Garrett Herrin
@GarrettHerrin
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Politics, maps, and travel. Elections @VoteHubUS . GIS analyst. @UniversityofGA alum. Views mine.
Miami Beach, FL
Joined April 2017
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Last Tuesday, Democrats and Republicans nominated their candidates for Florida's 27th congressional district. Rs narrowly cast more votes than Ds in their primary contest--in true Florida fashion. Incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar will face off against Annette Taddeo this November.
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I am calling on the Lincoln Project to launch a full investigation into allegations of sexual harassment leveled against John Weaver, one of the organization's co-founders. Please read my letter to
@ProjectLincoln
below.
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Joe Biden had his best performance yet in a Democratic primary contest today in Wyoming. I mapped out the election results by county.
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Fun fact: New York City is closer to Savannah than one end of Florida is to the other.
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Georgia interactive precinct viewer is live. It’s probably my most ambitious project to date.
It’s got presidential results, both Senate contests, margin maps, and a swiper to compare 2016 vs. 2020 results.
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Unpopular opinion, but Herschel Walker can absolutely win in Georgia. Tbh I'm getting Trump 2016 vibes from some Dems dismissing his candidacy.
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Cool fact: the population of states representing a quarter of the U.S. Senate could fit in the Los Angeles area.
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As y’all know, Dems’ poor performance in Miami-Dade County in 2020 proved devastating to their chances of winning Florida. IMO the best way to see change is to work within the system.
In that spirit, last week I became a Miami-Dade Dems committeeman for part of Miami Beach.
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Fun geography fact: Bristol, Tennessee, is 100 miles closer to Canada than Memphis.
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🎖🪂⛪️👒🏛
🏖🌳🚜🛶🏢
🦪🐊🌲🏁
🦟🛣🏘🚀
Florida 🚤🏌️🏰🛳
in emojis. 🏝🏙🏡⛲️
☀️🍊🏎🌴
🏓🥬⛱
~QT with your ⛳️🦩🛥
state~ 🚣♂️🌇
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I'm excited to present precinct-level results *by voting method* for the Senate runoff in Georgia.
The consensus among pundits was that an Election Day turnout of 1m or more might foreshadow a GOP win since the E Day vote was expected to go heavily for Perdue. 1.3m turned out...
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The truth has come out. The
@nytimes
investigated claims of sexual harassment against John Weaver, co-founder of the Lincoln Project. Here is the story.
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With Joe Biden leading in most Florida polls with three months to go, I wanted to take a stroll down memory lane and revisit the 2016 presidential election to get insight into what happened and how he can flip the state. Here is a precinct-level map of R-D vote margins from 2016.
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Pleased to present my first map of 2023! This one is special. Pictured are block-level estimated results of the 2020 presidential election in my hometown of Brunswick, Georgia.
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Quick shoutout to
@JDCocchiarella
and
@AaronParnas
, who are among the future leaders fighting for all Floridians. If you believe in Democratic priorities and don’t follow already, give them a follow and tune into their
@ZoomedInPodcast
!
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Tomorrow is the first day of early voting for most Floridians! To save everyone time, I made an interactive map of in-person early voting sites and secure drop box locations, complete with hours and URLs in each pop-up.
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Fun fact: Florida shifted left outside of Miami-Dade County from 2016 to 2020.
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Final from Wyoming. Biden wins 96% of the vote and all 13 delegates.
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Georgia precinct viewer now has runoff results:
Warnock and Ossoff won with high base turnout and by running up the margins in south metro ATL. It was enough to sustain steep declines in north Fulton and east Cobb, where they had both lagged in November.
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Fremont County is now in. Biden received all 19 votes cast.
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First dose down and didn’t feel a thing. 💪🏻
Schedule your shot today:
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Despite a shift left in Georgia, the Miami metro area was still bluer than the Atlanta metro in 2020.
It's the last presidential election in the foreseeable future MIA will vote to the left of ATL.
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To "Election Twitter" members, many of whom are several years younger than me: I know he has also DMd some of you, and you were put in an uncomfortable position. Don't let anyone gaslight you into thinking that is normal behavior, or that you should just brush it aside.
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WHOA! First fully reported precinct in Pike County, and the Dem is AHEAD. A 27 point shift left!
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#ElectionTwitter
, I made an interactive viewer of the preliminary Colorado congressional districts.
It has precinct-level results from 2018 and 2016 and is zoomable to the district level. Check it out! (On desktop)
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I am proud of each and every one of you who have come forward publicly and privately over DM to tell your stories of harassment.
While I am disappointed that the Lincoln Project has not issued a statement, I applaud their decision to terminate their relationship with John Weaver
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Very excited to share this with you all. In part 1 of my series on Georgia, I’m taking a look at the U.S. Senate races. In November Jon Ossoff underperformed Joe Biden by about 1.5 pts, but results were uneven. I mapped out precinct results statewide comparing their performances.
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From my letter: "[Some are] dismissing the report as a...smear-job since it was published in conservative media. Investigating claims of sexual harassment should not be a partisan issue. That is especially true when the allegations are...trading career opportunities for sex."
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Copenhagen is actually closer to Seattle than it is to Miami.
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TBT to 13 years ago when I met then-Governor
@CharlieCrist
.
Yes, I’m embarrassed by this picture, but thankful for the glow up (Crist and me later becoming Democrats).
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A common misconception is Florida will be underwater in our lifetimes, which can lead to a dismissive attitude about our state, its people, and our future. If you're curious, please read this short thread on what Florida will look like with rising sea levels.
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Just cast my ballot for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. 😊
Join me in voting early, Florida! You can find available polling places and drop boxes near you here:
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@UFStudent2
@DrewSav
Not sure, but Sheridan Dems seem like a pretty active and organized group compared to the other populated counties.
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Joe Biden has officially been elected the 46th President of the United States.
His 270th electoral vote was just cast in Sacramento.
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Carbon County is in. Biden won all 8 votes there. Now just waiting on Lincoln County to report.
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Map of America according to 6-year-old me. Tag yourself!
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Final from Pennsylvania. Dems have yet another special election overperformance.
Olsommer (R) 60.3%, Skibber (D) 39.7% -- a 7.3pt Dem shift vs. 2020 president.
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I started 2020 with 48 followers. To all of you who have followed since, thank you. I've made amazing friends on this app and have enjoyed getting to interact with so many of you. Election Twitter is a special community; I can't wait to see what's in store for us in the new year.
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Let this serve as a lesson that, in the end, powerful people can and will be held accountable. This is not just about the misconduct of one person. We have a system where powerful people protect their own. That must end. And I hope this story gets us one step closer.
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It looks like Joe Biden is going to carry Georgia.
I want to thank
@elium2
,
@hjessy_
, and
@lxeagle17
for providing truly outstanding coverage and analysis today. The models were spot-on at every step. Follow these guys if you haven’t already. Impressive stuff.
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Results are in for all precincts in the Michigan special elections.
@MaiXiongMI
won every precinct in District 13. Peter Herzberg won comfortably in District 25 as well.
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New from me! Check out the Michigan redistricting commission’s draft maps with this app!
#mipol
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If the sexual misconduct cover-up and grifting wasn't enough to convince you by now that the Lincoln Project needs to go away, here is their statement claiming responsibility for the white supremacist stunt in Virginia.
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I just donated $3 to
@ewarren
. Join me! She’s short of where she needs to be by Tuesday’s FEC deadline; every little bit counts, no matter how small.
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Miami sunsets just hit different. Happy Friday night, everybody. :)
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Okay, NIMBY Rails is one of the coolest simulation games I've played. You can design your own transit/rail network in any part of the world, set timetables, pricing, etc. I had to log out because I'd spend hours on it otherwise.
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Happy election eve! Check out my German Federal Election Viewer here: 🇩🇪
Some features:
- 2017 archived results until 2021 results become partially available
- Livestream embeds of DW/ZDF
- Zoomable to constituency level, with stats
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Senate will return from recess on February 22.
Rent is due 7 days later.
It will take 7 days from Biden’s signature to the first direct deposit.
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Five years ago at 10am, SCOTUS ruled in Jim Obergell’s favor, legalizing same-sex marriage nationwide. I’m so thankful for all those throughout history who made it possible—especially Black trans women like Marsha P. Johnson—and the activists who continue to fight for LGBT rights
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Sometimes I think political strategists could use a reminder that the median 29 year old American:
- Is married
- Has children
- Does not have a 2 or 4 year degree
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Democrats shouldn’t dismiss just how impactful suburban reversion was last night. Raw vote margins matter. Even if suburbs shifted right to a lesser extent than rurals, it’s devastating to Dem vote counts. It’s why Rs rightly have newfound optimism in their electoral coalition.
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This did not originate from those who are trying to discredit the Lincoln Project, as Weaver suggested. Most of us are not right-wing. Some were even reserved about coming forward out of fear there would be political ramifications. But in the end, what matters is the truth.
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It was "destroyed" because he hit on kids and harassed a whole bunch of us who wanted to get a start in politics.
2/ destroyed because he had the nerve to stand up against Donald Trump. I saw John Weaver on one occasion between July 07 and today. Every person in the organization I founded was smeared in a grotesque series of garbage stories and guilt by association attacks. What is the
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Just poured coffee grounds directly into the mug. 🙃 It’s been a long week.
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Here's the breakdown of state delegates awarded by county and candidate.
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This is a
@SplitTicket_
appreciation tweet. ST rivals the best political media out there, and the attention it’s getting in the mainstream press is so well deserved.
Something really surreal: there's a profile done on
@SplitTicket_
in the New Republic!
Absolutely could not have imagined this happening a year ago when we began. Thanks for your support so far, everyone.
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Margin is now 37,634.
#BREAKING
Georgia Secretary of State reports 122,535 ballots remain to be counted across Georgia. With a margin of about 44,000 votes between President Trump and Former VP Biden, this is a significant development.
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Wayne County just dropped their absentees. The Democrat had a strong showing in this batch in this Trump +33 area.
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Biergarten in Berlin? Can’t think of a better way to turn 30
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Mount Trashmore shows up as a prominent peak on OpenStreetMap. 💀
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@lxeagle17
Agreed. DeSantis got handed a piping hot potato by a GOP supermajority legislature hellbent on passing this law. Signing off is a gamble. Undoubtedly a liability in the general, but tbh if anything probably helps in the primary.
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A few thoughts: I know many, including myself, were rightly upset at Weaver’s statement and at
@ProjectLincoln
for not issuing a separate response.
His questioning of his own sexuality did not compel him to harass others. It’s that simple.
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As a long, long-suffering Georgia fan, I’m in awe we finally did it. How bout them Dawgs, y’all!!?? 🐾
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Florida discourse can bring out the worst in Election Twitter.
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This is so wrong.
Steve is weaponizing others’ pain for his own selfish benefit. Many *gay* and mostly liberal men reluctantly came forward to bring to light how a powerful man abused his authority to hit on minors and others. Sexuality doesn’t have a damn thing to do with it.
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This is indefensible. Thankful to the Associated Press for not letting up. Many in leadership knew and swept it under the rug. The organization needs to be held accountable for their handling of these allegations from the beginning.
In June 2020, members of Lincoln Project leadership were informed in writing and in subsequent phone calls of at least 10 specific allegations of harassment against co-founder John Weaver, including two involving Lincoln Project employees.
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Would any of you listen to a podcast on redistricting? Or watch a seminar-style video podcast?
Like or reply; I’m trying to see something.
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We now know that he did not harass only “men” as he claimed in his statement. He also targeted underage boys. I don’t know what sort of consequences there may be for that, if any, but I applaud the bravery of those who were especially vulnerable for coming forward.
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This could also apply to Georgia, y'all. I know there's a ton of optimism about the Dems' future in GA (and there should be!), but it's not reliably blue yet. (There's a reason this graphic by
@Thorongil16
has gained so much traction since he tweeted it.)
On the left: how a lot of ET folks think political shifts work
On the right: how most political shifts actually work
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...which would have panicked every Democratic operative had they known that number on Tuesday. Indeed it netted Perdue an impressive 350k votes (63-37 Perdue). Yet Ossoff went into Election Day with a 412k vote lead with 1.76m votes banked.
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After tonight’s result in Alabama HD-10, Republicans are now overperforming in 2024 special elections by 1.8 pts on average relative to 2020-pres. Seems special election results and national polling are coming closer to alignment.
The last precinct is in & Democrat Marilyn Lands has flipped Alabama's
#HD10
in a 62-37 landslide! That even beats Doug Jones' 23-point margin in 2017. We've just updated our special elections Big Board with the numbers
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However, in the exurbs, some disaffected voters voted for Biden (to prevent Trump from getting a second term), but didn’t necessarily want to go so far as to vote D (although they didn’t vote R either!). These voters are winnable, and the Ossoff and Warnock campaigns know it.
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This in part was due to a strong performance with mail-in voters, which Ossoff won by a whopping 35+ pt margin. He also won the in-person early vote by 2 pts, together accounting for 70.5% of all votes cast in the Senate contest.
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Can we not with the misogyny....
I know it’s uncomfortable, but if these past several months have taught me anything, it’s that you have to speak out when others defend bad behavior.
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NEW from
@umichvoter
and me: an interactive dashboard aggregating recent high-quality presidential polls in key battleground states.
We'll be updating it through November, so make sure to bookmark:
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Just when I thought ET couldn't impress any more, you guys go out and draw the NY map from scratch. Truly impressive stuff.
@WhaleBallot
@EvanPerc_
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Got my baby banana tree back in April, and not only have I kept it alive, but it’s sprouting new banana stalks!
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Very moving speech. I'm fully convinced now this is the president we need at this moment.
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Welcoming my favorite Indianapolis councilman
@nickroberts317
and
@MMillscraig
to Key West ☘️
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There’s a ton of work Dems need to do to win back and expand the voter base here to make Florida competitive once again. To the Miami-Dade DEC members past and present, I’m looking forward to learning from you all and doing the hard work needed to build a winning coalition.
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Had an awesome time today with
@nickroberts317
and
@MMillscraig
. Who said Twitter isn’t real life?
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Georgia results incoming....
BREAKING: Chatham County will be uploading the results of all the ballots they have on hand in a few moments.
Standby.
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I am begging the Commission to use a map projection that doesn’t center on Kansas. 😬
#NEW
: The CA Redistricting Commission has released its first set of statewide legislative and congressional visualizations.
The panel is working on refining these visualizations toward a draft. Advocates and the public can learn more here:
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It’s crazy to me that some are madder at Meghan for speaking about racism she’s experienced than they are about the racism itself. 🤔
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Done! Check out Indiana's precinct-level presidential election results from 2020 here:
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@lennycurry
@Twitter
Maybe there’s a reason you keep getting ratioed. What a joke. Jacksonville deserves better.
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This Democratic gubernatorial primary is getting weird, man.
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