per Revelio Labs ... second consecutive monthly decline
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10% of members in the Utilities sector trading above their 50d moving average ... a new YTD low
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Some 2,900 billionaires now control $15.8 trillion, up from about 2,700 billionaires with a cumulative wealth of nearly $14 trillion last year ... 2025's addition of 287 billionaires is more than 2024's addition of 268 @WSJ
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Equal-weighted Energy sector has recovered its losses since April 2nd
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Utilities sector lowest since late September (second worst performer over the past month)
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CHART OF THE DAY: Copper prices rise to an all-time high (above $11,500 per metric ton) driven by multiple supply disruptions and a rush to shift copper into the US due to tariffs, depleting supply from the rest of the world
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Per ADP, manufacturing payrolls -18k in November ... third decline in the past four months. The sector has seen no net job gains YTD.
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Everyone is so impressed with their Spotify Wrapped. “Oh wow, it knows exactly what I listened to!” Of course it does, you listened to them! They're YOUR artists! they're SUPPOSED to be there!
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