The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
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Husband, Dad, Catholic liturgical music sponge. Former elections official. Now data/political analyst @abc15 . Oracle of #ElectionTwitter . DGJ is cooler than me
Arizona, USA
Joined February 2008
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This is both rage bait and a lie. The intended address is 77 S Washington St, Seattle, which is the address for the Compass Housing Alliance. One of its services is to provide people experiencing homelessness with a mailing address. Washington law allows this for registration.
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JUST IN: Judge Thompson rules against
@KariLake
, finding no intentional misconduct by
@maricopacounty
.
@katiehobbs
will be sworn in as governor of Arizona.
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JUST IN: AZ Court of Appeals has rejected
@KariLake
appeal and affirmed
@katiehobbs
election as governor.
Ruling here:
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BREAKING confirmed by
@SecretaryHobbs
office. A complaint has been filed with the AG and DOJ for voter intimidation. It happened Monday at the Mesa drop box location when a voter said they were approached and followed by a group of individuals.
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This evening's Mesa drop box watchers covered up their license plate.
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BREAKING: Taken just a little while ago at the
@maricopacounty
Mesa drop box location. Two masked individuals in tactical gear observing the drop box.
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JUST IN: Mohave County has voted to delay certification of election results until Nov. 28. BOS member says it is a political statement of solidarity with other counties that have delayed certification.
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JUST IN: Confirmed with AZSOS:
@KariLake
lawyers have withdrawn their subpoena of
@SecretaryHobbs
.
She will not be testifying at tomorrow's hearing.
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Now that the major races are called I'm ending batch coverage of Arizona's 2022 general. I'm grateful for all that followed along.
It was so much fun I think we will do it again in two years.
@abc15
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Public speaker is now accusing Maricopa County BOS of capital treason.
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Apache county just posted 2,223 ballots. Breakdown:
Biden: 1,805(81.2%)
Trump: 396 (17.8%)
This county encompasses the Navajo Nation. Trump now trails Biden 57,844
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A brief PSA:
You don't have to like that Arizona will take about a week to finish counting the early vote drop offs.
It is a function of statute. So next week, please think before suggesting on here it is due to incompetence or fraud.
It is neither.
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BREAKING: Judge rules against RNC. Vote centers will close at 7pm.
If you are in line though, stay in line. You will have the opportunity to vote.
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BREAKING:
@RealMarkFinchem
lawsuit is dismissed with prejudice. Judge affirms
@Adrian_Fontes
election as Secretary Of State.
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Mohave County has tabulated 10,092ballots
Est. 1,300 remaining.
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
78.9
@katiehobbs
21
Senate
@bgmasters
76.2
@CaptMarkKelly
21.4
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
78.2
@Adrian_Fontes
21.7
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
79.7
@krismayes
20.3
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I always like to remind myself that no matter what is being argued about on political Twitter it's the type of person that would click on this article that ultimately decides election outcomes.
ET has learned that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's parents are expected to meet for the first time at Monday's Kansas City game, where the Chiefs and Eagles are scheduled to face off.
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78k ballots posted to Maricopa.
@katiehobbs
netted an additional 7,494 votes. I'll have the rest of the breakdowns in a moment.
@katiehobbs
54.8
@karilake
45.1
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Running an experiment:
There is zero evidence the 2020 election was stolen. Nothing. Nada. Zilch.
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Maricopa's final election day batch was 47,474 votes in the R gov race.
Breakdown:
@KariLake
65.4%
@Karrin4Arizona
29.6%
Lake now leads by 1,958 votes.
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This is big. Pima county, the liberal stronghold of Arizona, just posted 28,344 ballots. Breakdown
Biden: 13,045 (46%)
Trump: 14,484 (51.1%)
Trump now trails Biden by 56,547 in Arizona.
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Pima incoming. 12k ballots. Processing shortly.
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BREAKING The
@CochiseCountyAZ
board of supervisors has certified the 2022 General Election.
All Arizona counties are now canvassed.
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Maricopa county has unanimously certified the 2020 General Election canvass.
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Maricopa county tabulated 6,862 ballots to the Presidential contest.
Breakdown
Biden: 3,753 (55%)
Trump: 2,999 (44%)
Biden leads Trump by 20,102 in the state.
What's left: 42k regular; 48k provisional, 6k need curing.
That'll do it. Arizona will stay in the Biden column.
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Maricopa no longer incoming.
All ballots have been counted in
@maricopacounty
for the November General Election. With more than 2 million ballots cast, more Maricopa County voters participated in this election than ever before. Watch the last nine ballots being counted below. .
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I am hearing there will be a significant discrepancy in favor of
@AbrahamHamadeh
in the recount results under seal until tomorrow morning. I'm told that the discrepancy will bring the race much closer.
Discrepancy is not from Maricopa or Pima.
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Our estimates did mostly line up. Tonight was the start of the GOP cavalry charge.
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Not that I want to rain on anyone's party. But a reminder that based on the affidavit transmission party data we still have some very, very friendly batches coming for R slate in Maricopa. Almost certainly not friendly enough for Masters.
Lake and Hamadeh are very much in this.
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SCOTUS just gave a hard no to people that believe state legislatures can just nullify an election because reasons and feelz.
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I cannot be stopped.
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I don't know, that last Maricopa incoming sure felt like it had a lot of closure attached to it. I'm thinking it might be time to exit stage right (or left, whatever), pop open the Scotch, and hang with the family
Thanks all. It's been fun. Now please take me off notification 😉
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Several sources confirm to me that yesterday, several key members of the
@KariLake
campaign left the war room. I'm told they (those that left) saw no viable path once the race was called.
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With the total number of GOP votes in, combined with what is left outstanding it is a near certainty at this point that Republicans will smash turnout records for a primary.
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JUST IN:
@January6thCmte
committee deposition of
@kelliwardaz
is out. She responded to every question with an invocation of the 5th amendment. Here are four pages.
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Just so we're all clear. The Cindy McCains of Arizona are on the cusp of giving this state to Joe Biden.
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JUST IN:
@GeneralBrnovich
Concludes investigation into 2020 dead voters.
"Some were so absurd at names and birth dates did not match the deceased."
"Many were very surprised to learn that they were allegedly deceased."
This letter is brutal.
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Pima County (Tucson) has posted 12,413 ballots.
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
32.8
@katiehobbs
67.2
Senate
@bgmasters
29.3
@CaptMarkKelly
68.5
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
31.2
@Adrian_Fontes
68.8
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
33.7
@krismayes
66.3
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La Paz County has tabulated 849 ballots
They are count complete.
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
75
@katiehobbs
25
Senate
@bgmasters
71.3
@CaptMarkKelly
25.9
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
73.5
@Adrian_Fontes
26.5
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
74.7
@krismayes
25.3
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I can't do my magic until the results hit the AZSOS page. They're not there yet. But it's clear that the 62k ballots dropped in Maricopa were friendly to the D candidates.
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Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation is running for Congress in
#az02
. It's a double digit R seat, but Nez is as strong a candidate as Ds could have.
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Maricopa county has posted 13,143 ballots.
Breakdown:
Biden: 5,826 (44.3%)
Trump: 7,019 (53.4%)
Biden leads Trump in Arizona by 11,635 votes.
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That last Maricopa incoming of 2,421 ballots broke for the D slate and expanded
@krismayes
lead to 570 over
@AbrahamHamadeh
.
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More armed watchers at the Mesa drop box this evening. Photo taken by someone that went to watch the watchers.
@mcsoaz
came over to ask everyone to get out of each other's personal space.
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Maricopa County has posted final results. The last batch was 1,372 ballots that broke 63/37 for the R slate.
@AbrahamHamadeh
net 340 votes. He will go into the automatic recount trailing
@krismayes
by 510.
All counties are count complete.
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This is it folks. The vast majority of what is left in Maricopa is incoming tonight.
It's the Final Countdown...probably.
VOTE COUNT: Maricopa County confirms to me that ALL early ballots dropped off on Election Day have been counted. 🗳
Only outstanding ballots would be left, those requiring manual attention (adjudication, provisionals)
@Garrett_Archer
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Getting this in now:
State...UNOFFICIAL results have Biden and Trump separated by 4,202 votes right now.
This morning it was 10,377. The difference?
A faulty upload from Greenlee county.
They show 22,110 votes. Should be 3,723
Certified canvass:
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Yavapai County has tabulated 10,087 ballots
Est. 1,983 remain (98% complete)
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
73.2
@katiehobbs
26.8
Senate
@bgmasters
70.3
@CaptMarkKelly
27.4
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
72.6
@Adrian_Fontes
27.7
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
73.8
@krismayes
26.2
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JUST IN: US House Committee on Oversight and Reform is launching an investigation into the
@ArizonaAudit
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The Twitter "for you" tab is horrible.
That's the tweet. Not that anyone will see it.
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Coconino county posted 5,713 ballots. Breakdown:
Biden: 2,953 (51.7%)
Trump: 2,568 (45%)
Coconino is a liberal county, home to Navajo Nation tribal land and Flagstaff. (also, the Grand Canyon from the postcards.)
Trump is now trailing Biden by 47,052 ballots in the state.
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One last time this year with feeling everyone...
Maricopa Incoming.
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BREAKING: Judge orders
@CochiseCountyAZ
Board of Supervisors to canvass the 2022 General Election.
Today.
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Pima county tabulated 4,589 ballots to the presidential contest.
Breakdown:
Biden: 2,346 (51%)
Trump: 2,129 (46.4%)
Biden now leads Trump 13,027 in Arizona.
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Maricopa county has tabulated 424 votes for the Presidential contest.
Breakdown:
Biden: 221 (52%)
Trump: 185 (43%)
Biden leads Trump in Arizona by 11,022 votes.
Maricopa has completed the 2020 General Election.
Take a bow. You earned it.
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There were no box 3 ballots in this last batch from Maricopa county.
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I'll throw it out since it's on my mind.
Georgia incoming.
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Pima County has tabulated 19,689 ballots
Est. 53,397 remain (87% complete)
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
36.1
@katiehobbs
63.9
Senate
@bgmasters
33.3
@CaptMarkKelly
65
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
34.4
@Adrian_Fontes
65.6
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
36.8
@krismayes
63.3
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Maricopa Incoming.
Should I step down as head of Twitter? I will abide by the results of this poll.
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Ring ring...Hello? Is the Secretary of State there?
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@BarnettforAZ
This is allowed by Arizona statute. I don't know if you know this but it is not a crime to be homeless.
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I got a fever. And the only presciption...is Maricopa Incoming.
(still nothing)
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Blaming the homeless for your failure to organize a winning coalition is certainly a take.
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Trump is typically gaining votes 2 to 1 on updates right now.
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Data Guru Junior stats report.
Born: 9/19/21 at 05:11
Weight: 8 lbs. 7 oz.
Length: 20 inches
Mrs. Data Guru and DGJ are doing great.
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Good morning. Registered independents running for office in AZ have a much higher signature gathering threshold. (About 45k minimum statewide in 2022).
Benefit is you don't need to run in a primary.
Seems important today for some reason.
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Closing arguments are concluded.
@KariLake
v
@katiehobbs
is now in the hands of Judge Thompson.
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House adjourned until noon.
Vote 216-214.
It was beautiful chaos.
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Pima county just posted 3,920 election day ballots.
Break:
@KariLake
64.4%
@Karrin4Arizona
29.2%
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Bottom line:
@GeneralBrnovich
investigators spent 10,000 hours looking into the 2020 election.
They were unable to find anything.
Two years.
Hundreds of people making statements millions now believe.
It came to nothing.
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Gila county has tabulated 3,412 ballots. 260 remaining.
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
74.6
@katiehobbs
25.4
Senate
@bgmasters
71.1
@CaptMarkKelly
26.7
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
72.4
@Adrian_Fontes
27.6
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
74.6
@krismayes
25.4
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This is also big. The next batch of 114k late early drop-offs that were transmitted to the elections department will break in favor of
@KariLake
.
Important note: We do not know when these ballots will be tabulated, but the GOP cavalry is coming.
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AZSOS still not showing Maricopa results so here is the batch manually for Governor.
61,076 ballots counted
@karilake
45.9
@katiehobbs
54.1
Hobbs netted +4,960 votes and now leads 13,067
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