Gustav Helgesson
@GustavHelgesson
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How to lose the 21st century to China: 1. Unilaterally disarm regarding the soft power competition by ending economic aid and international media agencies. 2. Impose tariffs irrationally on everyone. 3. Invade Greenland, break up NATO, and isolate the US from the entire world.
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🇸🇪🚀The SEK is on track for its strongest annual run ever against the dollar. To surpass the previous record set in 2003, USDSEK only needs to drop to 9.15 from the current 9.18.
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The SEK just had its third strongest week against USD since at least 1970. Statistically, this is a once-in-a-generation event. Compared to the peak in January, USDSEK has declined by 115 figures (öre) to 10.10 this morning.
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Countries voting *against* condemnation of Russian aggression against Ukraine: United States, and... Belarus Burkina Faso Burundi C.A.R. North Korea Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Haiti Hungary Isreal Mali Marhsall Islands Nicaragua Niger Palau Russia Sudan
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Aaand it's official. New trend record for the SEK
The SEK rally just touched its previous record. - EURSEK has closed lower in 13 of the last 15 days. - This has only happened six times earlier. - If EURSEK closes lower today, this will be the strongest 3-week trend EVER. - This should not be confused with a "strong" SEK🙃
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This can't continue forever ofcourse. How does EURSEK usually perform after a rally like this? Somewhat surprisingly, SEK on average holds most of its ground in the two weeks after the trend has broken.
The SEK rally just touched its previous record. - EURSEK has closed lower in 13 of the last 15 days. - This has only happened six times earlier. - If EURSEK closes lower today, this will be the strongest 3-week trend EVER. - This should not be confused with a "strong" SEK🙃
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The SEK rally just touched its previous record. - EURSEK has closed lower in 13 of the last 15 days. - This has only happened six times earlier. - If EURSEK closes lower today, this will be the strongest 3-week trend EVER. - This should not be confused with a "strong" SEK🙃
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The SEK rally just touched its previous record. - EURSEK has closed lower in 13 of the last 15 days. - This has only happened six times earlier. - If EURSEK closes lower today, this will be the strongest 3-week trend EVER. - This should not be confused with a "strong" SEK🙃
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We are in the midst of a global economic reordering which Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent calls the “Bretton Woods realignment”. In this world, the US seeks to order the global economy into three buckets. Below is our "FX bucket scorecard" according to their framework.
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The quest to make sense of Trumponomics continues. Read my latest article "Mapping out Trumponomics 2.0 in a 'post Bretton Woods' world" here: https://t.co/x0mYgjr8Nb
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He recently threatened to impose immediate 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada (by declaring national emergency). The tables show just how reliant these economies are on trade both ways. Muted reactions to the CAD and MXN suggest that markets are downplaying Trumps' threats.
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Using Trump's first presidency as a guide, it seems reasonable to expect the first round of tariffs in the second half of 2025. Read our Trump tariffs 2.0 guide here: https://t.co/XfLqhSS07k
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New US Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent's "3-3-3 rule": - GDP growth 3% - Reduce budget deficit to -3% - Raise oil production by 3 million brls/day Trump's humongous tax cuts will boost growth but will increase the deficit (substantially), and oil production is already at ATH.
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Trump has promised a lot of things; what can he actually do? 👇
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In the midst of the USD rally, the SEK is actually stronger against EUR compared to before the election. Riksbank decision today 9.30 CET
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