Graham Allison
@GrahamTAllison
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Douglas Dillon Professor @Kennedy_School | Former Director @BelferCenter | Author of "Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap?"
Cambridge, MA
Joined January 2017
3/ In trying to get beyond Trump's literalism to the meaning of his words, my reading is that after several months in which both Russia and China have been rattling their nuclear sabers, Trump was simply reminding everyone of his determination to ensure that the US will continue
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2/ My answer: not much. The US has dozens of ways in which we test our nuclear arsenal constantly to ensure that under every conceivable set of circumstances it is capable of performing its mission.
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1/ Amidst the flurry of exaggerated press claims about President Trump’s statement last week about “testing our nuclear weapons on an equal basis,” I was moved to try to clarify. Reminding people of Peter Thiel’s advice to “not take Trump literally—but to take him seriously,” in
nationalinterest.org
The nuclear testing announcement is likely President Trump’s attempt to restart arms control negotiations with US adversaries.
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@elonmusk Grok is a believer so I think we will be okay. You can't hide the truth and you can't hide God. Grok cuts through all the lies.
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9/ You can hear what he had to say here.
Dems are the precipice of delivering a yuge electoral blow to Trump. They lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year.
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8/ As the financial adviser’s caution reminds us, past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Nonetheless, a shoutout for Enten for applying history to inform our expectations about the future.
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7/ What happened in each of these cases? Answer: Democrats went on to win control of the House the following year.
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6/ According to Enten, what was so notable about Democrats sweeping victory in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia? This has happened only 5 other times in the past 90 years.
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5/ @CNN’s Harry Enten (@ForecasterEnten) has asked this question and offered an insightful analysis of earlier elections.
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4/ Does history offer any clues from what happened on Tuesday that illuminate what is likely to happen a year from now in the midterm elections?
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3/ As observers have noted, the highest objective on President Trump’s current agenda is to win next November in order to continue pursuing his vision to Make America Great. Maintaining his power is a prerequisite to pursuing other initiatives.
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Vinyl is vital to so many industries. It's the backbone of a diverse set of products, like pipe for safe water delivery.
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2/ The November 2026 midterm elections are shaping up to be one of the most consequential in memory. If Democrats take the House, President Trump will find his superpowers constrained. If on top of that there were also a recession, he could find himself fighting to escape
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1/ Betting on the November 2026 Midterm Election: Clues from Applied History.
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12/ In sum: when listening to the President and even more when reading alarmist claims in the press, take Trump seriously—but not literally.
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11/ Similarly, when asked about the possibility of resuming nuclear testing on Sunday, Secretary of Energy Chris Wright (@SecretaryWright) asserted, “the tests we're talking about right now are system tests. These are not nuclear explosions.”
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10/ When asked about the safety, security, and reliability of our nuclear arsenal during his confirmation hearing last week, Vice Admiral Richard Correll testified: “I am absolutely confident we’re in a good position.”
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9/ Tests go far beyond our missiles and warheads. The US also tests its nuclear command and control systems. Just last April, the Air Force carried out a test of its airborne nuclear command and control system, ensuring that the US has a reliable second-strike capability.
armyrecognition.com
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8/ As part of our Stockpile Stewardship Program, the Department of Energy's (@ENERGY) National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) carries out tests, experiments, and simulations weekly to ensure our nuclear warheads work as intended should they be needed.
sd.llnl.gov
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7/ Test launches of missiles, like the one carried out at Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, ensure that our delivery systems remain reliable, ready, and accurate. https://t.co/UzPqB9AD4G
vandenberg.spaceforce.mil
Air Force Global Strike Command conducted a test launch of an unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile from Vandenberg Space Force Base, California, on November 4, 2025. This test,
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6/ Note: there are many ways countries “test nuclear weapons.”
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The cheapest CPM you’ll ever get is from influencer gifting. The most scalable form of trust is paid influencer content. You need both.
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