My new book Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking is now available via https://t.co/iJ2xW8e6np

Historically, when LEI has declined by 3.6% or more year-over-year: * A recession has always followed or was already underway * There are virtually no false signals at this level of decline * The 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2001, 2008, and 2020 recessions all showed similar

If you are thinking about ditching health insurance all together but are worried about going completely naked in the case something big comes up, you should give CrowdHealth a look. Here is what our CrowdHealth members have paid on average/month over the last 12 months: $143

Key Patterns and Implications Pre-recession warning signal: The ratio typically declines before recessions, often dropping below 1.0. This pattern is visible before most of the shaded recession periods in the chart. Current reading (0.86): This is notably low by historical

This 60-Year Economic Indicator Just Hit a Level That's Only Happened Before Recessions This chart displays the ratio of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) to Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) from 1960 to the present, with gray bars marking U.S. recession periods. Leading

Tune in to today's episode of We Study Billionaires, where @stig_brodersen is joined by @Greenbackd and @harirama for another round of stock pitches. Listen: https://t.co/p1y11NyVXD

“God is stronger than an excavator!” My new children’s book, “Big G’s Trucks and Heavy Equipment,”shows kids how God’s power builds and shapes our lives with beautiful, watercolor construction trucks, Bible verses, Prayers = bedtime WIN. Order on Amazon. Repost this ad and be

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A Conversation with Tobias Carlisle of the Acquirers Multiple

I'm not saying the silliness is over, but when the silliness is over, this is the chart that cracks: High Beta versus Low Volatility This ratio measures risk appetite: * Rising ratio → High Beta outperforming Low Vol, i.e., a “risk-on” regime. * Falling ratio → Low Vol

This week in value: Value investors pivot to global markets amid America’s AI euphoria (Investment Mag) 4 reasons value investing works better in emerging markets (LWM) This stock pick of my Ivey value investing students would make Warren Buffett proud (GM)

And so…it begins.

Junky small caps (Russell 2000) went parabolic against profitable small caps (S&P 600) this year (see chart). That looks to be breaking down now. Profitable small caps (S&P 600) are much cheaper than junky small caps (Russell 2000). Profitable small caps are trading between the

The audiobook of Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking is now available: https://t.co/z46HxJAVQj

"I said, 'The S&P 500's earnings per share are down since December 2021.'"

The chart plots forward P/E ratios (price / next-12-month expected earnings) for two US small-cap indexes from 2002–2025: Russell 2000 (red): Broader, includes many unprofitable companies S&P 600 Small Cap (blue): Profitability-screened, higher quality Current readings (Oct

Is the 10Y-3M Treasury spread inversion normalizing?

$MSTR (-6%) vs $BTC (+35%) over the last 12 months.

These companies deserve to trade at a premium. They generate about 24% of S&P 500 earnings while only producing 12% of revenues, demonstrating exceptional profit margins and operational efficiency compared to other index constituents.

This chart tracks the "Magnificent 7" $GOOG, $AMZN, $AAPL, $META, $MSFT, $NVDA, and $TSLA dominance of the S&P 500. Market Cap Share 33.3% Forward Earnings Share 23.8% Forward Revenue Share 12.4% The wide gap between market cap and earnings suggests these companies trade at

Incredible set-up for deep value contrarians.

garbitrage /ˈɡɑːrbɪtrɑːʒ/ noun Definition: The investment practice of seeking mispriced opportunities among neglected, unfashionable, or “garbage” stocks, companies dismissed by the market but trading below intrinsic value. A tongue-in-cheek blend of garbage and arbitrage,

Just a bit outside.

Hard to believe, I know, but the biggest stocks have tended to be a worse bet than the rest of the market. It hasn't been true since 2015. The same thing happened in to the late 1990s. A bone-crunching 15-year bear market followed for the biggest.