So #Sobeys #TopsailRoad sold me 1) rotting meat for 23$! 2) didn’t give me a receipt that I paid with a gift card. How the hell do I go about getting a refund on rotting meat!? #BoycottSobeys #FuckSobeys let’s do to Sobeys what we did to #Dominion with #BoycottDominion #Groceries

Knock, knock. 🚪 Who’s there? #TheTraitorsCanada is casting, and our doors are wide open! Apply now: https://t.co/SyC4qhIMhJ

The Traitors Canada has been renewed for a third season at CTV and for the first time ever, Canadians can now apply for the new season at https://t.co/gu2oz9hhqx. Must be 19 or older to apply and filming is expected to begin the two weeks of July.

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hi big brother canada fans i need your help. i am looking to write a story on how bbcan is a fabric of canada. tell me your favourite human bbcan moments (ex. kyle praying with adel in season 2, covid-19 announcement, etc.) #BBCAN

It is incredibly gutsy to release this poll. It won't put Harris ahead in our forecast because there was also another Iowa poll out today that was good for Trump. But wouldn't want to play poker against Ann Selzer.

So much for my Saturday night plans. Model update and Model Talk incoming.

Selzer has Harris *ahead* in Iowa. https://t.co/H0bQUOSJ1b

The model is updated! Note that there was also a Trump +9 out in Iowa today from Emerson. Some initial thoughts here: more to come later. https://t.co/vsGVG189Sa

Model Talk would already be published if Google Docs didn't keep autocorrecting "Selzer" to "Seltzer".

There are some confounders here, but the inflation thing is actually statistically significant! Each additional $100 of inflation in a state since January 2021 predicts a further 1.6 swing against Harris in our polling average vs. the Biden-Trump margin in 2020.

Perhaps not the biggest takeaway, but there is a notably high correlation between where inflation has been greater/lesser and where Harris has gained/lost ground versus Biden.

So I have some thoughts about that Selzer poll. A lot of thoughts. Excuse any typos, this was put together fast, though we did catch all the "Seltzers". https://t.co/n49Cl70doM

Just as a reminder, polling averages are available for everyone for free, and while we're asking you to pay for the forward-looking forecast, we think it's the best product out there. https://t.co/knOIcqwuMp

"Who do you think would do a better job addressing (X) in the US?" Climate Change: Harris +54 Trade Relation w Canada: Harris +46 Immigration: Harris +30 National Security: Harris +30 Ukraine/Middle East: Harris +30 US Economy: Harris +24 Leger / Oct 21, 2024 / n=1562 / Online

"Are you worried there may be violence and uncertainty associated with the outcome of the US election?" Worried: 65% Not Worried: 28% Leger / Oct 21, 2024 / n=1562 / Online

"If Donald Trump is re-elected President, will this impact your likelihood of going to the US - Either for business or pleasure?" Less likely to visit: 37% More likely to visit: 12% No change: 44% Leger / Oct 21, 2024 / n=1562 / Online

"If you could vote in the US election, who would you vote for?" Kamala Harris: 64% Donald Trump: 21% Unsure: 15% Leger / Oct 21, 2024 / n=1562 / Online

People are shocked to learn that Canadians would not vote for Trump if given the opportunity

I am now (Apparently) based out of the United Kingdom 🇬🇧

338Canada Saskatchewan update | October 25, 2024 🟢SKP 36 🟠NDP 25 [31 seats needed for a majority] Details here → https://t.co/qJRge2JN5s En français ici → https://t.co/fitTL8X5Fx